World Bank Predicts 23% Commodity Price Rise by 2026
Conflict and climate factors cited for expected increases in energy and food costs.
AI-assisted coverage comparison, editor-supervised · How this was made
Birds fly over pump jacks at the Airankol oil field operated by Caspiy Neft in the Atyrau region, Kazakhstan, April 20, 2026. REUTERS/Pavel Mikheyev
Photograph: Channel News Asia (embedded from source)
What this story says
- Global commodity prices are forecast to rise 23% by the end of 2026, according to the World Bank.
- The Middle East conflict is cited as a primary cause for expected price increases.
- Energy prices have reached a four-year high.
- Rising food prices are also attributed to global conflicts and the El Nino phenomenon.
Who covered it
Percentages are shares of the 32 outlets carrying a published leaning rating. 47 of the 79 outlets we know ran this story carry no rating and are not counted in them. Coverage measured .
Trust
42/100
Craft
57/100
Hype
41/100
79 sources · methodology
The World Bank anticipates a significant increase in global commodity prices, projecting a 23% rise by the end of 2026. This forecast is detailed in the institution's latest Commodity Markets Outlook. The report identifies shocks stemming from the Middle East conflict as a key driver for these anticipated price hikes.
Energy prices have already reached a four-year high. The report also links rising food prices to a combination of global conflicts and the El Nino phenomenon. These factors are expected to contribute to the overall increase in commodity costs through the remainder of 2026 and into 2027.
Coverage disagreements
The World Bank's forecast for commodity price increases is stated as 23% by the end of 2026 in reports from Kosmo Online and maritimeprofessional.com. The Daily Post Nigeria digest mentions a "varying jump in prices" without specifying a percentage for the overall commodity rise, though it notes the forecast is for the remainder of 2026 into 2027.
What the coverage left out
None of the centre-rated digests mention that energy prices are at a four-year high. Additionally, the centre-rated digest does not specify the overall percentage increase for global commodity prices by the end of 2026, unlike the unrated digests.
Still developing. We have re-checked which outlets are covering this 5 times, most recently on 29 Oct 2026, 07:00, and will add the sides that appear.
How each side covered it
Our own reading of the reporting listed below, written from the outlets’ articles rather than quoted from them. The reasoning is set out on our methodology page.
Left
6 rated outlets
- The left‑rated outlets reported that the World Bank projected a 23 percent increase in global commodity prices for 2026. Ada Derana, Premium Times Nigeria, Punch Newspapers and aljazeera.net all noted the rise and linked it to the Middle East conflict, shipping disruptions and weather‑related risks.
- La Presse and TVA Nouvelles focused on food prices, stating the Bank expects an 18 percent rise between 2025 and 2027. Both digests attributed the increase to supply difficulties caused by conflicts and to an anticipated strong El Niño event during the winter season.
- None of the left‑rated digests mention any projection beyond the 2026 commodity price increase, nor do they provide a separate estimate for energy‑price changes despite the aljazeera.net headline referencing a larger rise.
Centre
15 rated outlets
- The centre-rated report from Daily Post Nigeria led with the World Bank's forecast for higher energy and food commodity prices. It stated that energy and food item costs would increase in the remainder of 2026 into 2027. The digest cited the World Bank Group's latest Commodity Markets Outlook and mentioned a "varying jump in prices" due to shocks from the Middle East conflict.
Right
11 rated outlets
- All eleven right‑rated outlets reported that the World Bank forecast a 23 percent rise in global commodity prices for 2026. Each digest also noted an expected 32 percent increase in energy prices and linked the surge to the conflict in the Middle East disrupting oil and grain supplies.
- Several digests added that an El Niño event and heightened demand for safe‑haven assets such as gold were also cited as drivers. Food price increases were described, with figures of about ten percent or eighteen percent for 2026, and concerns were raised about food security for the poorest nations.
