---
title: "Trump predicts oil prices below $2 per gallon after Iran conflict win"
publication: "MediaBias News"
url: "https://mediabias.news/business/trump-predicts-oil-prices-below-2-per-gallon-after-iran-conflict-win"
api: "https://mediabias.news/api/v1/stories/trump-predicts-oil-prices-below-2-per-gallon-after-iran-conflict-win"
markdown: "https://mediabias.news/business/trump-predicts-oil-prices-below-2-per-gallon-after-iran-conflict-win.md"
audio: "https://mediabias.news/api/audio/trump-predicts-oil-prices-below-2-per-gallon-after-iran-conflict-win"
category: "Business & Economy"
area: "Middle East"
published: "2026-09-08T05:05:34.525Z"
source_reported: "2026-09-08T04:19:49.000Z"
updated: "2026-09-08T05:05:34.525Z"
trust_score: 68
critic_score: 87
hype_score: 55
assessment_type: "coverage-and-source-reporting-analysis"
fact_check_status: "not-performed"
coverage_measured: "2026-09-08T05:00:23.082441+00:00"
---

# Trump predicts oil prices below $2 per gallon after Iran conflict win

*Former president claims victory would lead to sharp drop in fuel costs.*

**Scores for the source reporting** (0-100, assessing the original journalism this article was written from, not this write-up): 

- Trust 68 of 100, higher is better. Trust 68: several named officials and 27 outlets corroborate Trump's $2‑per‑gallon claim with specific date and location.
- Craft 87 of 100, higher is better. Critic 87: includes multiple quotes, clear facts, specific figures, and explains link to energy costs.
- Hype 55 of 100, lower is better. Hype 55: story framed sensationally, emphasizing a speculative price drop.

Scored by MediaBias News; method at https://mediabias.news/methodology.

**The short version**

- Donald Trump posted on Truth Social that oil prices could fall below $2 per gallon if the U.S. wins a conflict with Iran.
- Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf warned the U.S. against attacking Iranian energy facilities.
- U.S. Secretary of War Pete Hegseth claimed Iran's oil tanker fleet is defenseless.
- CENTCOM stated three Iranian crude oil tankers are part of a network funding the IRGC, and Adm. Brad Cooper said the U.S. would impose higher economic costs if Iran attacks U.S. ships.

Donald Trump posted on his Truth Social platform that oil prices would drop significantly, potentially below $2 per gallon, following a U.S. victory in a conflict with Iran. He linked high energy costs to ongoing military operations in the Middle East and asserted that markets would stabilise quickly after a war. Trump also reiterated his stance that Iran would not obtain a nuclear weapon.

Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf issued a warning to Washington against attacking Iranian energy facilities, stating that Iran's oil and gas production chain is exposed. He added that American oil and gas companies share this exposure, and any strike on Iranian assets would result in retaliation. Ghalibaf's remarks were made in response to claims by U.S. Secretary of War Pete Hegseth that Iran's oil tanker fleet is defenseless.

CENTCOM stated that three Iranian crude oil tankers are part of a multibillion-dollar network funding the IRGC and its regional proxies. Adm. Brad Cooper, CENTCOM commander, said that if Iran attacks U.S. ships, the U.S. would impose higher economic costs, specifically targeting Iranian tankers. Cooper added that the U.S. would not hesitate to defend American forces and destroy Iran's oil fleet if necessary.

## Disagreement on Iran's naval capabilities

U.S. Secretary of War Pete Hegseth claimed that Iran's oil tanker fleet is defenseless and that Iran has no navy or air force. He stated that U.S. planes, ships, and submarines could strike them all. In contrast, Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf warned that Iran's oil and gas production chain is "sprawling, accessible, and exposed," and that American oil and gas companies share this exposure, implying a capacity for retaliation.

## What the coverage left out

None of the right-rated digests mention the claim by U.S. Secretary of War Pete Hegseth that Iran's oil tanker fleet is defenseless, nor do they include the statement by Adm. Brad Cooper that the U.S. would impose higher economic costs if Iran attacks U.S. ships.

## Who covered it

Shares of the 10 covering outlets with a published leaning rating:

- Left: 10% (1)
- Centre: 10% (1)
- Right: 80% (8)

18 of 28 covering outlets carried no usable leaning rating and were excluded from those percentages. Coverage measured 2026-09-08T05:00:23.082441+00:00.

**Coverage watch:** developing. Checked 1 time; 0 checks found a material change. Most recently checked 2026-09-08T05:15:19.673Z.

