---
title: "Global warming to exceed 1.5C, UN report warns"
publication: "MediaBias News"
url: "https://mediabias.news/climate/global-warming-to-exceed-15c-un-report-warns"
api: "https://mediabias.news/api/v1/stories/global-warming-to-exceed-15c-un-report-warns"
markdown: "https://mediabias.news/climate/global-warming-to-exceed-15c-un-report-warns.md"
audio: "https://mediabias.news/api/audio/global-warming-to-exceed-15c-un-report-warns"
category: "Climate"
published: "2026-10-21T06:05:28.531Z"
source_reported: "2026-10-21T05:26:39.000Z"
updated: "2026-10-21T06:15:17.033Z"
trust_score: 42
critic_score: 59
hype_score: 41
assessment_type: "coverage-and-source-reporting-analysis"
fact_check_status: "not-performed"
coverage_measured: "2026-10-21T07:38:25.154193+00:00"
---

# Global warming to exceed 1.5C, UN report warns

*Current policies put Earth on track for 2.8C warming by 2100, but drastic cuts could limit overshoot.*

**Scores for the source reporting** (0-100, assessing the original journalism this article was written from, not this write-up): 

- Trust 42 of 100, higher is better. The central claim is attributed to UNEP and Guterres, with specific figures and dates provided.
- Craft 59 of 100, higher is better. The reporting clearly separates facts from comment and provides specific figures and dates.
- Hype 41 of 100, lower is better. Headlines use strong language like 'inevitable' and 'breach' but the body provides context.

Scored by MediaBias News; method at https://mediabias.news/methodology.

**The short version**

- Global warming is now certain to exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius compared to pre-industrial levels, according to a UN Environment Programme (UNEP) report.
- With current policies, the Earth is heading towards 2.8 degrees Celsius of warming by 2100.
- The best-case scenario projects temperatures peaking around 1.7-1.8 degrees Celsius mid-century before returning to 1.5 degrees Celsius by 2100.
- Achieving the best-case scenario requires substantial reductions in global greenhouse gas emissions.

The global average temperature is set to surpass 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, a threshold established by the Paris Agreement. Decades of insufficient climate action have led to this point, according to the UN Environment Programme's (UNEP) annual report. The extent to which this 1.5-degree limit is exceeded, and for how long, depends on immediate global responses.

The report outlines a best-case scenario where global temperatures peak around 1.7 to 1.8 degrees Celsius by mid-century and then decline to 1.5 degrees Celsius or below by 2100. However, this outcome necessitates significant and rapid reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. For every five years that CO2 emissions continue at current levels, global warming increases by approximately 0.1 degrees Celsius.

If current global policies remain in place, the Earth is projected to warm by 2.8 degrees Celsius by the end of the century, a level from which returning to 1.5 degrees Celsius is not possible, the report states. Even if all national climate targets are met, warming is estimated to reach 2.6 degrees Celsius. If all net-zero pledges are also fulfilled, the temperature rise by 2100 could be around 2.1 degrees Celsius.

## Disagreement on future warming projections

While the UN Environment Programme report projects a potential warming of 2.8 degrees Celsius by 2100 under current policies, some reports indicate different figures. Globo, for instance, notes the UN estimate that with stricter measures, heating could reach a peak of 1.7°C to 1.8°C around 2050 and then gradually decrease, returning to 1.5°C by 2100. However, the core message across reports is that the 1.5C threshold will be breached.

## What the coverage left out

None of the centre or right-rated reports printed below mention the specific percentage reductions in global greenhouse gas emissions required by 2030, 2035, and 2040 to achieve the best-case scenario. These figures were stated in the full report from Ekstra Bladet and are corroborated by other sources that mention the need for drastic action.

## Who covered it

Shares of the 80 covering outlets with a published leaning rating:

- Left: 28% (22)
- Centre: 36% (29)
- Right: 36% (29)

75 of 155 covering outlets carried no usable leaning rating and were excluded from those percentages. Coverage measured 2026-10-21T07:38:25.154193+00:00.

**Coverage watch:** developing. Checked 4 times; 1 check found a material change. Most recently checked 2026-10-21T07:45:06.106Z.

## How the sides framed it

### Left

- The left-rated outlets reported that the UN Environment Programme says the 1.5°C target is now unattainable and that projected warming will reach about 2.8°C by the end of the century, with mid-century temperatures of 1.7-1.8°C. La Vanguardia, Al-Monitor, La Presse, Le Monde, Le Temps, Liberation, Newcastle Herald, Novinky.cz, The Canberra Times, franceinfo.fr, SVT Nyheter and t-online all led on these projections and warned that current policies are insufficient.
- La Vanguardia’s full report quoted UN Secretary-General António Guterres urging that every fraction of a degree matters, and PNUMA director Inger Andersen stressing the health and economic risks of additional warming. It also highlighted the United States’ withdrawal from the Paris Agreement, a rise in U.S. emissions, and the added electricity demand from AI data centres.
- The digests did not contain the detailed emission-reduction pathways La Vanguardia listed - 18% cuts by 2030, 45% by 2035 and 69% by 2040 - nor the figure of 320 gigatonnes of CO2 that would need permanent removal. None of the digests mentioned cost estimates or financing needs, showing those specifics were omitted from the left-rated coverage.

### Centre

- Centre-rated reports focused on the inevitability of exceeding the 1.5-degree threshold and the urgent need for emissions cuts. Ekstra Bladet highlighted that the 1.5-degree limit cannot be avoided due to decades of insufficient climate action, quoting UN Secretary-General António Guterres stating, 'Exceeding is not surrendering.' They detailed the best-case scenario requiring specific emission reductions and noted that current policies lead to 2.8 degrees Celsius warming. Hola News also stressed the need for 'urgent and strict cuts' to minimize the overshoot. Volksfreund.de and Westfalenpost mentioned the 2.8-degree projection and the remaining hope, while Nature reported that limiting warming to the safest levels is likely out of reach.

