--- title: "US tariffs threaten 102,000 Canadian jobs if CUSMA ends, report says" publication: "MediaBias News" url: "https://mediabias.news/business/us-tariffs-threaten-102000-canadian-jobs-if-cusma-ends-report-says" api: "https://mediabias.news/api/v1/stories/us-tariffs-threaten-102000-canadian-jobs-if-cusma-ends-report-says" markdown: "https://mediabias.news/business/us-tariffs-threaten-102000-canadian-jobs-if-cusma-ends-report-says.md" audio: "https://mediabias.news/api/audio/us-tariffs-threaten-102000-canadian-jobs-if-cusma-ends-report-says" category: "Business & Economy" area: "United States" published: "2026-08-11T20:46:36.310Z" source_reported: "2026-08-11T18:33:16.000Z" updated: "2026-08-11T21:00:15.945Z" trust_score: 62 critic_score: 77 hype_score: 15 assessment_type: "coverage-and-source-reporting-analysis" fact_check_status: "not-performed" coverage_measured: "2026-08-11T22:30:19.254169+00:00" --- # US tariffs threaten 102,000 Canadian jobs if CUSMA ends, report says *Oxford Economics study projects 214,000 American jobs at risk if trade deal collapses in 2027* **Scores for the source reporting** (0-100, assessing the original journalism this article was written from, not this write-up): - Trust 62 of 100, higher is better. Trust 62: Oxford Economics report named, provides specific job figures and dates, but no individual source quoted. - Craft 77 of 100, higher is better. Critic 77: explains impact, separates facts, gives precise numbers, but lacks quoted voices. - Hype 15 of 100, lower is better. Hype 15: neutral language, no sensationalism. Scored by MediaBias News; method at https://mediabias.news/methodology. **The short version** - A report by Oxford Economics estimates Canada would lose 102,000 jobs if the Canada-U.S.-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA) ends, with the US losing 214,000 jobs in 2027. - Successful renegotiation of CUSMA could create 137,000 American jobs and 98,000 Canadian jobs, according to the same report. - Ontario, Quebec, Manitoba, New Brunswick, Michigan, Indiana, Washington, and Iowa are identified as the most affected regions if CUSMA collapses. - A 50% US tariff on Canadian goods takes effect on 19 August 2026, with no exemptions for goods complying with CUSMA. Canada could lose 102,000 jobs if the Canada-U.S.-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA) ends, according to a report prepared for the Canadian American Business Council by Oxford Economics. The report projects that the United States would lose 214,000 jobs in 2027 under the same scenario. The report also estimates that a successful renegotiation of CUSMA would create 137,000 jobs in the US and 98,000 in Canada. It identifies Ontario, Quebec, Manitoba, New Brunswick, Michigan, Indiana, Washington, and Iowa as the provinces and states most vulnerable to economic disruption if the trade deal collapses. A new 50% US tariff on a range of Canadian goods is scheduled to take effect on 19 August 2026. The tariffs will apply regardless of whether the goods comply with CUSMA, as reported by Battlefords NOW. ## What the coverage left out No left- or right-rated outlets ran this story at all. The single centre-rated report did not include reactions from Canadian or US government officials, labour unions, or industry groups affected by the potential job losses or tariffs. ## Who covered it Shares of the 21 covering outlets with a published leaning rating: - Left: 62% (13) - Centre: 38% (8) - Right: 0% (0) 0 of 21 covering outlets carried no usable leaning rating and were excluded from those percentages. Coverage measured 2026-08-11T22:30:19.254169+00:00. **Coverage watch:** developing. Checked 8 times; 1 check found a material change. Most recently checked 2026-08-11T22:45:37.628Z. ## How the sides framed it ### Left - The left-rated outlets led on the report’s estimate that 102,000 Canadian jobs could be lost if the Canada-U.S.-Mexico trade agreement ends. All ten digests carried the figure. Nine of the ten also named the agreement as CUSMA and stated the job losses would occur if the deal breaks down. - One digest, from the Toronto Star, added that the report examined the economic consequences of CUSMA negotiations, including the possibility of the deal being terminated. The other nine digests did not mention the scope of the report’s analysis. - None of the digests included details on which sectors would be most affected, the methodology behind the job-loss estimate, or responses from the U.S. or Mexican governments. ### Centre - Battlefords NOW, the only outlet to publish a full report on the story, led with the projected job losses in Canada and the US. The article quoted the Oxford Economics report directly, stating that 102,000 Canadian jobs and 214,000 American jobs could be lost if CUSMA ends. It also highlighted the potential job gains from a successful renegotiation: 137,000 American jobs and 98,000 Canadian jobs. - The report named the provinces and states most affected by a CUSMA collapse and noted the upcoming 50% US tariffs on Canadian goods, set to take effect on 19 August 2026. The article did not include direct quotes from government officials or business leaders. ### Right No separate framing summary. **Provisional coverage gap:** right. The watch is not closed, so this is not yet a settled blindspot finding. ## Factuality profile of the covering outlets These are published factuality ratings of the outlets, not a verdict on whether this story or its claims are true. - high: 15 - unknown: 1 - veryHigh: 5 ## Verification scope This page compares coverage and scores the source reporting. It is not a ClaimReview verdict on whether the underlying event or claim is true. ## Original reporting this was written from - [CBC News](https://cbc.ca/news/business/trade-renegotiation-impact-report-9.7303374) — Canada could lose hundreds of thousands of jobs, billions of dollars if CUSMA breaks down: report - [Le Devoir](https://ledevoir.com/economie/1001243/canada-risquerait-perdre-100-000-emplois-si-aceum-etait-abroge) — Canada Is at Risk of Losing 100,000 Jobs if ACEUM Is Repealed - [Battlefords NOW](https://battlefordsnow.com/2026/08/11/canada-could-lose-more-than-100k-jobs-if-cusma-dies-report) — Canada could lose more than 100K jobs if CUSMA dies: report - [Bay Today](https://baytoday.ca/national-news/canada-could-lose-more-than-100k-jobs-if-cusma-dies-report-12653083) — Canada could lose more than 100K jobs if CUSMA dies: report - [City News](https://toronto.citynews.ca/2026/08/11/cusma-jobs-canada-us-trade) — Canada could lose more than 100K jobs if CUSMA dies, report warns - [Ckpg Today](https://ckpgtoday.ca/2026/08/11/canada-could-lose-more-than-100k-jobs-if-cusma-dies-report) — Canada could lose more than 100K jobs if CUSMA dies: report - [Medicine Hat News](https://medicinehatnews.com/news/national-news/2026/08/11/canada-could-lose-more-than-100k-jobs-if-cusma-dies-report) — Canada could lose more than 100K jobs if CUSMA dies: report - [Orillia Matters](https://orilliamatters.com/national-news/canada-could-lose-more-than-100k-jobs-if-cusma-dies-report-12653083) — Canada could lose more than 100K jobs if CUSMA dies: report - [SooToday.com](https://sootoday.com/national-news/canada-could-lose-more-than-100k-jobs-if-cusma-dies-report-12653083) — Canada could lose more than 100K jobs if CUSMA dies: report - [StratfordToday.ca](https://stratfordtoday.ca/national-news/canada-could-lose-more-than-100k-jobs-if-cusma-dies-report-12653083) — Canada could lose more than 100K jobs if CUSMA dies: report - [Sudbury](https://sudbury.com/national/canada-could-lose-more-than-100k-jobs-if-cusma-dies-report-12653083) — Canada could lose more than 100K jobs if CUSMA dies: report - [flamboroughtoday.com](https://flamboroughtoday.com/national-news/canada-could-lose-more-than-100k-jobs-if-cusma-dies-report-12653083) — Canada could lose more than 100K jobs if CUSMA dies: report - [meadowlakeNOW](https://meadowlakenow.com/2026/08/11/canada-could-lose-more-than-100k-jobs-if-cusma-dies-report) — Canada could lose more than 100K jobs if CUSMA dies: report - [InnisfilToday.ca](https://innisfiltoday.ca/national-news/canada-could-lose-more-than-100k-jobs-if-cusma-dies-report-12653083) — Canada could lose more than 100K jobs if CUSMA dies: report - [Castanet](https://castanet.net/news/Business/627679/Canada-could-lose-more-than-100K-jobs-if-CUSMA-dies-report) — Canada could lose more than 100K jobs if CUSMA dies: report - [The Toronto Star](https://thestar.com/business/canada-could-lose-more-than-100k-jobs-if-cusma-dies-report/article_49957a41-3ed5-5f94-8d9a-954223e623ff.html) — Canada could lose more than 100K jobs if CUSMA dies: report - [La Presse](https://lapresse.ca/affaires/economie/2026-08-11/le-canada-risque-de-perdre-plus-de-100-000-emplois-si-l-aceum-est-abroge.php) — Canada Is at Risk of Losing More than 100,000 Jobs if ACEUM Is Repealed - [St Catharines Standard](https://stcatharinesstandard.ca/business/canada-could-lose-more-than-100k-jobs-if-cusma-dies-report/article_5685b30c-9f99-5043-b2b1-63141f690ff2.html) — Canada could lose more than 100K jobs if CUSMA dies: report - [The Hamilton Spectator](https://thespec.com/business/canada-could-lose-more-than-100k-jobs-if-cusma-dies-report/article_3d55ff98-287a-5d17-8849-c9c86212b5c7.html) — Canada could lose more than 100K jobs if CUSMA dies: report - [The Record](https://therecord.com/business/canada-could-lose-more-than-100k-jobs-if-cusma-dies-report/article_88581401-037f-5218-a897-6f0655338f02.html) — Canada could lose more than 100K jobs if CUSMA dies: report - [Winnipeg Free Press](https://winnipegfreepress.com/business/2026/08/11/canada-could-lose-more-than-100k-jobs-if-cusma-dies-report) — Canada could lose more than 100K jobs if CUSMA dies: report ## Questions **How many jobs could Canada lose if CUSMA ends?** A report by Oxford Economics estimates Canada would lose 102,000 jobs if the Canada-U.S.-Mexico Agreement ends. The same report projects the US would lose 214,000 jobs in 2027 under the same scenario, affecting regions like Ontario, Quebec, and Michigan. **What happens if CUSMA is successfully renegotiated?** The Oxford Economics report projects that a successful renegotiation of CUSMA could create 137,000 American jobs and 98,000 Canadian jobs. The report was prepared for the Canadian American Business Council and highlights potential economic benefits. **When do the new US tariffs on Canadian goods take effect?** A 50% US tariff on a range of Canadian goods is set to take effect on 19 August 2026. Unlike previous tariffs, these will apply even to goods complying with CUSMA, as reported by Battlefords NOW. --- MediaBias News — https://mediabias.news. Reproduced from https://mediabias.news/business/us-tariffs-threaten-102000-canadian-jobs-if-cusma-ends-report-says. Please cite as: MediaBias News, "US tariffs threaten 102,000 Canadian jobs if CUSMA ends, report says", https://mediabias.news/business/us-tariffs-threaten-102000-canadian-jobs-if-cusma-ends-report-says