Alaska Governor says zero chance of US invasion of Canada
Mike Dunleavy spoke at a business forum days after Prime Minister Mark Carney revealed his government studied the risk.
AI-assisted coverage comparison, editor-supervised · How this was made

Alaska Governor says zero chance of US invasion of Canada
Photograph: CP24 (embedded from source)
What this story says
- Alaska Governor Mike Dunleavy stated there is 'zero chance' of a U.S. invasion of Canada.
- Dunleavy made his remarks at the Global Business Forum in Banff, Alberta.
- His comments followed Prime Minister Mark Carney's statement that his government studied the 'extreme tail risk' of U.S. military action in Canada.
- Jody Thomas, former national security adviser, called a U.S. invasion 'improbable, slightly impossible'.
Who covered it
Percentages are shares of the 12 outlets carrying a published leaning rating. 3 of the 15 outlets we know ran this story carry no rating and are not counted in them. Coverage measured .
Trust
42/100
Craft
61/100
Hype
20/100
15 sources · methodology
Thin on the right so far
None of the 12 outlets with a published leaning rating that ran this story are rated right.
This story is still being watched, so it is a count and not yet a finding. Coverage keeps arriving for hours after an event, and a side that has published nothing this morning may publish by tonight. If it is still true when we stop checking, we will say so plainly.
Alaska Governor Mike Dunleavy said that the idea of the United States invading Canada would be shocking to the average American. He made these remarks during an onstage discussion at the Global Business Forum in Banff, Alberta. Dunleavy, a Republican, stated there is 'zero chance' of such a military incursion, comparing it to Pennsylvania having a better chance of being invaded by West Virginia.
His comments came days after Prime Minister Mark Carney told the New York Times that his government had studied the 'extreme tail risk' of U.S.-led military action in Canada. Jody Thomas, former national security and intelligence adviser to ex-prime minister Justin Trudeau, described a U.S. invasion as 'an improbable, slightly impossible' notion. Thomas suggested that in such an unlikely event, negotiations would begin immediately among top military and diplomatic officials.
Disagreement on U.S. intentions
While Governor Dunleavy stated there is 'zero chance' of a U.S. invasion, CP24 and City News reported that U.S. President Donald Trump has repeatedly asserted he wants to make Canada the 51st state, though he has said he would pursue this through economic coercion rather than military means. City News also reported Dunleavy calling Trump 'the best president for the state of Alaska in our entire history'.
What the coverage left out
None of the left-rated or centre-rated reports below mention the statement by Jody Thomas that in the unlikely event of an invasion, negotiations would kick into high gear right away among top military and diplomatic officials, or that 'there would be maybe a few days of mobilization and movement before I think it would stop'.
Still developing. We have re-checked which outlets are covering this 7 times, most recently on 26 Sept 2026, 19:30, and will add the sides that appear.
How other outlets pictured it
Which photograph to run is each newsroom’s own choice. The leaning beside a name is that outlet’s published rating, not a claim that the pictures divide along it. Every picture is shown from the outlet’s own server and links to the article it ran in.
How each side covered it
Our own reading of the reporting listed below, written from the outlets’ articles rather than quoted from them. The reasoning is set out on our methodology page.
Left
7 rated outlets
- Left-rated reports led on Alaska Governor Mike Dunleavy's statement that there is 'zero chance' of a U.S. invasion of Canada. These reports noted Dunleavy made his remarks at the Global Business Forum in Banff, Alberta. They also mentioned that Dunleavy's comments followed Prime Minister Mark Carney's statement to the New York Times about his government studying the 'extreme tail risk' of U.S.-led military action in Canada. Radio-Canada, iPolitics, Rocky Mountain Outlook, The Hamilton Spectator, Bowen Island Undercurrent, and Loonie Politics all carried digests that focused on these points.
Centre
5 rated outlets
- Centre-rated reports highlighted Alaska Governor Mike Dunleavy's assertion of 'zero chance' of a U.S. invasion of Canada. These outlets also reported that Dunleavy made his remarks at the Global Business Forum in Banff, Alberta, and that his comments came days after Prime Minister Mark Carney told the New York Times his government had studied the 'extreme tail risk' of U.S. military action in Canada. CP24 and City News, which provided full reports, also included Dunleavy's comparison of the likelihood of a U.S. invasion to Pennsylvania being invaded by West Virginia. City News additionally reported Dunleavy's positive remarks about U.S. President Donald Trump.
Right
0 rated outlets
No outlet rated right has run this story so far. We are still checking, and will say plainly if that does not change.
Questions about this coverage
- How did the left and right cover Alaska Governor says zero chance of US invasion of Canada?
- Of the 12 outlets on this story carrying a published leaning rating, 58% are rated left, 42% are rated centre, 0% are rated right. Those percentages are shares of the rated outlets, not of every outlet that ran it, which was 15. The sections above set out what each side emphasised, in its own terms.
- Is Alaska Governor says zero chance of US invasion of Canada left or right?