## How the sides framed it

### Left

- The left-rated report from Mediaite led with Donald Trump's prediction about gas prices falling to a specific amount after a U.S. victory over Iran. The report noted that Trump made this prediction as gas prices hit record highs for Labor Day weekend.

### Centre

- The centre-rated report from The Economic Times led with Donald Trump's forecast that oil prices would drop below $2 per gallon after a U.S. victory over Iran. This report included Trump's Truth Social post and quoted Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf's warning against attacking Iranian energy facilities. It also detailed claims by U.S. Secretary of War Pete Hegseth and CENTCOM regarding Iran's oil tankers and Adm. Brad Cooper's statement on imposing economic costs.

### Right

- Eight right-rated reports focused on Donald Trump's prediction that oil prices would fall sharply, and potentially below $2 per gallon, after a U.S. victory over Iran. These reports, including digests from EADaily, Interfax.ru, India TV News, Latestly, Tribune India, Times of India, aninews.in, and news-pravda.com, highlighted Trump's statements made on Truth Social. Some also mentioned Iran's Parliament Speaker warning Washington against attacking energy facilities.

## Factuality profile of the covering outlets

These are published factuality ratings of the outlets, not a verdict on whether this story or its claims are true.

- veryLow: 1
- low: 1
- mixed: 5
- high: 2
- unknown: 18
- veryHigh: 1

## Verification scope

This page compares coverage and scores the source reporting. It is not a ClaimReview verdict on whether the underlying event or claim is true.