### Right

- Right-rated reports acknowledged that global warming will inevitably exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius, but also noted the possibility of a return to that level. Globo reported the UN's estimate of a peak around 1.7-1.8 degrees Celsius mid-century, followed by a gradual decrease to 1.5 degrees Celsius by 2100, under stricter measures. BT stated that global warming will exceed 1.5 degrees, but it can come back down, according to a UN report.

## Factuality profile of the covering outlets

These are published factuality ratings of the outlets, not a verdict on whether this story or its claims are true.

- low: 2
- mixed: 7
- high: 50
- unknown: 75
- veryHigh: 21

## Verification scope

This page compares coverage and scores the source reporting. It is not a ClaimReview verdict on whether the underlying event or claim is true.

## Original reporting this was written from

- [lacronicabadajoz.com](https://lacronicabadajoz.com/sociedad/2026/10/21/naciones-unidas-informe-calentamiento-1-5-emisiones-recortes-135569736.html) — United Nations Assumes that the World Will Exceed the Extreme Warming Threshold of 1.5 Degrees and Outlines a New Plan to Reverse It
- [POV](https://pov.international/fn-verden-paa-vej-mod-langt-hoejere-temperaturer) — UN: World on Track for Much Higher Temperatures • POV International
- [The Journal](https://thejournal.ie/global-warming-un-report-1-5-7200161-Oct2026) — World on course to blow past critical global warming threshold of 1.5C, UN warns
- [Dnevnik](https://dnevnik.si/novice/svet/zn-objavili-nove-napovedi-zemlja-se-sooca-s-se-vecjim-dvigom-temperatur-2835448) — The World Is Warming Faster than Expected: UN Warns of Dark Scenarios
- [koutipandoras.gr](https://koutipandoras.gr/article/klimatiki-krisi-chanetai-i-machi-gia-tin-anaschesi-tis-anodou-tis-thermokrasias-tou-planiti) — Climate Crisis: The Battle to Halt Global Warming Is Being Lost | Pandora's Box
- [Global Diaspora News](https://globaldiasporanews.com/salvar-o-clima-ainda-e-possivel-mesmo-apos-ultrapassar-15-c) — Saving the Climate Is Still Possible Even After Exceeding 1.5 °C
- [morski.hr](https://morski.hr/svijet-ide-prema-zagrijavanju-od-2-8degc-do-kraja-stoljeca) — The World Is on Track to Warm by 2.8°C by the End of the Century
- [SANA](https://sana.sy/international/2612921) — United Nations Report: Global Warming Above 1.5 Degrees Celsius Is Still Contained
- [antena3.ro](https://antena3.ro/mediu/terra-se-indreapta-spre-o-incalzire-de-2-6-grade-consecintele-sunt-deja-devastatoare-estimari-tot-mai-sumbre-808037.html) — Earth Is Heading for a 2.6-Degree Warming: "Consequences Are Already devastating."
- [CNBC-TV18](https://cnbctv18.com/world/un-sees-higher-global-warming-even-in-best-case-scenario-20015947.htm) — UN sees higher global warming, even in best-case scenario
- [LaProvence.com](https://laprovence.com/article/france-monde/1294086050408614/dereglement-climatique-le-monde-vers-un-rechauffement-de-2-6-c-des-projections-de-plus-en-plus-sombres) — Climate Change: the World Towards a Warming of 2.6°C, Darker and Darker Projections
- [La Libre](https://lalibre.be/planete/environnement/2026/10/21/climat-le-monde-se-dirige-vers-un-rechauffement-de-28c-dici-2100-alerte-lonu-X7B3QTQLO5HBZCXDN47GCO6AWY) — Climate: the World Is Heading for 2.8°C Warming by 2100, UN Alerts
- [vietnamplus.vn](https://vietnamplus.vn/lhq-canh-bao-nhiet-do-trai-dat-co-the-tang-26-do-c-vao-cuoi-the-ky-21-post1143349.vnp) — The UN Warns that Global Temperatures Could Rise by 2.6 Degrees Celsius by the End of the 21st Century.
- [Capital.gr](https://capital.gr/diethni/4024769/oie-proeidopoiiseis-gia-ti-thermokrasia-tou-planiti-os-to-telos-tou-aiona) — UN: Warnings About Global Temperatures by the End of the Century
- [abc](https://abc.es/sociedad/onu-supera-objetivo-climatico-centrarse-grados-20261021083103-nt.html) — The UN Changes Its Climate Target: the Threshold of 1.5°C Becomes Obsolete and Sets a New Ceiling 1.8°
- [SIC Notícias](https://sicnoticias.pt/especiais/alteracoes-climaticas/2026-10-21-acordo-do-clima-limite-de-15-graus-de-aquecimento-global-ja-foi-ultrapassado-aa3f9a81) — Global Warming: 1.5 Degree Limit Has Already Been Exceeded
- [Aktuálně.cz](https://zpravy.aktualne.cz/zahranici/riziko-smrticich-povodni-i-pozaru-roste-zeme-miri-k-vyraznemu-otepleni-varuje-osn/r~aaa29a3a8314dfe505f357204d017f08) — The Risk of Deadly Floods and Fires Is Increasing. The Earth Is Heading for Significant Warming, Warns the UN
- [Ekolist.cz](https://ekolist.cz/cz/zpravodajstvi/zpravy/osn-zeme-smeruje-k-otepleni-o-2-8-stupne-celsia-proti-predindustrialnimu-obdobi) — UN: Earth Is on Track to Warm by 2.8 Degrees Celsius Compared to Pre
- [24sata.hr](https://24sata.hr/tech/foto-un-upozorava-globalno-zagrijavanje-vece-od-ocekivanja-cak-i-u-najpovoljnijem-scenariju-1162578) — PHOTO UN Warns: Global Warming Greater than Expected Even in the Best-Case Scenario