- None of the right‑rated digests provided a monetary cost estimate for the projected rise, quoted any World Bank officials, or outlined policy responses. They also omitted detailed breakdowns by commodity type beyond energy and food, and gave no analysis of regional effects outside the Middle East conflict.
Questions about this coverage
- How did the left and right cover World Bank Predicts 23% Commodity Price Rise by 2026?
- Of the 32 outlets on this story carrying a published leaning rating, 19% are rated left, 47% are rated centre, 34% are rated right. Those percentages are shares of the rated outlets, not of every outlet that ran it, which was 79. The sections above set out what each side emphasised, in its own terms.
- Is World Bank Predicts 23% Commodity Price Rise by 2026 left or right?
- Neither side dominates it. Of the 32 rated outlets on this story, 19% are rated left, 47% are rated centre, 34% are rated right, and no side holds the 70% this site would want before calling a field one-sided. A story is not left or right in any case; the outlets that carried it are what carry ratings.
- Is the coverage of World Bank Predicts 23% Commodity Price Rise by 2026 biased?
- World Bank Predicts 23% Commodity Price Rise by 2026 is one event reported by 79 outlets, and this page does not rate the story as biased or unbiased. What it publishes is the spread: which outlets ran it, where named rating organisations place each of them on the spectrum, and what each side chose to lead with. A leaning rating describes an outlet's record over time, not this article, and the two should not be run together.
- Which outlets covered World Bank Predicts 23% Commodity Price Rise by 2026?
- 79 that we know of, every one of them listed further up this page with a link to its own report and to what we hold on the publisher. Nothing here is a summary of somebody else's summary: the outlets are named so the original reporting can be read.
- What is the World Bank's forecast for global commodity prices?
- The World Bank forecasts that global commodity prices will rise by 23% by the end of 2026. This projection is based on the institution's latest Commodity Markets Outlook report.
- What factors are contributing to the expected price increases?
- The primary factors cited for the expected price increases include shocks triggered by the Middle East conflict, which has depleted oil reserves. Rising food prices are also attributed to global conflicts and the El Nino phenomenon.
- What is the current state of energy prices?
- Energy prices are currently at a four-year high. This situation is noted as a contributing factor to the overall expected rise in commodity prices.
Read it at the source
79 outlets, grouped by the leaning a published rating gives them. Every headline links to the original; an underlined outlet name opens our profile of that publisher.
Left
6- World Bank sees commodity prices up 23% in 2026 due to Middle East war, other shocks (opens Ada Derana in a new tab)
Ada Derana — is Ada Derana biased? Our profile of this outlet
- World Bank forecasts 23% rise in commodity prices (opens Punch Newspapers in a new tab)
Punch Newspapers — is Punch Newspapers biased? Our profile of this outlet
- World Food Prices Rise by 18% Between 2025 and 2027, According to the World Bank (opens TVA Nouvelles in a new tab)
TVA Nouvelles — is TVA Nouvelles biased? Our profile of this outlet
- World Bank projects 23% rise in global commodity prices in 2026 (opens Premium Times Nigeria in a new tab)
Premium Times Nigeria — is Premium Times Nigeria biased? Our profile of this outlet
- The World Bank Anticipates the Largest Decline in Oil Supplies in Four Decades and Rising Energy Prices 32%. (opens aljazeera.net in a new tab)
aljazeera.net — is aljazeera.net biased? Our profile of this outlet
- According to the World Bank, Food Prices Are Expected to Rise by 18% Between 2025 and 2027 (opens La Presse in a new tab)
