--- title: "Fox News poll puts Rogers 4 points ahead of El-Sayed in Michigan Senate race" publication: "MediaBias News" url: "https://mediabias.news/politics/fox-news-poll-puts-rogers-4-points-ahead-of-el-sayed-in-michigan-senate-race" api: "https://mediabias.news/api/v1/stories/fox-news-poll-puts-rogers-4-points-ahead-of-el-sayed-in-michigan-senate-race" markdown: "https://mediabias.news/politics/fox-news-poll-puts-rogers-4-points-ahead-of-el-sayed-in-michigan-senate-race.md" audio: "https://mediabias.news/api/audio/fox-news-poll-puts-rogers-4-points-ahead-of-el-sayed-in-michigan-senate-race" category: "Politics" area: "United States" published: "2026-08-15T11:25:27.688Z" source_reported: "2026-08-15T10:00:13.000Z" updated: "2026-08-15T11:25:27.688Z" trust_score: 86 critic_score: 95 hype_score: 50 assessment_type: "coverage-and-source-reporting-analysis" fact_check_status: "not-performed" coverage_measured: "2026-08-15T12:30:15.263414+00:00" --- # Fox News poll puts Rogers 4 points ahead of El-Sayed in Michigan Senate race *The first survey since the Democratic primary shows the Republican nominee leading within the margin of error* **Scores for the source reporting** (0-100, assessing the original journalism this article was written from, not this write-up): - Trust 86 of 100, higher is better. Multiple named sources (Harry Enten, Robert Shapiro) and the Fox News poll document provide corroborated figures. - Craft 95 of 100, higher is better. Context, quotes, specific data and clear next-step mention give a well‑structured, fact‑focused report. - Hype 50 of 100, lower is better. Digest headlines use sensational language, but the core poll data are presented without exaggeration. Scored by MediaBias News; method at https://mediabias.news/methodology. **The short version** - A Fox News poll of 1,006 Michigan registered voters shows Mike Rogers at 51% and Abdul El-Sayed at 47%, a four-point lead within the ±3-point margin of error. - The poll is the first since El-Sayed defeated Haley Stevens in the Democratic primary by one percentage point on 5 August 2026. - Harry Enten of CNN said El-Sayed’s four-point deficit is the weakest for any Democrat in a Michigan Senate race this century. - El-Sayed leads Rogers by 23 points among white college-educated women, according to the Fox News poll. The first post-primary poll in Michigan’s 2026 Senate race shows Republican Mike Rogers leading Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed 51% to 47%. The survey of 1,006 registered voters was conducted by Fox News from 6 to 10 August 2026, one week after El-Sayed won the Democratic primary by one percentage point over Representative Haley Stevens. The four-point gap is within the poll’s ±3-point margin of error. Harry Enten, a CNN election analyst, said the result is the weakest for any Democratic Senate candidate in Michigan this century. El-Sayed is the first Muslim nominated for the U.S. Senate by a major party. Rogers, a former congressman, ran unopposed for the Republican nomination. The seat is held by retiring Democratic Senator Gary Peters. ## What the coverage left out None of the right-rated digests mention that El-Sayed is the first Muslim nominated for the U.S. Senate by a major party. None of the left-rated digests mention the 15-point Democratic advantage in general-election enthusiasm reported by Fox News and printed in The Blaze’s full report. ## Who covered it Shares of the 17 covering outlets with a published leaning rating: - Left: 24% (4) - Centre: 5% (1) - Right: 71% (12) 0 of 17 covering outlets carried no usable leaning rating and were excluded from those percentages. Coverage measured 2026-08-15T12:30:15.263414+00:00. **Coverage watch:** developing. Checked 8 times; 0 checks found a material change. Most recently checked 2026-08-15T13:15:46.316Z. ## How the sides framed it ### Left - The four left-rated reports led on the closeness of the race and the historical context of El-Sayed’s polling deficit. Daily Kos printed the full Fox News poll methodology and noted that Rogers is above 50% with only 2% undecided. The Washington Post’s digest said both candidates are unpopular. Raw Story’s digest described the result as “sobering” and framed it as a warning about MAGA strength in swing states. - Daily Kos’s full report quoted Harry Enten’s statement that El-Sayed’s four-point deficit is the weakest for any Democrat in a Michigan Senate race this century. Reflector’s digest compared the race to a replay of the Spanish Civil War, with Democratic Socialists facing MAGA Republicans. ### Centre - Political Wire’s single centre-rated digest led on the four-point gap and noted that it is within the margin of error. It did not mention the historical comparison or the demographic breakdowns. ### Right - Twelve right-rated digests led on Rogers’s four-point lead and the warning signs for Democrats. The Blaze’s full report quoted Harry Enten’s statement that El-Sayed’s deficit is the weakest for any Democrat in a Michigan Senate race this century. It also reported that Democrats hold a 15-point advantage in general-election enthusiasm. - The Blaze and Conservative Review digests both used the phrase “the Democrats’ plot to seize control of the U.S. Senate.” The Daily Wire’s digest led on El-Sayed’s 23-point lead among white college-educated women. Breitbart’s digest used El-Sayed’s full name, Abdulrahman Mohamed El-Sayed, in its headline. - Jewish Insider’s