- [Mediafax](https://mediafax.ro/externe/onu-fereastra-pentru-mentinerea-incalzirii-globale-sub-15c-s-a-inchis-ce-mai-poate-face-omenirea-pentru-a-limita-efectele-23829095) — UN: Window for Keeping Global Warming Below 1.5°C Closed. What More Can Humanity Do to Limit the Effects
- [topky.sk](https://topky.sk/cl/11/9535515/OSN-varuje-pre-hrozbou--Planeta-speje-k-otepleniu-o-takmer-3-stupne--parizsky-ciel-je-v-ohrozeni-aj-pre-postoj-USA) — UN Warns of Threat: Planet Is Heading Towards Almost 3 Degrees of Warming, Paris Goal Is Also at Risk Due to US Stance
- [Kronen Zeitung](https://krone.at/4343007) — UN Warns: Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [Clarin](https://clarin.com/estados-unidos/reporte-onu-muestra-que-el-mundo-pierde-terreno-ante-el-cambio-climatico-y-culpa-un-poco-a-eeuu_0_sYwJ32vDFJ.html) — UN Report Shows that the World Loses Ground in the Face of Climate Change and Blames the US a Little Bit
- [naiz:](https://naiz.eus/es/info/noticia/20261021/la-onu-pide-recortes-urgentes-de-emisiones-18-para-2030-45-para-2035-y-69-para-2040) — UN Calls for "Urgent Cuts" of Emissions: 18% by 2030, 45% by 2035 and 69% by 2040
- [borsen.dk](https://borsen.dk/nyheder/baeredygtig/fn-rapport-global-opvarmning-vil-uundgaeligt-overskride-15-grader) — UN Report: Global Warming Will Inevitably Exceed 1.5 Degrees
- [Independent Español](https://independentespanol.com/noticias/medio-ambiente/reporte-onu-muestra-que-el-mundo-pierde-terreno-ante-el-cambio-climatico-y-culpa-un-poco-a-eeuu-b3070421.html) — UN Report Shows that the World Loses Ground in the Face of Climate Change and Blames the US a Little Bit
- [italpress.com](https://italpress.com/report-onu-il-riscaldamento-globale-a-28-gradi-entro-fine-secolo) — Report UN, Global Warming at +2.8 Degrees by the End of the Century
- [Jornal Expresso](https://expresso.pt/sustentabilidade/ambiente/2026-10-21-procrastinamos-na-acao-climatica-onu-assume-que-janela-para-evitar-ultrapassar-os-15c-se-fechou-mas-ainda-e-possivel-travar-o-pior-f8c6e45a) — We Have Procrastinated in Climate Action: UN Assumes that Window to Avoid Exceeding 1.5°C Has Closed, but It Is Still Possible to Stop the Worst
- [insider.gr](https://insider.gr/eidiseis/429559/oie-i-anodos-tis-thermokrasias-toy-planiti-tha-xeperasei-15deg-kelsioy-os-telos-toy) — UN: Global Temperature Rise Will Exceed 1.5°C by the End of the Century
- [glasistre.hr](https://glasistre.hr/svijet/2026/10/21/svijet-ide-prema-sve-vecem-zagrijavanju-cak-je-i-najoptimisticniji-scenarij-losiji-od-ocekivanja-1088323) — The World Is Heading Towards Increasing Warming, Even the Most Optimistic Scenario Is Worse than Expected
- [Hindustan Times](https://hindustantimes.com/india-news/if-current-policies-continue-warming-could-reach-2-8-c-within-this-century-un-report-101792562633288.html) — If current policies continue, warming could reach 2.8°C within this century: UN report
- [ΑΘΗΝΑ 9,84](https://athina984.gr/2026/10/21/oie-i-anodos-tis-thermokrasias-toy-planiti-tha-xeperasei-ton-1-5-kelsioy-os-to-telos-toy-aiona) — UN: Global Temperature Rise Will Exceed 1.5° Celsius by the End of the Century
- [Euronews](https://euronews.com/2026/10/21/this-is-possible-emissions-must-fall-by-18-in-next-4-years-to-limit-worst-impacts-of-globa) — 'Pull out all the stops': UN lays out path to limiting global warming
- [Business Times](https://businesstimes.com.sg/esg/un-sees-higher-global-warming-even-best-case-scenario) — UN sees higher global warming, even in best-case scenario
- [Lapresse](https://lapresse.it/green/2026/10/21/entro-fine-secolo-la-terra-si-riscaldera-di-26c) — By the End of the Century the Earth Will Warm up by 2.6°C
- [flash.gr](https://flash.gr/proeidopoiisi-oie-i-thermokrasia-toy-planiti-tha-ayxithei-kata-1-8-vathmoys-kelsioy-os-to-telos-toy-aiona-1087227) — UN Warning: Global Temperature Will Rise by 1.8 Degrees Celsius by the End of the Century
- [Novi list](https://novilist.hr/novosti/svijet/nove-klimatske-prognoze-un-a-cak-ni-najoptimisticniji-scenarij-vise-ne-predvida-ostanak-na-15-stupnjeva) — Noveklimatske Prognoze UN-a: 'ČAk Ni Najoptimističniji Scenarij Više Ne predviđa Ostanak Na 1,5 Stupnjeva'
- [Klix](https://klix.ba/scitech/nauka/un-upozorava-da-svijet-gubi-korak-u-borbi-protiv-klimatskih-promjena-posebno-prozvali-ameriku/261021043) — The UN Warns that the World Is Losing a Step in the Fight Against Climate Change, Specifically Calling Out America
- [Welt](https://welt.de/wissenschaft/article6ad84b32199dc15f1abdb474/erdwaermung-gefaehrlich-weit-von-klimazielen-entfernt-erde-steuert-laut-un-auf-2-8-grad-erwaermung-zu.html) — Earth Warming: "Dangerous Away From Climate Targets – Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming, According to the UN