Centre
15- World Bank forecasts higher energy, food commodity prices (opens Daily Post Nigeria in a new tab)
Daily Post Nigeria — is Daily Post Nigeria biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Commodity shocks are spreading from energy to food and metals (opens Market Business News in a new tab)
Market Business News — is Market Business News biased? Our profile of this outlet
- There's No Stopping: World Bank Predicts Dramatic Price Increases, Inflation Will Also Affect Food (opens Portfolio in a new tab)
- World Bank warns of worsening food insecurity as commodity prices ... (opens Radio France Internationale in a new tab)
Radio France Internationale — is Radio France Internationale biased? Our profile of this outlet
- World Bank warns of food crisis as war, weather shocks hit supplies (opens TRT World in a new tab)
- World Bank Warns of a Sharp Rise in Food Prices Until 2027 (opens France24 in a new tab)
- World Bank sees commodity prices up 23% in 2026 due to Middle East war, other shocks (opens Business Recorder in a new tab)
Business Recorder — is Business Recorder biased? Our profile of this outlet
- World Bank sounds alarm on food crisis as energy shock and El Nino push commodity prices up 23% (opens The Economic Times in a new tab)
The Economic Times — is The Economic Times biased? Our profile of this outlet
Show 7 more
- World Bank sees commodity prices up 23% in 2026 due to Middle East war, other shocks (opens WTVB in a new tab)
- World Bank sees commodity prices up 23% in 2026 due to Middle East war, other shocks (opens Channel News Asia in a new tab)
Channel News Asia — is Channel News Asia biased? Our profile of this outlet
- World Bank sees commodity prices up 23% in 2026 due to Middle East war ... (opens Reuters in a new tab)
- World Bank Expects Food Prices to Continue to Rise (opens wz.de in a new tab)
- Raw Materials: World Bank Expects Food Prices to Continue to Rise (opens volksfreund.de in a new tab)
volksfreund.de — is volksfreund.de biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Raw Materials: World Bank Expects Food Prices to Continue to Rise (opens saarbruecker-zeitung.de in a new tab)
saarbruecker-zeitung.de — is saarbruecker-zeitung.de biased? Our profile of this outlet
- World Bank: 2026 Global Commodity Prices to Rise 23% (opens Maritime Reporter in a new tab)
Maritime Reporter — is Maritime Reporter biased? Our profile of this outlet
Right
11- Which Raw Materials Are Going to Go up Prices for El Niño? This Is the World Bank Forecast (opens El Financiero in a new tab)
El Financiero — is El Financiero biased? Our profile of this outlet
- World Bank Warns Global Commodity Prices Could Surge 23% In 2026 (opens tippinsights in a new tab)
tippinsights — is tippinsights biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Global Commodity Prices to Rise 23% in 2026 Amid Middle East Conflict: World Bank (opens Latestly in a new tab)
- Food Prices Should Rise 18% Between 2025 and 2027 (opens Observador in a new tab)
Observador — is Observador biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Global Commodity Prices Projected to Surge 23% in 2026 on Middle East Conflict: World Bank (opens Anadolu Ajansı in a new tab)
Anadolu Ajansı — is Anadolu Ajansı biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Gas prices in European countries have increased due to the refusal of their authorities from supplies from Russia, according to the World Bank's "Commodity Market Prospects" report (opens news-pravda.com in a new tab)
news-pravda.com — is news-pravda.com biased? Our profile of this outlet
- World Bank Predicts a 23% Increase in Commodity Prices in 2026 (opens Globo in a new tab)
- World Food Prices Are Forecast to Rise by 18% Between 2025 and 2027, According to the World Bank (opens Le Figaro in a new tab)
Show 3 more
- World Bank sounds alarm on food crisis as energy shock and El Nino push commodity prices up 23% (opens Times of India in a new tab)
