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Ukraine Intelligence: Russia Has 700 Ballistic Missiles in Reserve

Kyiv's defense intelligence estimates Moscow's reserves and monthly production of missiles and drones.

AI-assisted coverage comparison, editor-supervised · How this was made

Published Updated
Russia Has Up to 700 Ballistic Missiles, 6,200 Attack Drones Ready to Strike Ukraine, Intelligence Says

What this story says

  • Ukraine's Defense Intelligence (HUR) estimates Russia possesses up to 700 ballistic missiles and more than 6,000 attack drones.
  • HUR reports Russia's monthly drone production has reached 10,000 units, including thousands of jet-powered models.
  • Monthly production figures for specific missiles include up to 65 Iskander-M ballistic missiles and over 80 Kh-101 cruise missiles.
  • Russia is also estimated to have several thousand cruise missiles in reserve.

Who covered it

Left 67%(4)Centre 16%(1)Right 17%(1)

Percentages are shares of the 6 outlets carrying a published leaning rating. 14 of the 20 outlets we know ran this story carry no rating and are not counted in them. Coverage measured .

Trust

60/100

Craft

50/100

Hype

45/100

20 sources · methodology

Thin on the right so far

Only 1 of the 6 outlets with a published leaning rating that ran this story are rated right.

This story is still being watched, so it is a count and not yet a finding. Coverage keeps arriving for hours after an event, and a side that has published nothing this morning may publish by tonight. If it is still true when we stop checking, we will say so plainly.

Ukraine's Defense Intelligence (HUR) has provided estimates of Russia's missile and drone stockpiles and production capabilities. According to HUR, Russia maintains reserves of up to 700 ballistic missiles and several thousand cruise missiles. The agency also estimates that Russia has more than 6,000 attack drones in reserve.

Russia's monthly output of unmanned aerial vehicles has reached approximately 10,000 units, according to HUR. This includes a significant number of jet-powered Geran drones, with monthly production of Geran-4 and Geran-5 models estimated at around 4,000 units. The production of the standard Geran-2 drone is estimated at about 2,000 units per month.

Missile Production Figures

HUR estimates Russia produces up to 65 Iskander-M ballistic missiles per month, adding to a current stockpile of around 115. Monthly production of Kh-101 cruise missiles exceeds 80 units. The agency also estimates Russia produces approximately 29 Kalibr sea-launched cruise missiles per month, with reserves of over 450. Production of RM-48U missiles, adapted from air defense systems for ground strikes, is estimated at around 40 per month, with reserves of up to 400.

The intelligence also indicated that Russia has over 600 Oniks anti-ship missiles and more than 120 Zircon hypersonic missiles. Production of Kinzhal air-launched ballistic missiles has been temporarily suspended due to accuracy issues, with production capacity redirected to conventional ballistic missiles.

What the coverage left out

None of the right-rated digests mention the specific monthly production figures for Iskander-M ballistic missiles (up to 65) or Kh-101 cruise missiles (over 80) that were detailed in the left-rated reports and the Kyiv Post full report. The right-rated digests also did not mention the estimated reserve of 115 Iskander-M missiles or the production of 40 RM-48U missiles per month.

No centre-rated outlet ran this story.

Still developing. We have re-checked which outlets are covering this 4 times, most recently on 21 Oct 2026, 20:45, and will add the sides that appear.

How other outlets pictured it

Which photograph to run is each newsroom’s own choice. The leaning beside a name is that outlet’s published rating, not a claim that the pictures divide along it. Every picture is shown from the outlet’s own server and links to the article it ran in.

Ukraine Intelligence: Russia Has 700 Ballistic Missiles in Reserve
unn.uaLeft

How each side covered it

Our own reading of the reporting listed below, written from the outlets’ articles rather than quoted from them. The reasoning is set out on our methodology page.

Left

4 rated outlets

  • The left-rated reports from Kyiv Post and unn.ua led with the headline figures for Russia's reserves of ballistic missiles and drones. Both reports detailed Russia's monthly production rates for various missile types, including Iskander-M and Kh-101, and highlighted the significant output of Geran drones. Kyiv Post's full report also included details on Russia's reserves and production of Kalibr, RM-48U, Oniks, and Zircon missiles, as well as the suspension of Kinzhal production.

Centre

1 rated outlet

We have not written our reading of the centre coverage of this story. The centre-rated outlets that ran it are listed below.

Right

1 rated outlet

  • The right-rated reports from Korrespondent.net, Protothema, EADaily, news-pravda.com, and topwar.ru focused on the headline figure of Russia possessing up to 700 ballistic missiles. Protothema and news-pravda.com also mentioned the figure of 6,200 drones and the monthly drone production of 10,000 units. EADaily's digest stated Russia is increasing production to deplete Ukrainian air defence, while topwar.ru noted Ukraine's military intelligence assessed Russia's missile stocks as significant.

Questions about this coverage

How did the left and right cover Ukraine Intelligence: Russia Has 700 Ballistic Missiles in Reserve?
Of the 6 outlets on this story carrying a published leaning rating, 67% are rated left, 16% are rated centre, 17% are rated right. Those percentages are shares of the rated outlets, not of every outlet that ran it, which was 20. The sections above set out what each side emphasised, in its own terms.
Is Ukraine Intelligence: Russia Has 700 Ballistic Missiles in Reserve left or right?
Too few of the outlets on this story carry a published leaning rating to say. 6 of them do, and this site does not characterise a field under 12: at that size one newsroom filing moves the share by ten points. The percentages above are the count as it stands.
Is the coverage of Ukraine Intelligence: Russia Has 700 Ballistic Missiles in Reserve biased?
Ukraine Intelligence: Russia Has 700 Ballistic Missiles in Reserve is one event reported by 20 outlets, and this page does not rate the story as biased or unbiased. What it publishes is the spread: which outlets ran it, where named rating organisations place each of them on the spectrum, and what each side chose to lead with. A leaning rating describes an outlet's record over time, not this article, and the two should not be run together.
Which side is not reporting Ukraine Intelligence: Russia Has 700 Ballistic Missiles in Reserve?
When we first saw this story, outlets rated right had barely covered it. Coverage accretes for hours after an event, so that is where to look rather than a verdict — the split above is the current count, and it is the one to read.
Which outlets covered Ukraine Intelligence: Russia Has 700 Ballistic Missiles in Reserve?
20 that we know of, every one of them listed further up this page with a link to its own report and to what we hold on the publisher. Nothing here is a summary of somebody else's summary: the outlets are named so the original reporting can be read.
How many ballistic missiles does Ukraine's intelligence estimate Russia has in reserve?
Ukraine's Defense Intelligence estimates that Russia has up to 700 ballistic missiles in reserve. This figure is consistent across multiple reports based on HUR's assessments.
What is Russia's estimated monthly production of drones?
According to HUR, Russia's monthly output of unmanned aerial vehicles has reached approximately 10,000 units. This includes a significant number of jet-powered Geran drones, with monthly production of specific models estimated at thousands.
Which specific missile types does Ukraine's intelligence provide production figures for?
Ukraine's Defense Intelligence has provided monthly production estimates for Iskander-M ballistic missiles (up to 65), Kh-101 cruise missiles (over 80), and Kalibr sea-launched cruise missiles (around 29). They also estimate monthly production of RM-48U missiles at about 40.

Read it at the source

40 outlets, grouped by the leaning a published rating gives them. Every headline links to the original; an underlined outlet name opens our profile of that publisher.

Left

6

Centre

2

Right

6

Not rated

26
Show 18 more

How did this read?

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