- [Zeit Online](https://zeit.de/news/2026-10/21/erde-steuert-laut-un-auf-2-8-grad-erwaermung-zu) — Climate: According to the UN, Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [Liberation](https://liberation.fr/environnement/climat/climat-la-fenetre-pour-rester-sous-15-c-de-rechauffement-est-officiellement-fermee-selon-lonu-mais-elle-pourrait-se-rouvrir-20261021_43SHU6NRYBAWHDKSMNW5RG3JHE) — Climate: the Window to Stay Below 1.5°C of Warming Is Officially Closed According to the UN... But It Could Reopen
- [Die Presse](https://diepresse.com/41378075/erde-steuert-auf-2-8-grad-erwaermung-zu) — Earth Controls 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [Sud Ouest](https://sudouest.fr/environnement/climat/rechauffement-climatique/dereglement-du-climat-le-monde-sur-une-trajectoire-de-rechauffement-de-2-6-0c-d-ici-2100-31167622.php) — Climate Change: the World on a 2.6°C Warming Trajectory by 2100
- [Radio France Internationale](https://rfi.fr/fr/environnement/20261021-l-onu-acte-le-d%C3%A9passement-in%C3%A9vitable-d-1-5%C2%B0c-de-r%C3%A9chauffement-apr%C3%A8s-des-d%C3%A9cennies-d-insuffisance-climatique) — UN Acts "Inevitable Exceedance" of 1.5°C of Warming, After "Decades of Climate Insufficiency"
- [Neue Zürcher Zeitung](https://nzz.ch/panorama/die-erde-steuert-laut-den-vereinten-nationen-auf-28-grad-erwaermung-zu-ld.10039956) — Earth Controls 2.8 Degrees of Warming According to the Uno
- [Business Daily](https://businessdaily.gr/diethni/239202_oie-i-anodos-tis-thermokrasias-tha-xeperasei-orio-toy-15degc-eos-2100) — UN: Temperature Rise of up to 2.8 Degrees by 2100
- [Le Temps](https://letemps.ch/sciences/environnement/le-monde-avance-vers-un-rechauffement-de-2-6-c-mais-il-est-encore-temps-d-agir-selon-l-onu) — The World Is Moving Towards a 2.6°C Warming, but There Is Still a Window to Act, According to the UN
- [IndexHR](https://index.hr/vijesti/clanak/un-zemlja-ce-se-zagrijati-vise-nego-sto-se-dosad-predvidjalo/2847926.aspx) — UN Releases New Forecasts. Earth Faces Even Greater Temperature Rise
- [Le Huffington Post](https://huffingtonpost.fr/environnement/article/le-rechauffement-climatique-en-passe-d-etre-encore-plus-eleve-que-prevu-alerte-l-onu_342674.html) — 2.6°C by 2100: The UN's Dark Predictions on Global Warming
- [Kurier](https://kurier.at/chronik/welt/erde-uno-erwaermung-emissionen/403199714) — UN Climate Report: US Withdrawal Drives Warming to 2.8 Degrees
- [Deccan Chronicle](https://deccanchronicle.com/lifestyle/environment/un-warns-world-on-track-for-26c-warming-despite-climate-pledges-1997525) — UN Warns World on Track for 2.6°C Warming Despite Climate Pledges
- [Latestly](https://latestly.com/agency-news/rising-emissions-and-temperatures-the-cost-of-trumps-climate-retreat-7651566.html) — Rising Emissions and Temperatures: The Cost of Trump's Climate Retreat
- [shz](https://shz.de/deutschland-welt/politik/artikel/erde-steuert-auf-28-grad-erwaermung-zu-was-das-bedeutet-51621938) — Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming: What This Means for the Future
- [Tagesschau](https://tagesschau.de/video/video-1669852.html) — According to the UN Report, Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [corrieredellacalabria.it](https://corrieredellacalabria.it/2026/10/21/lallarme-dellonu-entro-la-fine-del-secolo-la-terra-si-riscaldera-di-26c) — The UN Alarm: "By the End of the Century the Earth Will Warm up by 2.6°C"
- [Times of India](https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/ahead-of-cop31-un-sees-higher-global-warming-even-in-best-case-scenario/articleshow/135082936.cms) — Ahead of COP31, UN sees higher global warming, even in best-case scenario
- [AlKhaleej Today](https://alkhaleejtoday.co/international/5866073/UN-says-15%C2%B0C-target-will-be-overshot-with-world-heading-for-26%C2%B0C-warming.html) — UN Says 1.5 °C Target Will Be Overshot, with World Heading for 2.6 °C Warming
- [Handelsblatt](https://handelsblatt.com/politik/international/klimawandel-neue-un-schaetzung-erde-steuert-auf-28-grad-erwaermung-zu/100263803.html) — Climate Change: New UN Estimate – Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [bienpublic.com](https://bienpublic.com/environnement/2026/10/21/le-monde-dangereusement-loin-du-compte-il-fera-2-6-c-de-plus-en-2100) — Climate. The World "Dangerously Away From the Account": It Will Make 2.6°C More by 2100
- [estrepublicain.fr](https://estrepublicain.fr/environnement/2026/10/21/le-monde-dangereusement-loin-du-compte-il-fera-2-6-c-de-plus-en-2100) — Climate. The World "Dangerously Away From the Account": It Will Make 2.6°C More by 2100
- [ledauphine.com](https://ledauphine.com/environnement/2026/10/21/le-monde-dangereusement-loin-du-compte-il-fera-2-6-c-de-plus-en-2100) — Climate. The World "Dangerously Away From the Account": It Will Make 2.6°C More by 2100
- [leprogres.fr](https://leprogres.fr/environnement/2026/10/21/le-monde-dangereusement-loin-du-compte-il-fera-2-6-c-de-plus-en-2100) — Climate. The World "Dangerously Away From the Account": It Will Make 2.6°C More by 2100
