--- title: "Alaska Governor says zero chance of US invasion of Canada" publication: "MediaBias News" url: "https://mediabias.news/politics/alaska-governor-says-zero-chance-of-us-invasion-of-canada" api: "https://mediabias.news/api/v1/stories/alaska-governor-says-zero-chance-of-us-invasion-of-canada" markdown: "https://mediabias.news/politics/alaska-governor-says-zero-chance-of-us-invasion-of-canada.md" audio: "https://mediabias.news/api/audio/alaska-governor-says-zero-chance-of-us-invasion-of-canada" category: "Politics" area: "United States" published: "2026-09-26T17:45:34.176Z" source_reported: "2026-09-26T00:25:22.000Z" updated: "2026-09-26T17:45:34.176Z" trust_score: 42 critic_score: 61 hype_score: 20 assessment_type: "coverage-and-source-reporting-analysis" fact_check_status: "not-performed" coverage_measured: "2026-09-26T20:00:18.365491+00:00" --- # Alaska Governor says zero chance of US invasion of Canada *Mike Dunleavy spoke at a business forum days after Prime Minister Mark Carney revealed his government studied the risk.* **Scores for the source reporting** (0-100, assessing the original journalism this article was written from, not this write-up): - Trust 42 of 100, higher is better. Two full reports and 12 digests corroborate the central claim, with specific attribution to the Alaska governor. - Craft 61 of 100, higher is better. Two full reports provide details on the context and implications of the remarks, quoting multiple sources. - Hype 20 of 100, lower is better. Headlines and reporting are direct and factual, with no sensationalism or exaggeration. Scored by MediaBias News; method at https://mediabias.news/methodology. **The short version** - Alaska Governor Mike Dunleavy stated there is 'zero chance' of a U.S. invasion of Canada. - Dunleavy made his remarks at the Global Business Forum in Banff, Alberta. - His comments followed Prime Minister Mark Carney's statement that his government studied the 'extreme tail risk' of U.S. military action in Canada. - Jody Thomas, former national security adviser, called a U.S. invasion 'improbable, slightly impossible'. Alaska Governor Mike Dunleavy said that the idea of the United States invading Canada would be shocking to the average American. He made these remarks during an onstage discussion at the Global Business Forum in Banff, Alberta. Dunleavy, a Republican, stated there is 'zero chance' of such a military incursion, comparing it to Pennsylvania having a better chance of being invaded by West Virginia. His comments came days after Prime Minister Mark Carney told the New York Times that his government had studied the 'extreme tail risk' of U.S.-led military action in Canada. Jody Thomas, former national security and intelligence adviser to ex-prime minister Justin Trudeau, described a U.S. invasion as 'an improbable, slightly impossible' notion. Thomas suggested that in such an unlikely event, negotiations would begin immediately among top military and diplomatic officials. ## Disagreement on U.S. intentions While Governor Dunleavy stated there is 'zero chance' of a U.S. invasion, CP24 and City News reported that U.S. President Donald Trump has repeatedly asserted he wants to make Canada the 51st state, though he has said he would pursue this through economic coercion rather than military means. City News also reported Dunleavy calling Trump 'the best president for the state of Alaska in our entire history'. ## What the coverage left out None of the left-rated or centre-rated reports below mention the statement by Jody Thomas that in the unlikely event of an invasion, negotiations would kick into high gear right away among top military and diplomatic officials, or that 'there would be maybe a few days of mobilization and movement before I think it would stop'. ## Who covered it Shares of the 12 covering outlets with a published leaning rating: - Left: 58% (7) - Centre: 42% (5) - Right: 0% (0) 3 of 15 covering outlets carried no usable leaning rating and were excluded from those percentages. Coverage measured 2026-09-26T20:00:18.365491+00:00. **Coverage watch:** developing. Checked 10 times; 0 checks found a material change. Most recently checked 2026-09-26T20:15:10.072Z. ## How the sides framed it ### Left - Left-rated reports led on Alaska Governor Mike Dunleavy's statement that there is 'zero chance' of a U.S. invasion of Canada. These reports noted Dunleavy made his remarks at the Global Business Forum in Banff, Alberta. They also mentioned that Dunleavy's comments followed Prime Minister Mark Carney's statement to the New York Times about his government studying the 'extreme tail risk' of U.S.