Times of India — is Times of India biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Business Live Ticker: World Bank Expects Food Prices to Continue to Rise (opens Frankfurter Allgemeine in a new tab)
Frankfurter Allgemeine — is Frankfurter Allgemeine biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Raw Materials: World Bank Expects Food Prices to Continue to Rise (opens Handelsblatt in a new tab)
Handelsblatt — is Handelsblatt biased? Our profile of this outlet
Not rated
47- World Bank Warns Food Prices Could Rise 17 Percent (opens Kosmo Online in a new tab)
Kosmo Online — is Kosmo Online biased? Our profile of this outlet
- World Bank Forecasts 23 Percent Rise in Global Commodity Prices in 2026 (opens TechJuice in a new tab)
- Kitchen Budgets Are Set to Worsen! Energy Crisis and El Niño Double Blow, Making Food Prices Higher Worldwide. (opens TV9 Hindi in a new tab)
- Global Commodity Prices to Jump 23% by 2026, World Bank Warns of Food Crisis Threat (opens SINDOnews.com in a new tab)
SINDOnews.com — is SINDOnews.com biased? Our profile of this outlet
- The World Bank Warns that Global Commodity and Food Prices Are on a Continuous Upward Trend. (opens vietnamplus.vn in a new tab)
vietnamplus.vn — is vietnamplus.vn biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Harga Komoditi Dijangka Naik 23 Peratus Tahun Ini Susulan Kejutan Global - Bank Dunia (opens tvsarawak.my in a new tab)
tvsarawak.my — is tvsarawak.my biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Commodity prices set to increase by 23% in 2026, global shocks mount (opens Caribbean News Global in a new tab)
Caribbean News Global — is Caribbean News Global biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Commodity Prices Will Rise 23 Percent in 2026 - News Press Latina (opens prensa-latina.cu in a new tab)
prensa-latina.cu — is prensa-latina.cu biased? Our profile of this outlet
Show 39 more
- World Bank Predicts 23% Increase in Raw Materials Prices in 2026 (opens e-global.pt in a new tab)
e-global.pt — is e-global.pt biased? Our profile of this outlet
- The Prices of Raw Materials Will Rise by 23% in 2026, According to World Bank (opens diarioestrategia.cl in a new tab)
diarioestrategia.cl — is diarioestrategia.cl biased? Our profile of this outlet
- World Bank: 2026 Global Commodity Prices to Rise 23% (opens maritimeprofessional.com in a new tab)
maritimeprofessional.com — is maritimeprofessional.com biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Food Prices Are Expected to Increase by About 18% by 2027 (opens famaradio.tv in a new tab)
famaradio.tv — is famaradio.tv biased? Our profile of this outlet
- World Bank Adjusts Upwards Projections of Commodity Prices by War and El Niño (opens La República in a new tab)
La República — is La República biased? Our profile of this outlet
- World Bank Projects 23% Rise In Global Commodity Prices (opens The Whistler Nigeria in a new tab)
The Whistler Nigeria — is The Whistler Nigeria biased? Our profile of this outlet
- The World Is Waiting for a New Wave of Price Increases: Food Could Become More Expensive by up to 18 Percent (opens 6yka.com in a new tab)
- Food Must Be 18% More Expensive by 2027 - Folha Nacional (opens folhanacional.pt in a new tab)
folhanacional.pt — is folhanacional.pt biased? Our profile of this outlet
- World Bank raises 2026 commodity price forecast to 23 percent as energy costs surge (opens economymiddleeast.com in a new tab)
economymiddleeast.com — is economymiddleeast.com biased? Our profile of this outlet
- The Prices of Raw Materials Will Rise by 23% in 2026, According to World Bank (opens Forbes España in a new tab)
Forbes España — is Forbes España biased? Our profile of this outlet
- World Food Prices Rise by 18% Between 2025 and 2027, According to the World Bank (opens 24 heures in a new tab)
- To increase by 23%: World Bank warns of worsening food insecurity as commodity prices soar (opens rtl.lu in a new tab)