- [republicain-lorrain.fr](https://republicain-lorrain.fr/environnement/2026/10/21/le-monde-dangereusement-loin-du-compte-il-fera-2-6-c-de-plus-en-2100) — Climate. The World "Dangerously Away From the Account": It Will Make 2.6°C More by 2100
- [lejsl.com](https://lejsl.com/environnement/2026/10/21/le-monde-dangereusement-loin-du-compte-il-fera-2-6-c-de-plus-en-2100) — Climate. The World "Dangerously Away From the Account": It Will Make 2.6°C More by 2100
- [vosgesmatin.fr](https://vosgesmatin.fr/environnement/2026/10/21/le-monde-dangereusement-loin-du-compte-il-fera-2-6-c-de-plus-en-2100) — Climate. The World "Dangerously Away From the Account": It Will Make 2.6°C More by 2100
- [zdfheute.de](https://zdfheute.de/wissen/klimawandel-emissionen-co2-un-100.html) — Climate Change: UN Expects to Exceed 1.5 Degrees Limit
- [TV 2](https://tv2.no/nyheter/ny-klimarapport-klimakutt-takten-ma-okes-betraktelig/19344415) — New Climate Report: The Pace of Climate Cuts Must Be Increased Significantly
- [Novinky.cz](https://novinky.cz/clanek/pocasi-planeta-se-otepluje-rychleji-40603932) — The Planet Is Warming Faster
- [Reformatorisch Dagblad](https://rd.nl/a/vn-rapport-sterkere-opwarming-door-vertrek-vs-uit-klimaatakkoord) — UN Report: Stronger Warming Due to US Exit From Climate Agreement
- [Kyodo News+](https://english.kyodonews.net/articles/-/88943) — Above-1.5 C rise unavoidable amid insufficient climate action: U.N. report
- [nicematin.com](https://nicematin.com/environnement/climat-le-monde-vers-un-rechauffement-de-2-6-c-mais-il-est-encore-temps-d-agir-selon-l-onu-10744090) — Climate: the World Towards a Warming of 2.6°C, but It Is Still Time to Act According to the UN
- [suedtirolnews.it](https://suedtirolnews.it/politik/uno-bericht-erde-steuert-auf-28-grad-erwaermung-zu) — UN Report: Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [De Morgen](https://demorgen.be/tech-wetenschap/nog-onder-2-graden-opwarming-blijven-dat-zal-enkel-nog-lukken-met-draconische-maatregelen~b3c200b1) — Still Staying Below 2 Degrees of Warming? That Will only Be Possible with Draconian Measures.
- [vienna.at](https://vienna.at/uno-bericht-erde-steuert-auf-28-grad-erwaermung-zu/10568108) — UN Report: Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [ANSA](https://ansa.it/sito/notizie/mondo/2026/10/21/report-onu-sul-clima-nel-2025-emissioni-record-verso-26c_18ee6503-2269-442c-9b2e-9d54ac67d003.html) — UN Climate Report: 'In 2025 Record Emissions, Around +2.6°C by the End of the Century'
- [Nieuws.nl](https://nieuws.nl/buitenland/vn-rapport-sterkere-opwarming-door-vertrek-vs-uit-klimaatakkoord) — UN Report: Stronger Warming Due to US Exit From Climate Agreement
- [dagelijksestandaard.nl](https://dagelijksestandaard.nl/nieuws/vn-rapport-sterkere-opwarming-door-vertrek-vs-uit-klimaatakkoord) — UN Report: Stronger Warming Due to US Exit From Climate Agreement
- [welingelichtekringen.nl](https://welingelichtekringen.nl/samenleving/vn-rapport-sterkere-opwarming-door-vertrek-vs-uit-klimaatakkoord) — UN Report: Stronger Warming Due to US Exit From Climate Agreement
- [turkiyegazetesi.com.tr](https://turkiyegazetesi.com.tr/dunya/bmden-dunyaya-korkutan-iklim-uyarisi-15-derece-siniri-artik-kacinilmaz-1824137) — UN Issues Alarming Climate Warning to the World! The 1.5 Degree Limit Is Now Unavoidable.
- [La Croix](https://la-croix.com/planete/climat-le-monde-vers-un-rechauffement-de-26-c-selon-l-onu-20261021) — Climate: the World Towards a Warming of 2.6°C According to the UN
- [Malay Mail](https://malaymail.com/news/world/2026/10/21/un-says-15c-target-will-be-overshot-with-world-heading-for-26c-warming/240011) — UN says 1.5°C target will be overshot, with world heading for 2.6°C warming
- [rtl.lu](https://today.rtl.lu/news/world/world-falling-dangerously-short-on-climate-action-un-chief-251616618) — World falling 'dangerously short' on climate action: UN chief
- [Presse-fotos.dk](https://presse-fotos.dk/dyster-klimamelding-jorden-vil-overskride-den-afgoerende-graense) — Gloomy Climate Report: Can No Longer Be Avoided
- [franceinfo.fr](https://franceinfo.fr/environnement/crise-climatique/le-monde-se-dirige-vers-un-rechauffement-de-2-6-c-d-ici-a-2100-a-cause-de-politiques-climatiques-dangereusement-insuffisantes-alerte-l-onu_8246770.html) — The World Is Moving Towards a Warming of 2.6°C by 2100, Due to "Dangerously Insufficient Climate Policies", Warns the UN
- [ORF.at News](https://orf.at/stories/3445697) — UNEP: Earth Controls 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [Globo](https://g1.globo.com/meio-ambiente/noticia/2026/10/21/aquecimento-global-vai-passar-de-15c-e-pode-chegar-a-28c-diz-onu.ghtml) — Global Warming Will Exceed 1.5°C, Points Out New UN Report
- [online-listing.com](https://online-listing.com/news/blogger/2026/10/21/world-must-cut-emissions-by-18-in-four-years-to-find-our-way-back-un-says/happenings) — World must cut emissions by 18% in four years ‘to find our way back’, UN says
