---
title: "Ukraine Intelligence: Russia Has 700 Ballistic Missiles in Reserve"
publication: "MediaBias News"
url: "https://mediabias.news/conflict/ukraine-intelligence-russia-has-700-ballistic-missiles-in-reserve"
api: "https://mediabias.news/api/v1/stories/ukraine-intelligence-russia-has-700-ballistic-missiles-in-reserve"
markdown: "https://mediabias.news/conflict/ukraine-intelligence-russia-has-700-ballistic-missiles-in-reserve.md"
audio: "https://mediabias.news/api/audio/ukraine-intelligence-russia-has-700-ballistic-missiles-in-reserve"
category: "Conflict & Security"
area: "Ukraine"
published: "2026-10-21T11:05:11.736Z"
source_reported: "2026-10-21T10:17:40.000Z"
updated: "2026-10-21T15:15:36.761Z"
trust_score: 60
critic_score: 50
hype_score: 45
assessment_type: "coverage-and-source-reporting-analysis"
fact_check_status: "not-performed"
coverage_measured: "2026-10-22T10:15:33.893194+00:00"
---

# Ukraine Intelligence: Russia Has 700 Ballistic Missiles in Reserve

*Kyiv's defense intelligence estimates Moscow's reserves and monthly production of missiles and drones.*

**Scores for the source reporting** (0-100, assessing the original journalism this article was written from, not this write-up): 

- Trust 60 of 100, higher is better. Central claims attributed to Ukraine's Defense Intelligence (HUR) and corroborated by 12 digests.
- Craft 50 of 100, higher is better. Reporting relies heavily on intelligence assessments, with limited detail on the methodology or verification.
- Hype 45 of 100, lower is better. Headlines emphasize the scale of the threat, using terms like 'ready to strike' and 'scale of the threat'.

Scored by MediaBias News; method at https://mediabias.news/methodology.

**The short version**

- Ukraine's Defense Intelligence (HUR) estimates Russia possesses up to 700 ballistic missiles and more than 6,000 attack drones.
- HUR reports Russia's monthly drone production has reached 10,000 units, including thousands of jet-powered models.
- Monthly production figures for specific missiles include up to 65 Iskander-M ballistic missiles and over 80 Kh-101 cruise missiles.
- Russia is also estimated to have several thousand cruise missiles in reserve.

Ukraine's Defense Intelligence (HUR) has provided estimates of Russia's missile and drone stockpiles and production capabilities. According to HUR, Russia maintains reserves of up to 700 ballistic missiles and several thousand cruise missiles. The agency also estimates that Russia has more than 6,000 attack drones in reserve.

Russia's monthly output of unmanned aerial vehicles has reached approximately 10,000 units, according to HUR. This includes a significant number of jet-powered Geran drones, with monthly production of Geran-4 and Geran-5 models estimated at around 4,000 units. The production of the standard Geran-2 drone is estimated at about 2,000 units per month.

## Missile Production Figures

HUR estimates Russia produces up to 65 Iskander-M ballistic missiles per month, adding to a current stockpile of around 115. Monthly production of Kh-101 cruise missiles exceeds 80 units. The agency also estimates Russia produces approximately 29 Kalibr sea-launched cruise missiles per month, with reserves of over 450. Production of RM-48U missiles, adapted from air defense systems for ground strikes, is estimated at around 40 per month, with reserves of up to 400.

The intelligence also indicated that Russia has over 600 Oniks anti-ship missiles and more than 120 Zircon hypersonic missiles. Production of Kinzhal air-launched ballistic missiles has been temporarily suspended due to accuracy issues, with production capacity redirected to conventional ballistic missiles.

## What the coverage left out

None of the right-rated digests mention the specific monthly production figures for Iskander-M ballistic missiles (up to 65) or Kh-101 cruise missiles (over 80) that were detailed in the left-rated reports and the Kyiv Post full report. The right-rated digests also did not mention the estimated reserve of 115 Iskander-M missiles or the production of 40 RM-48U missiles per month.

No centre-rated outlet ran this story.

## Who covered it

Shares of the 6 covering outlets with a published leaning rating:

- Left: 67% (4)
- Centre: 16% (1)
- Right: 17% (1)

14 of 20 covering outlets carried no usable leaning rating and were excluded from those percentages. Coverage measured 2026-10-22T10:15:33.893194+00:00.

**Coverage watch:** developing. Checked 4 times; 1 check found a material change. Most recently checked 2026-10-21T20:45:39.436Z.