-led military action in Canada. Radio-Canada, iPolitics, Rocky Mountain Outlook, The Hamilton Spectator, Bowen Island Undercurrent, and Loonie Politics all carried digests that focused on these points. ### Centre - Centre-rated reports highlighted Alaska Governor Mike Dunleavy's assertion of 'zero chance' of a U.S. invasion of Canada. These outlets also reported that Dunleavy made his remarks at the Global Business Forum in Banff, Alberta, and that his comments came days after Prime Minister Mark Carney told the New York Times his government had studied the 'extreme tail risk' of U.S. military action in Canada. CP24 and City News, which provided full reports, also included Dunleavy's comparison of the likelihood of a U.S. invasion to Pennsylvania being invaded by West Virginia. City News additionally reported Dunleavy's positive remarks about U.S. President Donald Trump. ### Right No separate framing summary. **Provisional coverage gap:** right. The watch is not closed, so this is not yet a settled blindspot finding. ## Factuality profile of the covering outlets These are published factuality ratings of the outlets, not a verdict on whether this story or its claims are true. - high: 3 - unknown: 3 - veryHigh: 9 ## Verification scope This page compares coverage and scores the source reporting. It is not a ClaimReview verdict on whether the underlying event or claim is true. ## Original reporting this was written from - [Radio-Canada](https://ici.radio-canada.ca/nouvelle/2287449/aucune-chance-etats-unis-attaquent-canada-gouverneur-alaska) — "No Chance" that the United States Will Attack Canada - [Western Investor](https://westerninvestor.com/national-business/zero-chance-us-attacks-canada-alaska-governor-tells-conference-12823973) — 'Zero chance' U.S. attacks Canada, Alaska governor tells conference - [iPolitics](https://ipolitics.ca/2026/09/25/zero-chance-u-s-attacks-canada-alaska-governor-tells-conference) — ‘Zero chance’ U.S. attacks Canada, Alaska governor tells conference - [The Globe & Mail](https://theglobeandmail.com/world/article-alaska-governor-us-canada-invasion) — ‘Zero chance’ U.S. attacks Canada, Alaska governor tells business conference - [CP24](https://cp24.com/news/canada/2026/09/25/zero-chance-us-attacks-canada-alaska-governor-tells-conference) — 'Zero chance' U.S. attacks Canada, Alaska governor tells conference - [Castanet](https://castanet.net/news/Canada/632399/-Zero-chance-U-S-attacks-Canada-Alaska-governor-tells-conference) — 'Zero chance' U.S. attacks Canada, Alaska governor tells conference - [Winnipeg Free Press](https://winnipegfreepress.com/business/2026/09/25/zero-chance-u-s-attacks-canada-alaska-governor-tells-conference) — 'Zero chance' U.S. attacks Canada, Alaska governor tells conference - [The Toronto Star](https://thestar.com/business/zero-chance-u-s-attacks-canada-alaska-governor-tells-conference/article_28ab2f6c-9d02-5645-aa03-d31a060f169c.html) — ‘Zero chance’ U.S. attacks Canada, Alaska governor tells conference - [Rocky Mountain Outlook](https://rmoutlook.com/national-business/zero-chance-us-attacks-canada-alaska-governor-tells-conference-12823961) — 'Zero chance' U.S. attacks Canada, Alaska governor tells conference - [The Hamilton Spectator](https://thespec.com/business/zero-chance-u-s-attacks-canada-alaska-governor-tells-conference/article_365d62e2-a06f-590e-a668-fae816d419cd.html) — ‘Zero chance’ U.S. attacks Canada, Alaska governor tells conference - [Airdrie City View](https://airdriecityview.com/national-business/zero-chance-us-attacks-canada-alaska-governor-tells-conference-12823961) — 'Zero chance' U.S. attacks Canada, Alaska governor tells conference - [City News](https://toronto.citynews.ca/2026/09/25/zero-chance-u-s-attacks-canada-alaska-governor-tells-conference) — 'Zero chance' U.S. attacks Canada, Alaska governor tells conference - [Bowen Island Undercurrent](https://bowenislandundercurrent.com/the-mix/zero-chance-us-attacks-canada-alaska-governor-tells-conference-12823967) — 'Zero chance' U.S. attacks Canada, Alaska governor tells conference - [Loonie Politics](https://looniepolitics.com/zero-chance-u-s-attacks-canada-alaska-governor-tells-conference) — ‘Zero chance’ U.S. attacks Canada, Alaska governor tells conference - [Coast Reporter](https://coastreporter.net/the-mix/zero-chance-us-attacks-canada-alaska-governor-tells-conference-12823967) — 'Zero chance' U.S. attacks Canada, Alaska governor tells conference ## Questions **What did Alaska Governor Mike Dunleavy say about a potential U.S. invasion of Canada?** Governor Mike Dunleavy stated there is 'zero chance' the United States would invade Canada. He described the notion as shocking to the average American and compared the possibility to Pennsylvania being invaded by West Virginia. **Why did this topic arise?** Governor Dunleavy's remarks were made days after Prime Minister Mark Carney told the New York Times that his government had studied the 'extreme tail risk' of U.S.-led military action in Canada. Federal Defence Minister David McGuinty later stated it is 'normal' for militaries to analyze risk scenarios. **What did former national security adviser Jody Thomas say about a U.S. invasion?** Jody Thomas, former national security and intelligence adviser to ex-prime minister Justin Trudeau, called a U.S. invasion 'an improbable, slightly impossible' notion. She suggested that in such an unlikely event, negotiations would begin immediately among top military and diplomatic officials. --- MediaBias News — https://mediabias.news. Reproduced from https://mediabias.news/politics/alaska-governor-says-zero-chance-of-us-invasion-of-canada. Please cite as: MediaBias News, "Alaska Governor says zero chance of US invasion of Canada", https://mediabias.news/politics/alaska-governor-says-zero-chance-of-us-invasion-of-canada