- [WBAL](https://wbal.com/un-projections-say-world-is-losing-ground-in-fight-to-curb-climate-change-faulting-us-a-bit) — UN projections say world is losing ground in fight to curb climate cha
- [Nettavisen](https://nettavisen.no/nyheter/ny-klimarapport-klimakutt-takten-ma-okes-betraktelig/s/80-95-177654) — New Climate Report: The Pace of Climate Cuts Must Be Increased Significantly
- [banett.no](https://banett.no/nyheter/n/qywG8z/ny-klimarapport-klimakutt-takten-maa-oekes-betraktelig) — New Climate Report: The Pace of Climate Cuts Must Be Increased Significantly
- [FOCUS online](https://focus.de/earth/erde-steuert-laut-un-auf-2-8-grad-erwaermung-zu_3734b698-672e-41fc-b936-f90602965901.html) — According to the UN, Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [RP Online](https://rp-online.de/panorama/wissen/klima/erde-steuert-laut-un-auf-2-8-grad-erwaermung-zu_aid-156953233) — Consequences of Climate Change: According to the UN, Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [The Queenslander](https://theqldr.com.au/weather/2026/10/21/climate-165) — ‘No surrender’: UN urges action as 1.5C goal slips away
- [nordbayern.de](https://nordbayern.de/schlagzeilen/erde-steuert-laut-un-auf-2-8-grad-erwarmung-zu-1.15323214) — According to the UN, Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [berlingske.dk](https://berlingske.dk/internationalt/global-opvarmning-vil-uundgaaeligt-overskride-15-grader) — Global Warming Will Inevitably Exceed 1.5 Degrees
- [onetz.de](https://onetz.de/deutschland-welt/erde-steuert-laut-un-28-grad-erwaermung-id5537734.html) — According to the UN, Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [Badische Neueste Nachrichten](https://bnn.de/nachrichten/deutschland-und-welt/erde-steuert-laut-un-auf-28-grad-erwaermung-zu1) — According to the UN, Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [The Straits Times](https://straitstimes.com/world/un-sees-higher-global-warming-even-in-best-case-scenario) — UN sees higher global warming, even in best-case scenario
- [Ekstra Bladet](https://ekstrabladet.dk/nyheder/global-opvarmning-vil-uundgaaeligt-overskride-15-grader/11327571) — Inevitable: Will Exceed 1.5 Degrees
- [Hola News](https://holanews.com/onu-revertir-la-superacion-de-15-oc-en-temperatura-global-exige-recorte-urgente-de-gases) — UN: Reversing over 1.5 °C in Global Temperature Requires Urgent Gas Cutting
- [NOS](https://nos.nl/artikel/2636035-vn-rapport-opwarming-van-meer-dan-1-5-graad-celsius-onvermijdelijk) — UN Report: Warming of More than 1.5 Degrees Celsius Inevitable
- [volksfreund.de](https://volksfreund.de/sport/olympia2024/erde-steuert-laut-un-auf-2-8-grad-erwaermung-zu_aid-156953123) — Climate: According to the UN, Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [saarbruecker-zeitung.de](https://saarbruecker-zeitung.de/sport/olympia2026/erde-steuert-laut-un-auf-2-8-grad-erwaermung-zu_aid-156953127) — Climate: According to the UN, Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [wz.de](https://wz.de/politik/ausland/erde-steuert-laut-un-auf-2-8-grad-erwaermung-zu_aid-156953139) — According to the UN, Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [RN](https://ruhrnachrichten.de/dpa-infoline-zvr/erde-steuert-laut-un-auf-28-grad-erwaermung-zu-w1264144-2002271846) — According to the UN, Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [bbv-net.de](https://bbv-net.de/dpa-infoline-zvr/erde-steuert-laut-un-auf-28-grad-erwaermung-zu-w1264144-6000649247) — According to the UN, Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [BT](https://bt.dk/udland/global-opvarmning-vil-uundgaaeligt-overskride-15-grader) — Global Warming Will Inevitably Exceed 1.5 Degrees
- [PerthNow](https://perthnow.com.au/news/environment/no-surrender-un-urges-action-as-15c-goal-slips-away-c-23053601) — 'No surrender': UN urges action as 1.5C goal slips away
- [The West Australian](https://thewest.com.au/news/environment/no-surrender-un-urges-action-as-15c-goal-slips-away-c-23053606) — 'No surrender': UN urges action as 1.5C goal slips away
- [n-tv](https://n-tv.de/politik/UN-Erde-steuert-auf-2-8-Grad-Erwaermung-zu-id31440904.html) — "Must Pull All Registers": UN: Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [WTVB](https://wtvbam.com/2026/10/21/un-sees-higher-global-warming-even-in-best-case-scenario) — UN sees higher global warming, even in best-case scenario
- [t-online](https://t-online.de/nachrichten/panorama/id_101490418/klimawandel-menschheit-verfehlt-1-5-grad-ziel-wohl-deutlich.html) — Forecasted Global Warming Doubles
- [svt Nyheter](https://svt.se/nyheter/inrikes/fn-omojligt-klara-parisavtalets-mal) — UN: Impossible to Meet Paris Agreement Goals
- [Reuters](https://reuters.com/sustainability/cop/un-sees-higher-global-warming-even-best-case-scenario-2026-10-21) — UN sees higher global warming, even in best-case scenario
