{"publisher":{"name":"MediaBias News","url":"https://mediabias.news","methodology":"https://mediabias.news/methodology","editorialPrinciples":"https://mediabias.news/editorial-principles","corrections":"https://mediabias.news/corrections"},"scoreGuide":{"trust":"How well corroborated and evidenced the source reporting is. 0-100, higher is better.","critic":"Craft quality of the source journalism: context, balance, fact vs comment. 0-100, higher is better.","hype":"How far the source presentation runs ahead of substance. 0-100, LOWER IS BETTER.","scope":"Scores assess the original reporting this article was written from, not the truth of the underlying event and not the quality of this write-up."},"assessmentGuide":{"type":"coverage-and-source-reporting-analysis","factCheck":{"status":"not-performed","note":"Media Bias News compares coverage and scores the source reporting. It does not currently publish a ClaimReview verdict on whether the underlying event or claim is true."},"sourceFactuality":{"note":"Factuality values describe published ratings of the outlets that covered the story. They are not a factuality verdict on this story or its claims."}},"story":{"id":"https://mediabias.news/business/barclays-forecasts-two-us-federal-reserve-rate-hikes","slug":"barclays-forecasts-two-us-federal-reserve-rate-hikes","url":"https://mediabias.news/business/barclays-forecasts-two-us-federal-reserve-rate-hikes","title":"Barclays forecasts two US Federal Reserve rate hikes","subtitle":"The bank reversed its earlier stance, now expecting increases in September and December.","excerpt":"Barclays now anticipates the US Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 25 basis points in both September and December. This change follows recent remarks from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh that suggested a more hawkish monetary policy outlook.","category":"Business & Economy","area":null,"publishedAt":"2026-08-31T13:45:54.202Z","sourceReportedAt":"2026-08-31T13:24:00.000Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-31T13:45:54.202Z","readTime":"3 min read","scores":{"trust":60,"critic":60,"hype":20,"notes":{"trust":"Two full reports and 13 digests corroborate the central claim, with Reuters cited as the source for Barclays' forecast.","critic":"The reporting clearly separates Barclays' forecast from Fed Chair Warsh's remarks and explains the market reaction.","hype":"Headlines are direct and accurately reflect the content of the reports, with no sensationalism."}},"tags":["#FederalReserve","#InterestRates","#Barclays","#MonetaryPolicy","#KevinWarsh"],"entities":["Barclays","Federal Reserve","Kevin Warsh","CME Group"],"body":[{"type":"key_takeaways","items":["Barclays now expects the US Federal Reserve to implement two 25 basis point interest rate increases this year.","The previous forecast from Barclays was that rates would remain unchanged for the remainder of the year.","The shift in Barclays' prediction is attributed to recent comments by Fed Chair Kevin Warsh.","Markets are pricing in a 60.4% chance of a rate hike in September, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool."]},{"type":"paragraph","text":"Barclays has revised its forecast for US interest rates, now predicting two 25 basis point hikes by the Federal Reserve in September and December. This marks a reversal from its prior expectation that rates would be held steady through the end of the year. The change in outlook follows recent statements from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, which have been interpreted as signalling a more hawkish monetary policy stance."},{"type":"paragraph","text":"Warsh's remarks, delivered at the Federal Reserve's Jackson Hole symposium, indicated ongoing concerns about inflation and suggested that financial conditions might not yet be sufficiently restrictive. He noted that inflation remained elevated and labour market conditions were consistent with full employment, complicating the Fed's policy decisions. The combination of persistent price pressures and a strong labour market has increased the possibility of further tightening rather than easing."},{"type":"paragraph","text":"Financial markets have responded to Warsh's comments by increasing their expectations for a rate hike. According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, markets are currently pricing in a 60.4% probability of a rate increase in September. Interest-rate futures also reflect a stronger expectation for near-term borrowing cost increases."},{"type":"heading","text":"Coverage comparison"},{"type":"heading","text":"What the coverage left out"},{"type":"paragraph","text":"None of the left-rated reports covered this story. The right-rated reports did not mention the CME Group's FedWatch tool or the specific probability figure it assigned to a September rate hike."}],"basedOn":[{"sourceName":"Investing.com","url":"https://investing.com/news/economy-news/barclays-sees-two-more-fed-rate-hikes-this-year-after-warsh-speech-4882134","headline":"Barclays sees two more Fed rate hikes this year after Warsh speech","angle":"","publishedAt":"2026-08-31T13:24:00.000Z"},{"sourceName":"The Star Kuala Lumpur","url":"https://thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2026/08/31/barclays-sees-two-more-fed-rate-hikes-this-year-after-warsh-speech","headline":"Barclays sees two more Fed rate hikes this year after Warsh speech","angle":"","publishedAt":"2026-08-31T13:12:00.000Z"},{"sourceName":"Quartz","url":"https://qz.com/barclays-fed-rate-hikes-warsh-jackson-hole-083126","headline":"Barclays forecasts two Fed rate hikes after Warsh Jackson Hole speech","angle":"","publishedAt":"2026-08-31T13:04:16.682Z"},{"sourceName":"MSNBCTV 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