## How the sides framed it

### Left

- The left-rated reports from Kyiv Post and unn.ua led with the headline figures for Russia's reserves of ballistic missiles and drones. Both reports detailed Russia's monthly production rates for various missile types, including Iskander-M and Kh-101, and highlighted the significant output of Geran drones. Kyiv Post's full report also included details on Russia's reserves and production of Kalibr, RM-48U, Oniks, and Zircon missiles, as well as the suspension of Kinzhal production.

### Centre

No separate framing summary.

### Right

- The right-rated reports from Korrespondent.net, Protothema, EADaily, news-pravda.com, and topwar.ru focused on the headline figure of Russia possessing up to 700 ballistic missiles. Protothema and news-pravda.com also mentioned the figure of 6,200 drones and the monthly drone production of 10,000 units. EADaily's digest stated Russia is increasing production to deplete Ukrainian air defence, while topwar.ru noted Ukraine's military intelligence assessed Russia's missile stocks as significant.

**Provisional coverage gap:** right. The watch is not closed, so this is not yet a settled blindspot finding.

## Factuality profile of the covering outlets

These are published factuality ratings of the outlets, not a verdict on whether this story or its claims are true.

- veryLow: 1
- high: 4
- unknown: 14
- veryHigh: 1

## Verification scope

This page compares coverage and scores the source reporting. It is not a ClaimReview verdict on whether the underlying event or claim is true.