- [Hamburger Abendblatt](https://abendblatt.de/panorama/article413467499/erde-steuert-laut-un-auf-28-grad-erwaermung-zu.html) — Climate Crisis: According to the UN, Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [Westfalenpost](https://wp.de/panorama/article413467499/erde-steuert-laut-un-auf-28-grad-erwaermung-zu.html) — Climate Crisis: According to the UN, Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [Berliner Morgenpost](https://morgenpost.de/panorama/article413467499/erde-steuert-laut-un-auf-28-grad-erwaermung-zu.html) — Climate Targets Massively at Risk: According to the UN, Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [Ostthüringer Zeitung](https://otz.de/panorama/article413467499/erde-steuert-laut-un-auf-28-grad-erwaermung-zu.html) — Climate Crisis: According to the UN, Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [Thüringer Allgemeine](https://thueringer-allgemeine.de/panorama/article413467499/erde-steuert-laut-un-auf-28-grad-erwaermung-zu.html) — Climate Crisis: According to the UN, Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [Westdeutsche Allgemeine Zeitung](https://waz.de/panorama/article413467499/erde-steuert-laut-un-auf-28-grad-erwaermung-zu.html) — Climate Crisis: According to the UN, Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [braunschweiger-zeitung.de](https://braunschweiger-zeitung.de/panorama/article413467499/erde-steuert-laut-un-auf-28-grad-erwaermung-zu.html) — Climate Crisis: According to the UN, Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [ikz-online.de](https://ikz-online.de/panorama/article413467499/erde-steuert-laut-un-auf-28-grad-erwaermung-zu.html) — Climate Crisis: According to the UN, Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [nrz.de](https://nrz.de/panorama/article413467499/erde-steuert-laut-un-auf-28-grad-erwaermung-zu.html) — Climate Crisis: According to the UN, Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [tlz.de](https://tlz.de/panorama/article413467499/erde-steuert-laut-un-auf-28-grad-erwaermung-zu.html) — Climate Crisis: According to the UN, Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [wr.de](https://wr.de/panorama/article413467499/erde-steuert-laut-un-auf-28-grad-erwaermung-zu.html) — Climate Crisis: According to the UN, Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [KESQ](https://kesq.com/cnn-other/2026/10/20/as-climate-summit-approaches-un-reports-existing-1-5c-warming-limit-is-no-longer-achievable) — As climate summit approaches, UN reports existing 1.5C warming limit is no longer achievable
- [KEYT](https://keyt.com/news/national-world/cnn-other/2026/10/20/as-climate-summit-approaches-un-reports-existing-1-5c-warming-limit-is-no-longer-achievable) — As climate summit approaches, UN reports existing 1.5C warming limit is no longer achievable
- [KMIZ](https://abc17news.com/cnn-other/2026/10/21/as-climate-summit-approaches-un-reports-existing-1-5c-warming-limit-is-no-longer-achievable) — As climate summit approaches, UN reports existing 1.5C warming limit is no longer achievable
- [kioncentralcoast.com](https://kioncentralcoast.com/cnn-other/2026/10/20/as-climate-summit-approaches-un-reports-existing-1-5c-warming-limit-is-no-longer-achievable) — As climate summit approaches, UN reports existing 1.5C warming limit is no longer achievable
- [Dagens Nyheter.](https://dn.se/varlden/fn-rapport-varnar-varlden-pa-vag-mot-2-8-graders-uppvarmning) — UN Report Warns: World on Track for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [Haberler](https://haberler.com/guncel/guterres-1-5-derece-sinirinin-asilmasinin-20350290-haberi) — Guterres Said that Exceeding the 1.5-Degree Limit Was Inevitable.
- [RTÉ](https://rte.ie/news/environment/2026/1021/1596194-un-climate-report) — World can no longer avoid exceeding 1.5C threshold
- [Noticias ao Minuto](https://noticiasaominuto.com/mundo/3070233/onu-alerta-limite-de-1-5-graus-de-aquecimento-global-ja-foi-ultrapassado) — UN Alert: 1.5 Degree Global Warming Limit Has Already Been Exceeded
- [Deutsche Welle](https://dw.com/en/rising-emissions-and-temperatures-the-cost-of-trumps-climate-retreat-is-now-clear/a-79714915) — Rising emissions and temperatures: The cost of Trump's climate retreat
- [inFranken.de](https://infranken.de/ueberregional/newsticker-national/eilmeldungen/erde-steuert-laut-un-auf-28-grad-erwaermung-zu-art-6404988) — According to the UN, Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [tv4.se](https://tv4.se/artikel/4mP6VtniK4AYfVazLfUUJJ/ny-fn-rapport-vaerlden-missar-1-5-gradersmalet) — New UN Report: The World Is Missing the 1.5 Degree Target
- [Energi og Klima](https://energiogklima.no/data/fn-rapport-1-7-grader-det-beste-vi-kan-klare) — UN Report: 1.7 Degrees the Best We Can Manage
- [avisendanmark.dk](https://avisendanmark.dk/udland/global-opvarmning-vil-uundgaaeligt-overskride-1-5-grader) — Global Warming Will Inevitably Exceed 1.5 Degrees