- World Bank sees commodity prices up 23% in 2026 (opens Lahore Mirror in a new tab)
Lahore Mirror — is Lahore Mirror biased? Our profile of this outlet
- World Bank: 23% Jump in Commodity Prices in 2026 - Warning of New Food Crisis (opens insider.gr in a new tab)
insider.gr — is insider.gr biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Food Prices Should Rise 18% Between 2025 and 2027 (opens Correio da Manhã in a new tab)
Correio da Manhã — is Correio da Manhã biased? Our profile of this outlet
- WARS AND EL NINJO CUT PRICES We Will Pay up to 18% More for Food, a New Wave of Price Increases Is Coming All over the World (opens srpskainfo.com in a new tab)
srpskainfo.com — is srpskainfo.com biased? Our profile of this outlet
- World Bank Alert: Food Prices Will Rise 18% by 2027 (opens Noticias ao Minuto in a new tab)
Noticias ao Minuto — is Noticias ao Minuto biased? Our profile of this outlet
- BM on Raw Materials: Energy Prices Will Rise This Year by War and El Niño (opens Gestion in a new tab)
- Food Prices Could Rise by 18% by 2027 (opens g4food.ro in a new tab)
- Inflation Alert: World Bank sounds alarm with projected 23% rise in commodity costs (opens P.M. News Nigeria in a new tab)
P.M. News Nigeria — is P.M. News Nigeria biased? Our profile of this outlet
- The World Bank Cautions Against Worsening Food Insecurity as Commodity Prices Rise - the Stock Exchange (opens alborsaanews.com in a new tab)
alborsaanews.com — is alborsaanews.com biased? Our profile of this outlet
- World Bank: Food Prices Could Rise Further (opens 24 HU in a new tab)
- The World Bank Expects Commodity Prices to Rise in 2026. (opens Habertürk in a new tab)
- The World Bank Expects Commodity Prices to Rise by 23 Percent in 2026. (opens bloomberght.com in a new tab)
bloomberght.com — is bloomberght.com biased? Our profile of this outlet
- WB Predicts World Metal Prices Rising to Record Values (opens 1prime.ru in a new tab)
- The World Bank Has Projected a 23.1% Increase in Commodity Prices by 2026. (opens Haberler in a new tab)
- World Bank Predicts 10% Rise in Food Prices in 2026 Due to Global Risks (opens ukragroconsult.com in a new tab)
ukragroconsult.com — is ukragroconsult.com biased? Our profile of this outlet
- World Bank Anticipates a Leap in Energy and Commodity Prices (opens IMLebanon in a new tab)
- Petroprecios Will Continue High, Warns the World Bank (opens Vanguardia in a new tab)
Vanguardia — is Vanguardia biased? Our profile of this outlet
- World Bank forecasts 23% commodity-price rise in 2026 (opens Mugglehead Magazine in a new tab)
Mugglehead Magazine — is Mugglehead Magazine biased? Our profile of this outlet
- World Bank Expects Food Prices to Continue to Rise (opens op-online.de in a new tab)
op-online.de — is op-online.de biased? Our profile of this outlet
- World Bank Expects Food Prices to Continue to Rise (opens bbv-net.de in a new tab)
bbv-net.de — is bbv-net.de biased? Our profile of this outlet
- World Bank Expects Food Prices to Continue to Rise (opens RN in a new tab)
- World Bank Expects Food Prices to Continue to Rise (opens onetz.de in a new tab)
- World Bank Expects Food Prices to Continue to Rise (opens Badische Neueste Nachrichten in a new tab)
Badische Neueste Nachrichten — is Badische Neueste Nachrichten biased? Our profile of this outlet
- World Bank Expects Food Prices to Continue to Rise (opens noz.de in a new tab)
- World Bank Expects Food Prices to Continue to Rise (opens inFranken.de in a new tab)
inFranken.de — is inFranken.de biased? Our profile of this outlet
- World Bank Warns of a Sharp Rise in Food Prices Until 2027 (opens El Economista in a new tab)
El Economista — is El Economista biased? Our profile of this outlet
- World Bank Warns Economic Risks by El Niño (opens tcsahora.com in a new tab)
tcsahora.com — is tcsahora.com biased? Our profile of this outlet
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