## Original reporting this was written from

- [Politico Europe](https://politico.eu/article/russia-launches-massive-strikes-on-ukraine-us-donald-trump-says-peace-is-closer-than-ever) — Russia launches massive strikes on Ukraine as Trump says peace is closer than ever
- [suedtirolnews.it](https://suedtirolnews.it/politik/nach-gespraechen-erneut-raketenangriffe-in-der-ukraine) — After Talks, Rocket Attacks in Ukraine Again
- [online-listing.com](https://online-listing.com/news/blogger/2026/10/22/zelenskyy-appears-to-mock-witkoff-for-his-praise-for-humanitarian-putin-after-kyiv-attacks-europe-live/happenings) — Zelenskyy appears to mock Witkoff for his praise for ‘humanitarian’ Putin after Kyiv attacks – Europe live
- [fakti.bg](https://fakti.bg/world/1092716-rusia-izstrela-21-raketi-po-kiev-sled-pregovorite-s-pratenika-na-tramp-kaza-zelenski) — Russia Fired 21 Missiles at Kiev After Talks with Trump Envoy, Zelensky Says
- [MSNBCTV NEWS](https://msnbctv.news/zelenskyy-appears-to-mock-witkoff-for-his-praise-for-humanitarian-putin-after-kyiv-attacks-europe-live-france) — Zelenskyy appears to mock Witkoff for his praise for ‘humanitarian’ Putin after Kyiv attacks – Europe live
- [5 канал](https://5.ua/polityka/try-khvyli-balistychnykh-udariv-vypustyly-rosiiski-humanisty-po-kyievi-zelenskyi-385099.html) — Three Waves of Ballistic Strikes Launched by Russian “Humanists” on Kyiv
- [OnAlert](https://onalert.gr/kosmos/oi-rosoi-anthropistes-ektokseysan-21-vallistikous-pyraylous-enantion-tou-kievou-kamia-allagi-stasis-apo-ti-mosxa/827898) — "Russian 'Humanitarians' Launched 21 Ballistic Missiles Against Kiev - No Change in Stance From Moscow"
- [Kyiv Post](https://kyivpost.com/post/87830) — Zelensky on Overnight Strike: ‘Russian ‘Humanists’ Launch 21 Ballistic Missiles at Kyiv in 3 Waves’
- [Agenzia giornalistica Opinione](https://agenziagiornalisticaopinione.it/opinionmix/ladige-it-attualita-zelensky-dai-compassionevoli-russi-tre-ondate-di-missili-balistici-su-kiev) — Zelensky, Three Waves of Ballistic Missiles on Kiev
- [Giornale Radio](https://giornaleradio.fm/estero/ucraina-zelensky-in-polemica-con-witkoff-tre-ondate-di-missili-balistici-lanciati-dagli-umanitari-russi) — Ukraine, Zelensky in Controversy with Witkoff: "Three Waves of Ballistic Missiles Launched by the Russian 'Humanitarians'"
- [notizie.it](https://notizie.it/ucraina-zelensky-in-polemica-con-witkoff-tre-ondate-di-missili-balistici-lanciati-dagli-umanitari-russi) — Ukraine, Zelensky in Polemic with Witkoff: Three Waves of Ballistic Missiles Launched by the Russian "Humanitarian"
- [newsbiella.it](https://newsbiella.it/2026/10/22/leggi-notizia/argomenti/ultimora/articolo/ucraina-zelensky-in-polemica-con-witkoff-tre-ondate-di-missili-balistici-lanciati-dagli-umanitar.html) — Ukraine, Zelensky in Controversy with Witkoff: "Three Waves of Ballistic Missiles Launched by the Russian 'Humanitarians'"
- [Rec News | Lontani dal mainstream](https://recnews.it/2026/10/22/ucraina-zelensky-in-polemica-con-witkoff-tre-ondate-di-missili-balistici-lanciati-dagli-umanitari-russi) — Ukraine, Zelensky in Polemic with Witkoff: Three Waves of Ballistic Missiles Launched by the Russian "Humanitarian"
- [news-pravda.com](https://news-pravda.com/world/2026/10/22/2686074.html) — Three waves of educational attacks by ballistics have been inflicted on Kiev
- [ANSA](https://ansa.it/sito/notizie/mondo/2026/10/22/ucraina-zelensky-dai-compassionevoli-russi-tre-ondate-di-missili-balistici-su-kiev_98c24b57-9871-4c38-bc42-2d378bac89ad.html) — Ukraine, Zelensky: "From the Compassionate Russians Three Waves of Ballistic Missiles on Kiev"
- [armyinform.com.ua](https://armyinform.com.ua/2026/10/22/%c2%abtry-hvyli-balistyky-vid-%e2%80%9egumanistiv%e2%80%9c%c2%bb-prezydent-nazvav-udar-po-kyyevu-vidpoviddyu-rf-na-myrni-inicziatyvy-ssha) — “Three Waves of Ballistics From “Humanists”: President Called the Attack on Kiev the Russian Response to the Peace Initiatives of the United States
- [Unknown](https://nv.ua/ukr/ukraine/politics/kijiv-obstril-22-zhovtnya-rosiya-vipustila-21-raketu-pislya-peregovoriv-ye-zhertvi-ta-ruynuvannya-50652350.html) — “Response to Negotiations”. Russian “Humanists” Launched Three Waves of Ballistic Strikes on Kyiv, Using 21 Missiles
- [Ynet News](https://ynetnews.com/article/p7s1hf70y) — Zelenskyy: Russia Launched 21 Ballistic Missiles Towards Kyiv
- [ТСН.ua](https://tsn.ua/ukrayina/rakety-vdaryly-tryoma-khvyliamy-rosiia-vlashtuvala-kryvavyy-teror-u-mistakh-ukrayiny-shcho-vidomo-pro-prylyoty-ta-zertv-foto-3196511.html) — Missiles Hit in Three Waves: Russia Staged Bloody Terror in Ukrainian Cities — What Is Known About “Arrivals” and Casualties (f...
- [hromadske.ua](https://hromadske.ua/en/war/272956-russia-launches-210-drones-and-missiles-at-ukraine-killing-one-and-injuring-22-in-kyiv) — Russia fires 21 ballistic missiles at Kyiv in three waves, killing two across Ukraine (UPDATED)
- [Ziare](https://ziare.com/razboi-ucraina/rusia-productie-rachete-drone-2042796) — Russia Has up to 700 Ballistic Missiles and 6,200 Attack Drones Ready for Attacks on Ukraine, According to Ukrainian Intelligence Services