## Original reporting this was written from

- [Apa](https://apa.az/america/tramp-iranla-muharibede-qalib-geldikden-sonra-neftin-qiymeti-daha-da-ucuzlasacaq-994357) — Trump: Oil Prices Will Fall Even Further After Winning the War with Iran
- [reform.news](https://reform.news/tramp-poobeshhal-snizhenie-cen-na-neft-posle-pobedy-nad-iranom) — Trump Promised a Drop in Oil Prices After the Victory over Iran.
- [RTVI](https://rtvi.com/news/tramp-sprognoziroval-padenie-czen-na-benzin-do-079-za-litr-posle-okonchaniya-vojny) — Trump Predicted a Drop in Petrol Prices to $0.79 a Litre After the End of the War.
- [The Sunday Guardian Live](https://sundayguardianlive.com/world/us-israel-iran-war-latest-live-news-trump-predicts-oil-prices-could-fall-below-2a-gallon-after-us-victory-over-iran-warns-tehran-must-not-get-nuclear-weapons-279798) — US-Israel-Iran War Latest Live News: Trump Predicts Oil Prices Could Fall Below $2A Gallon After US Victory Over Iran, Warns Tehran Must Not Get Nuclear Weapons
- [EADaily](https://eadaily.com/ru/news/2026/09/08/tramp-posle-voyny-s-iranom-ceny-na-neft-rezko-upadut) — Trump: After the War with Iran, Oil Prices Will Fall sharply:
- [TV9 Kannada](https://tv9kannada.com/world/trump-iran-conflict-win-means-petrol-below-2-dollar-per-gallon-us-iran-tensions-and-oil-prices-1235284.html) — US President Trump Predicts Petrol Price Will Be Below $2 per Gallon if War Against Iran Is Won
- [NEWSru.co.il](https://newsru.co.il/finance/8sep2026/trump_oil_104.html) — Trump Promised a Sharp Drop in Oil Prices After the US Victory in the War with Iran.
- [madhyamam.com](https://madhyamam.com/world/trump-claims-oil-prices-drop-iran-conflict-hormuz-1552529) — Trump Claims Oil Prices Will Plummet Following US Victory Against Iran
- [Interfax.ru](https://interfax.ru/world/1113756) — Trump Believes that After the Conflict with Iran Has Ended, US Oil Prices Will Fall Sharply.
- [haberglobal.com](https://haberglobal.com/gundem/abd-baskani-trump-iran-savasini-kazandigimizda-petrol-fiyatlari-sert-sekilde-dusecek-543026) — US President Trump: When We Win the War Against Iran, Oil Prices Will Fall Sharply.
- [Haberler](https://haberler.com/yerel/trump-iran-savasini-kazandigimizda-petrol-20216933-haberi) — Trump: "When We Win the War with Iran, Oil Prices Will Fall sharply."
- [India TV News](https://indiatvnews.com/news/world/oil-prices-to-drop-below-usd-2-a-gallon-trump-predicts-sharp-fall-in-fuel-prices-after-us-wins-iran-war-2026-09-08-1053609) — Trump predicts oil prices will drop below 'USD 2 a gallon after US wins Iran war'
- [Life.ru](https://life.ru/p/tramp-nazval-uslovie-dlya-padeniya-tsen-na-benzin-v-ssha-nizhe-2) — Trump Called It a Condition to Lower the Price of Gasoline in the United States Below $2.
- [anlatilaninotesi.com.tr](https://anlatilaninotesi.com.tr/20260908/trump-petrol-fiyatlari-galon-basina-2-dolarin-altina-inecek-1108571593.html) — Trump: Oil Prices Will Fall Below $2 per Gallon.
- [enikos.gr](https://enikos.gr/international/trab-tha-pesoun-apotoma-oi-times-tou-petrelaiou-otan-kerdisoume-ton-polemo-me-to-iran/2640540) — Trump: "Oil Prices Will Plummet when We Win the War with Iran"
- [Latestly](https://latestly.com/us/donald-trump-predicts-oil-prices-below-usd-2-after-iran-war-says-tehran-will-never-have-nuclear-weapon-7594464.html) — Donald Trump Predicts Oil Prices Below USD 2 After Iran War, Says Tehran Will Never Have Nuclear Weapon
- [NewsBomb](https://newsbomb.gr/kosmos/story/1761799/tramp-meta-ti-niki-epi-tou-iran-oi-times-tou-petrelaiou-tha-pesoun-katakoryfa) — Trump: "After Victory over Iran, Oil Prices Will Plummet"
- [Tribune India](https://tribuneindia.com/news/usa-news/trump-claims-oil-prices-will-drop-below-two-dollars-a-gallon-after-us-wins-war-with-iran) — Trump claims oil prices will drop below Two Dollars a gallon after US wins war with Iran - The Tribune
- [Times of India](https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/trump-forecasts-oil-below-2-a-gallon-after-us-victory-over-iran/articleshow/133902782.cms) — Trump forecasts oil below $2 a gallon after US ‘victory’ over Iran
- [The Economic Times](https://m.economictimes.com/news/international/world-news/trump-forecasts-oil-below-2-a-gallon-after-us-victory-over-iran/articleshow/133902782.cms) — Trump forecasts oil below $2 a gallon after US ‘victory’ over Iran
- [aninews.in](https://aninews.in/news/world/us/trump-claims-oil-prices-will-drop-below-two-dollars-a-gallon-after-us-wins-war-with-iran20260908065346) — Trump claims oil prices will drop "below Two Dollars a gallon" after US wins war with Iran
- [www.ertnews.gr](https://ertnews.gr/eidiseis/tramp-tha-pesoun-apotoma-oi-times-tou-petrelaiou-meta-ti-niki-epi-tou-iran) — Trump: Oil Prices Will "Fall Sharply" After Victory over Iran
- [1prime.ru](https://1prime.ru/20260908/tramp-873094913.html) — Trump Promised a Fall in Petrol Prices After the End of the Conflict with Iran.
- [BizToc](https://biztoc.com/x/7ee69c544cac9883) — Trump says oil prices to drop once Iran war won
- [news-pravda.com](https://news-pravda.com/world/2026/09/08/2574478.html) — Trump promises that oil will cost less than "two dollars per gallon" after the US victory over Iran:
- [Cryptocurrency News | Cryptocurrency Prices | Market Cap](https://cryptocurrency.com.tr/trump-predicts-2-gas-if-us-wins-conflict-with-iran-369078) — Trump predicts $2 gas if US wins conflict with Iran
- [Crypto Briefing](https://cryptobriefing.com/trump-predicts-2-gas-if-us-wins-conflict-with-iran) — Trump predicts $2 gas if US wins conflict with Iran
- [Mediaite](https://mediaite.com/media/news/trump-claims-gas-prices-will-drop-to-this-amount-when-we-win-the-war-with-iran) — Trump Claims Gas Prices Will Drop To This Amount ‘When We WIN The War With Iran’

## Questions

**What did Donald Trump predict about oil prices?**

Donald Trump predicted that oil prices would fall sharply, potentially below $2 per gallon, if the United States achieves victory in a conflict with Iran. He stated this on his Truth Social platform, linking high energy costs to military operations.

**What warning did Iran issue?**

Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf warned Washington against attacking Iranian energy facilities. He stated that Iran's oil and gas production chain is exposed and that American oil and gas companies share this exposure, implying retaliation.

**What did CENTCOM claim about Iranian tankers?**

CENTCOM stated that three Iranian crude oil tankers are part of a multibillion-dollar network funding the IRGC. Adm. Brad Cooper added that the U.S. would impose higher economic costs if Iran attacks U.S. ships, including destroying Iranian tankers.

---

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