- Neither side dominates it. Of the 12 rated outlets on this story, 58% are rated left, 42% are rated centre, 0% are rated right, and no side holds the 70% this site would want before calling a field one-sided. A story is not left or right in any case; the outlets that carried it are what carry ratings.
- Is the coverage of Alaska Governor says zero chance of US invasion of Canada biased?
- Alaska Governor says zero chance of US invasion of Canada is one event reported by 15 outlets, and this page does not rate the story as biased or unbiased. What it publishes is the spread: which outlets ran it, where named rating organisations place each of them on the spectrum, and what each side chose to lead with. A leaning rating describes an outlet's record over time, not this article, and the two should not be run together.
- Which side is not reporting Alaska Governor says zero chance of US invasion of Canada?
- When we first saw this story, outlets rated right had barely covered it. Coverage accretes for hours after an event, so that is where to look rather than a verdict — the split above is the current count, and it is the one to read.
- Which outlets covered Alaska Governor says zero chance of US invasion of Canada?
- 15 that we know of, every one of them listed further up this page with a link to its own report and to what we hold on the publisher. Nothing here is a summary of somebody else's summary: the outlets are named so the original reporting can be read.
- What did Alaska Governor Mike Dunleavy say about a potential U.S. invasion of Canada?
- Governor Mike Dunleavy stated there is 'zero chance' the United States would invade Canada. He described the notion as shocking to the average American and compared the possibility to Pennsylvania being invaded by West Virginia.
- Why did this topic arise?
- Governor Dunleavy's remarks were made days after Prime Minister Mark Carney told the New York Times that his government had studied the 'extreme tail risk' of U.S.-led military action in Canada. Federal Defence Minister David McGuinty later stated it is 'normal' for militaries to analyze risk scenarios.
- What did former national security adviser Jody Thomas say about a U.S. invasion?
- Jody Thomas, former national security and intelligence adviser to ex-prime minister Justin Trudeau, called a U.S. invasion 'an improbable, slightly impossible' notion. She suggested that in such an unlikely event, negotiations would begin immediately among top military and diplomatic officials.
Read it at the source
15 outlets, grouped by the leaning a published rating gives them. Every headline links to the original; an underlined outlet name opens our profile of that publisher.
Left
7- "No Chance" that the United States Will Attack Canada (opens Radio-Canada in a new tab)
Radio-Canada — is Radio-Canada biased? Our profile of this outletOpinion
- ‘Zero chance’ U.S. attacks Canada, Alaska governor tells conference (opens iPolitics in a new tab)
- 'Zero chance' U.S. attacks Canada, Alaska governor tells conference (opens Coast Reporter in a new tab)
Coast Reporter — is Coast Reporter biased? Our profile of this outlet
- 'Zero chance' U.S. attacks Canada, Alaska governor tells conference (opens Bowen Island Undercurrent in a new tab)
Bowen Island Undercurrent — is Bowen Island Undercurrent biased? Our profile of this outlet
- ‘Zero chance’ U.S. attacks Canada, Alaska governor tells conference (opens The Hamilton Spectator in a new tab)
The Hamilton Spectator — is The Hamilton Spectator biased? Our profile of this outlet
- 'Zero chance' U.S. attacks Canada, Alaska governor tells conference (opens Rocky Mountain Outlook in a new tab)
Rocky Mountain Outlook — is Rocky Mountain Outlook biased? Our profile of this outlet
- ‘Zero chance’ U.S. attacks Canada, Alaska governor tells conference (opens The Toronto Star in a new tab)
The Toronto Star — is The Toronto Star biased? Our profile of this outlet
Centre
5- ‘Zero chance’ U.S. attacks Canada, Alaska governor tells business conference (opens The Globe & Mail in a new tab)
The Globe & Mail — is The Globe & Mail biased? Our profile of this outlet
- 'Zero chance' U.S. attacks Canada, Alaska governor tells conference (opens CP24 in a new tab)
- 'Zero chance' U.S. attacks Canada, Alaska governor tells conference (opens Castanet in a new tab)
- 'Zero chance' U.S. attacks Canada, Alaska governor tells conference (opens City News in a new tab)
- 'Zero chance' U.S. attacks Canada, Alaska governor tells conference (opens Winnipeg Free Press in a new tab)
Winnipeg Free Press — is Winnipeg Free Press biased? Our profile of this outlet
Right
0No outlet in this group ran the story.
Not rated
3- 'Zero chance' U.S. attacks Canada, Alaska governor tells conference (opens Western Investor in a new tab)
Western Investor — is Western Investor biased? Our profile of this outlet
- ‘Zero chance’ U.S. attacks Canada, Alaska governor tells conference (opens Loonie Politics in a new tab)
Loonie Politics — is Loonie Politics biased? Our profile of this outlet
- 'Zero chance' U.S. attacks Canada, Alaska governor tells conference (opens Airdrie City View in a new tab)
Airdrie City View — is Airdrie City View biased? Our profile of this outlet
How did this read?
About the coverage, not about the story. We do not ask whether you agree with what happened — we have no honest use for that answer.