- [Le Monde](https://lemonde.fr/planete/article/2026/10/21/l-action-climatique-est-dangereusement-insuffisante-alertent-les-nations-unies-face-au-depassement-annonce-du-seuil-de-1-5-c-de-rechauffement_6798118_3244.html) — Climate Action Is "Dangerously Insufficient", Warn the United Nations Against the Announced Exceedance of the 1.5°C Threshold of Warming
- [Newcastle Herald](https://newcastleherald.com.au/story/9372877/no-surrender-un-urges-action-as-15c-goal-slips-away) — 'No surrender': UN urges action as 1.5C goal slips away
- [The Canberra Times](https://canberratimes.com.au/story/9372877/no-surrender-un-urges-action-as-15c-goal-slips-away) — 'No surrender': UN urges action as 1.5C goal slips away
- [aachener-zeitung.de](https://aachener-zeitung.de/politik/erde-steuert-laut-un-auf-28-grad-erwaermung-zu/163373761.html) — According to the UN, Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [noz.de](https://noz.de/deutschland-welt/politik/artikel/erde-steuert-laut-un-auf-28-grad-erwaermung-zu-51621937) — According to the UN, Earth Is Heading for 2.8 Degrees of Warming
- [La Presse](https://lapresse.ca/actualites/2026-10-21/nouveau-rapport/encore-plus-de-canicules-de-secheresses-et-d-incendies-previent-l-onu.php) — New Report | More Heatwaves, Droughts and Fires, UN Warns
- [The Independent](https://independent.co.uk/climate-change/un-global-warming-climate-antonio-guterres-b3070119.html) — Urgent emissions cuts needed to ‘minimise’ peak global warming, UN warns
- [The Independent (US)](https://the-independent.com/climate-change/un-global-warming-climate-antonio-guterres-b3070119.html) — Urgent emissions cuts needed to ‘minimise’ peak global warming, UN warns
- [El Pais](https://elpais.com/clima-y-medio-ambiente/2026-10-21/la-onu-asume-la-dura-realidad-el-mundo-superara-los-15-grados-y-activa-un-plan-b.html) — The UN Assumes the “Hard Reality”: the World Will Exceed 1.5 Degrees and Activate a Plan B
- [3cat.cat](https://3cat.cat/3catinfo/lonu-alerta-que-el-planeta-sencamina-cap-a-un-escalfament-de-2-8-graus-a-finals-de-segle/noticia/3435013) — The UN Warns that the Planet Is Headed Towards a Warming of 2.8 Degrees by the End of the Century
- [Metrópoles](https://metropoles.com/ciencia/mundo-podera-aquecer-28c-ate-2100-caso-sejam-mantidas-politicas-atuais) — World Can Warm 2.8°C to 2100 if Current Policies Are Maintained
- [La Vanguardia](https://lavanguardia.com/natural/20261021/11663785/onu-ve-imposible-calentamiento-frene-1-5-c-meta-acuerdo-paris.html) — The UN Already Sees No Way of Stopping Warming in the 1.5 °C, the Goal of the Paris Agreement
- [UN News](https://news.un.org/en/story/2026/10/1168634) — Global warming will breach 1.5°C – but deep, fast cuts can still bring it back
- [Al-Monitor](https://al-monitor.com/originals/2026/10/un-sees-higher-global-warming-even-best-case-scenario) — UN sees higher global warming, even in best-case scenario
- [Nature](https://nature.com/articles/d41586-026-03355-x) — Global emissions slow — but world hurtles towards 2 °C of warming
- [Climate Depot](https://climatedepot.com/2026/10/19/un-climate-panic-rests-on-false-scenario-buried-past-un-fabricated-a-climate-emergency-using-a-scenario-its-own-modelers-now-call-implausible) — UN Climate Panic Rests on False Scenario & Buried Past – ‘UN fabricated a climate emergency, using a scenario its own modelers now call implausible’
- [CO2 Coalition](https://co2coalition.org/2026/10/19/un-climate-panic-rests-on-false-scenario-and-buried-past) — UN Climate Panic Rests on False Scenario and Buried Past

## Questions

**Will global warming exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius?**

Yes, according to a UN Environment Programme report, global warming will inevitably exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius compared to pre-industrial levels. Decades of insufficient climate action have made this unavoidable, though the duration of the overshoot can be limited.

**What is the projected warming by 2100 with current policies?**

With current global climate policies in place, the Earth is heading towards 2.8 degrees Celsius of warming by the end of the century. This is a significant increase from the 1.5-degree target.

**Is there a scenario where temperatures return to 1.5 degrees Celsius?**

Yes, the best-case scenario projects global temperatures peaking around 1.7-1.8 degrees Celsius mid-century and then gradually falling back to 1.5 degrees Celsius by 2100. This outcome requires immediate and drastic reductions in greenhouse gas emissions.

---

MediaBias News — https://mediabias.news. Reproduced from https://mediabias.news/climate/global-warming-to-exceed-15c-un-report-warns. Please cite as: MediaBias News, "Global warming to exceed 1.5C, UN report warns", https://mediabias.news/climate/global-warming-to-exceed-15c-un-report-warns