- [Večernji list](https://vecernji.hr/vijesti/obavjestajci-otkrili-najnovije-brojke-ovakav-arsenal-mogao-bi-baciti-ukrajince-na-koljena-2006322) — Intelligence Reveals Latest Figures: This Arsenal Could Bring Ukrainians to Their Knees
- [Rzeczpospolita](https://rp.pl/konflikty-zbrojne/art45371421-ukraina-alarmuje-rosja-zgromadzila-kilka-tysiecy-rakiet) — Ukraine Raises Alarm: Russia Has Accumulated Several Thousand Missiles
- [rmf24.pl](https://rmf24.pl/fakty/swiat/news-rosjanie-beda-mieli-czym-strzelac-nowe-doniesienia-o-pokazny,nIdn,1022848) — The Russians Will Have Plenty to Shoot with. New Reports of Substantial Stockpiles
- [ZN.UA Зеркало недели](https://zn.ua/ukr/war/u-hur-rozpovili-skilki-raket-ta-droniv-nakopichili-rosijani-dlja-udariv-po-ukrajini.html) — GUR Told How Many Missiles and Drones Russians Have Accumulated for Strikes on Ukraine
- [jauns.lv](https://jauns.lv/raksts/arzemes/734368-krievija-uzkrajusi-iespaidigu-rakesu-un-dronu-arsenalu-triecieniem-ukrainai) — Russia Has Amassed an Impressive Arsenal of Missiles and Drones for Strikes on Ukraine
- [Protothema](https://protothema.gr/world/article/1898253/i-rosia-diathetei-os-kai-700-vallistikous-kai-6200-drones-etoima-na-htupisoun-tin-oukrania) — Russia Has up to 700 Ballistic Missiles and 6,200 Drones Ready to Strike Ukraine
- [nyadagbladet.se](https://nyadagbladet.se/utrikes/ukrainsk-underrattelsetjanst-ryssland-har-upp-till-700-ballistiska-robotar) — Ukrainian Intelligence Assesses Russia's Missile Stockpile
- [Kyiv Post](https://kyivpost.com/post/87696) — Russia Has Up to 700 Ballistic Missiles, 6,200 Attack Drones Ready to Strike Ukraine, Intelligence Says
- [EADaily](https://eadaily.com/ru/news/2026/10/21/gur-rossiya-narashchivaet-vypusk-raket-i-bespilotnikov-dlya-istoshchenie-ukrainskoy-pvo) — GUR: Russia Is Increasing the Production of Missiles and Drones to Deplete Ukrainian Air Defence.
- [Báo điện tử Dân Trí](https://dantri.com.vn/the-gioi/ukraine-bao-dong-ve-kho-vu-khi-nga-700-ten-lua-dan-dao-6200-uav-20261021143931184.htm) — Ukraine Raises Alarm over Russian Weapons Stockpile: 700 Ballistic Missiles, 6,200 UAVs.
- [unn.ua](https://unn.ua/news/hur-rosiia-nakopychyla-do-700-balistychnykh-raket-i-ponad-6-tys-droniv) — GUR: Russia Has Accumulated up to 700 Ballistic Missiles and More than 6,000 Drones
- [topwar.ru](https://topwar.ru/292042-voennaja-razvedka-ukrainy-ocenila-zapasy-raket-u-rossii-kak-znachitelnye.html) — Ukraine ' S Military Intelligence Has Assessed Russia ' S Missile Stocks as Significant.
- [Unknown](https://war.obozrevatel.com/section-war/news-u-hur-rozkryly-skilky-balistyky-krylatykh-raket-ta-udarnykh-droniv-nakopychyla-rosiya-21-10-2026.html) — The GUR Reported How Many Ballistic Missiles, Cruise Missiles and Attack Drones Russia Has Accumulated
- [Gazeta](https://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/swiat/7,198077,33088475,wiecej-do-powiedzenia-ma-natura-niz-rosjanie-ich-plan-na-zime.html) — Nature Has More to Say than the Russians. Their Winter Plan Is Nothing Short of Surprising.
- [Korrespondent.net](https://korrespondent.net/world/4921954-rf-nakopyla-700-ballystycheskykh-raket-hur) — The Russian Federation Has Accumulated 700 Ballistic Missiles
- [ТСН.ua](https://tsn.ua/ato/rosiia-nakopychyla-tysiachi-raket-i-droniv-pered-zymoiu-u-hur-rozkryly-masshtaby-zahrozy-3195315.html) — Russia Has Accumulated Thousands of Missiles and Drones Before Winter: GUR Revealed the Scale of the Threat
- [Actualno.com](https://actualno.com/europe/s-kakvi-zapasi-ot-balistichni-raketi-i-dronove-razpolaga-rusija-news_2652689.html) — What Stockpiles of Ballistic Missiles and Drones Does Russia Have?
- [news-pravda.com](https://news-pravda.com/russia/2026/10/20/2681834.html) — Russia has accumulated thousands of attack drones and missiles on the eve of winter, producing more than 200 missiles of various types every month, including 110 ballistic missiles
- [Unknown](https://english.nv.ua/nation/russia-produces-110-ballistic-missiles-and-10k-drones-monthly-50651733.html) — Russia's missile stockpile steady at pre-autumn levels despite wave of strikes

## Questions

**How many ballistic missiles does Ukraine's intelligence estimate Russia has in reserve?**

Ukraine's Defense Intelligence estimates that Russia has up to 700 ballistic missiles in reserve. This figure is consistent across multiple reports based on HUR's assessments.

**What is Russia's estimated monthly production of drones?**

According to HUR, Russia's monthly output of unmanned aerial vehicles has reached approximately 10,000 units. This includes a significant number of jet-powered Geran drones, with monthly production of specific models estimated at thousands.

**Which specific missile types does Ukraine's intelligence provide production figures for?**

Ukraine's Defense Intelligence has provided monthly production estimates for Iskander-M ballistic missiles (up to 65), Kh-101 cruise missiles (over 80), and Kalibr sea-launched cruise missiles (around 29). They also estimate monthly production of RM-48U missiles at about 40.

---

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