digest said Rogers is making inroads with a small but significant number of Democrats willing to cross party lines. The Algemeiner’s digest described El-Sayed as “far-left, anti-Israel” and said prominent Jewish Democratic bundlers are fundraising for Rogers. **Provisional coverage gap:** left. The watch is not closed, so this is not yet a settled blindspot finding. ## Factuality profile of the covering outlets These are published factuality ratings of the outlets, not a verdict on whether this story or its claims are true. - low: 1 - mixed: 8 - high: 8 ## Verification scope This page compares coverage and scores the source reporting. It is not a ClaimReview verdict on whether the underlying event or claim is true. ## Original reporting this was written from - [democraticaccent.com](https://democraticaccent.com/dsa-brand-on-trial-as-el-sayed-struggles-where-dems-can-least-afford-it) — DSA brand on trial as El-Sayed struggles where Dems can least afford it – Democratic Accent - [Fox News](https://foxnews.com/politics/dsa-brand-trial-el-sayed-struggles-where-dems-can-least-afford) — DSA brand on trial as El-Sayed struggles where Dems can least afford it - [The Algemeiner](https://algemeiner.com/2026/08/14/el-sayed-trails-michigan-senate-race-prominent-jewish-bundlers-fundraise-opponent) — El-Sayed Trails in Michigan Senate Race as Prominent Jewish Democratic Bundlers Fundraise for Opponent - [The Blaze](https://theblaze.com/news/rogers-poll-elsayed-enthusiasm) — Rogers has slight lead over El-Sayed — but there are warning signs in the US Senate race in Michigan - [Conservative Review](https://conservativereview.com/rogers-has-slight-lead-over-el-sayed-but-there-are-warning-signs-in-the-us-senate-race-in-michigan-2677709496.html) — Rogers has slight lead over El-Sayed — but there are warning signs in the US Senate race in Michigan - [Le·gal In·sur·rec·tion](https://legalinsurrection.com/2026/08/a-2015-snl-skit-suddenly-seems-prescient-after-stunning-michigan-senate-poll) — A 2015 SNL Skit Suddenly Seems Prescient After Stunning Michigan Senate Poll - [Twitchy](https://twitchy.com/justmindy/2026/08/14/cnn-shocked-voters-dont-like-el-sayed-n2431294) — Michigan Voters Aren’t Buying Stepstool Abdul — CNN Can’t Figure Out Why - [The Washington Post](https://washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/08/14/michigans-marquee-senate-race-close-first-poll-after-el-sayed-primary-win) — Michigan’s marquee Senate race close in first poll after El-Sayed primary win - [ussanews.com](https://ussanews.com/2026/08/14/republican-mike-rogers-secures-slim-lead-over-progressive-democrat-abdul-el-sayed-in-michigans-closely-watched-senate-race) — Republican Mike Rogers secures slim lead over progressive Democrat Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan’s closely watched Senate race - [Hot Air](https://hotair.com/ed-morrissey/2026/08/14/fox-poll-el-sayed-already-down-4-n3817994) — Fox Poll: El-Sayed Already Down Four, But Demos Are a Disaster - [Breitbart](https://breitbart.com/politics/2026/08/14/nolte-fox-poll-has-mike-rogers-beating-abdulrahman-mohamed-el-sayed-in-michigan) — Nolte: Fox Poll(!) Has Mike Rogers Beating Abdulrahman Mohamed El-Sayed in Michigan - [The Daily Wire](https://dailywire.com/news/surprise-a-key-voting-bloc-is-ditching-the-gop-for-a-far-left-candidate) — Surprise! A Key Voting Bloc Is Ditching The GOP For A Far-Left Candidate - [Reflector](https://reflector.com/opinion/editorial_columnists/douglas-cohn-and-eleanor-clift-trump-facing-political-revolt-on-multiple-fronts/article_f5e6f819-6171-4c4a-bd84-30dbad7223f4.html) — Douglas Cohn and Eleanor Clift: Michigan Senate race reflects larger political battle - [Daily Kos](https://dailykos.com/stories/2026/8/13/800084025/community/the-first-post-michigan-primary-senate-poll) — The first post-Michigan Primary Senate Poll - [Raw Story](https://rawstory.com/web-push-notification/trump-maga) — Alarm bells ring after 'sobering' swing state poll shows MAGA leading - [Jewish Insider](https://jewishinsider.com/2026/08/mike-rogers-narrow-lead-abdul-el-sayed-michigan-fox-news-poll) — Poll: Mike Rogers holds narrow lead over Abdul El-Sayed in high-stakes Michigan Senate race - [Political Wire](https://politicalwire.com/2026/08/13/mike-rogers-holds-edge-in-michigan-senate-race) — Mike Rogers Holds Edge in Michigan Senate Race ## Questions **What does the Fox News poll show?** The Fox News poll conducted 6-10 August 2026 shows Mike Rogers leading Abdul El-Sayed 51% to 47% among Michigan registered voters. The four-point gap is within the ±3-point margin of error, so the race is statistically tied. **Why is El-Sayed’s polling deficit significant?** Harry Enten of CNN said El-Sayed’s four-point deficit is the weakest for any Democratic Senate candidate in Michigan this century. The statement was reported by The Blaze and Daily Kos. **Which demographic group favours El-Sayed?** The Fox News poll shows El-Sayed leading Rogers by 23 points among white college-educated women. The Daily Wire’s digest led on this finding. --- MediaBias News — https://mediabias.news. Reproduced from https://mediabias.news/politics/fox-news-poll-puts-rogers-4-points-ahead-of-el-sayed-in-michigan-senate-race. Please cite as: MediaBias News, "Fox News poll puts Rogers 4 points ahead of El-Sayed in Michigan Senate race", https://mediabias.news/politics/fox-news-poll-puts-rogers-4-points-ahead-of-el-sayed-in-michigan-senate-race