Appeals court sides with Nevada in prediction market regulation fight
Ruling states Kalshi's sports contracts are gambling, not federally regulated swaps.
AI-assisted coverage comparison, editor-supervised · How this was made

Appeals court sides with Nevada in prediction market regulation fight
Photograph: CBS News (embedded from source)
What this story says
- A federal appeals court rejected Kalshi's attempt to prevent Nevada from regulating its prediction markets.
- The 9th Circuit Court of Appeals ruled that Kalshi's prediction market contracts for sporting events are sports bets, not federally regulated swaps.
- The court found that federal commodity trading law does not prevent Nevada from applying its gambling regulations to Kalshi's sports event contracts.
- The ruling is part of a broader legal battle involving about 20 states over the regulation of prediction markets.
Who covered it
Percentages are shares of the 96 outlets carrying a published leaning rating. 25 of the 121 outlets we know ran this story carry no rating and are not counted in them. Coverage measured .
Trust
60/100
Craft
70/100
Hype
20/100
121 sources · methodology
Missing from the right
Only 2 of the 96 outlets with a published leaning rating that ran this story are rated right.
A reader who follows the right would not have seen this. We report the absence rather than explain it: outlets choose what to cover for many reasons, and we have no evidence about which one applies here.
A federal appeals court has ruled that Nevada can regulate Kalshi's prediction markets, rejecting the company's efforts to block state oversight. The 9th Circuit Court of Appeals determined that Kalshi's contracts based on sporting events are sports bets and not federally regulated financial swaps. This decision represents a significant victory for states asserting their authority over prediction market platforms.
Conflicting rulings on federal preemption
The 9th Circuit Court of Appeals stated that Kalshi failed to demonstrate that the Commodity Exchange Act preempts Nevada's gambling laws. In its written opinion, the court noted that the substance of the contracts offered on Kalshi's platform is sports gambling, irrespective of how the company labels them. This ruling contrasts with a previous decision by the 3rd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals, which had concluded that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has exclusive authority over sports-related event contracts on Kalshi. The 9th Circuit panel sent the question of Kalshi's trading on election contracts back to a lower court for further consideration.
What the coverage left out
None of the left- or centre-rated reports mentioned the specific cost estimate for the prediction market contracts, if any were provided. The full reports from CBS News and Associated Press News did not include details on the financial value of the contracts or the potential economic impact of the ruling.
Coverage settled. We checked this 10 times and stopped on 3 Sept 2026, 12:00. The figures above are what it finished at.
How each side covered it
Our own reading of the reporting listed below, written from the outlets’ articles rather than quoted from them. The reasoning is set out on our methodology page.
Left
18 rated outlets
- Associated Press News, The Seattle Times, The Hamilton Spectator, CNN, CNBC, The Record, Mashable, The New Republic, Arizona Mirror and The Sun Chronicle all reported that a federal appeals‑court panel refused to let Kalshi restart trading on sports and election contracts in Nevada while the company contests the state’s regulatory effort.
- The Associated Press full report added Nevada attorney‑general statements calling the ruling a major victory, a Kalshi comment that it will seek further review, and context that roughly twenty states are involved in similar prediction‑market litigation and that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission traditionally oversees commodity markets.
- None of the digest‑only pieces mentioned the attorney‑general’s quote, Kalshi’s intention to seek review, the estimate of twenty states in related lawsuits, or the CFTC’s historical role; those specifics appear only in the Associated Press report.
Centre
76 rated outlets
- Centre-rated reports focused on the court's decision that Kalshi's prediction market contracts are sports bets, not federally regulated swaps. CBS News reported that the 9th Circuit Court of Appeals said Kalshi failed to show that the Commodity Exchange Act preempts Nevada gambling laws. The court stated that Kalshi's prediction market contracts are sports bets, not federally regulated swaps. CBS News quoted one of the judges, Ryan Nelson, who wrote, "The substance of the sports event contracts offered on Kalshi's DCM is sports gambling, regardless of whether Kalshi calls them swaps." WBAL, Ottumwa Courier, Devdiscourse, and Winnipeg Free Press also reported that the federal appeals court panel refused to let Kalshi restart trading on sports and elections events in Nevada. The Nevada Independent noted that the 9th Circuit panel disagreed "with Kalshi's overly broad reading" that the Commodity Exchange Act allows it to offer sports event contracts.
Right
2 rated outlets
- Right-rated outlets reported that a federal appeals court ruled Nevada can regulate sports-related prediction contracts. The Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals rejected arguments that these contracts are federally regulated financial instruments.
- The Daily Wire and California Globe stated the ruling was a significant setback for the prediction market industry. Both outlets noted the court rejected challenges from Kalshi and Crypto.com.
- The California Globe specified the ruling affirmed Nevada’s gaming regulators’ authority. It also reported the court found the contracts to be sports bets, not federal ‘swaps’.
Questions about this coverage
- How did the left and right cover Appeals court sides with Nevada in prediction market regulation fight?
- Of the 96 outlets on this story carrying a published leaning rating, 19% are rated left, 79% are rated centre, 2% are rated right. Those percentages are shares of the rated outlets, not of every outlet that ran it, which was 121. The sections above set out what each side emphasised, in its own terms.
- Is Appeals court sides with Nevada in prediction market regulation fight left or right?
- The story itself is neither. What can be counted is who has covered it, and 79% of the 96 rated outlets on it are rated centre — so far this is a story carried mostly by the centre. Coverage of this one has settled, so that is unlikely to move much now.
- Is the coverage of Appeals court sides with Nevada in prediction market regulation fight biased?
- Appeals court sides with Nevada in prediction market regulation fight is one event reported by 121 outlets, and this page does not rate the story as biased or unbiased. What it publishes is the spread: which outlets ran it, where named rating organisations place each of them on the spectrum, and what each side chose to lead with. A leaning rating describes an outlet's record over time, not this article, and the two should not be run together.
- Which side is not reporting Appeals court sides with Nevada in prediction market regulation fight?
- When we first saw this story, outlets rated right had barely covered it. Coverage accretes for hours after an event, so that is where to look rather than a verdict — the split above is the current count, and it is the one to read.
- Which outlets covered Appeals court sides with Nevada in prediction market regulation fight?
- 121 that we know of, every one of them listed further up this page with a link to its own report and to what we hold on the publisher. Nothing here is a summary of somebody else's summary: the outlets are named so the original reporting can be read.
- What did the appeals court rule regarding Kalshi and Nevada?
- A federal appeals court ruled that Nevada can regulate Kalshi's prediction markets. The court determined that Kalshi's contracts based on sporting events are sports bets and not federally regulated financial swaps, rejecting Kalshi's argument that federal law preempts state gambling regulations.
- Why is this ruling significant for states?
- The ruling is significant because it supports states' authority to regulate prediction markets under their own gambling laws. It is part of a larger legal conflict involving approximately 20 states that are litigating over who has regulatory oversight of these platforms.
- Did all courts rule the same way on this issue?
- No, the rulings have differed. While the 9th Circuit Court of Appeals sided with Nevada, a previous decision by the 3rd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals found that the CFTC has exclusive control over sports-related event contracts on Kalshi, reaching a different conclusion on federal preemption.
Read it at the source
121 outlets, grouped by the leaning a published rating gives them. Every headline links to the original; an underlined outlet name opens our profile of that publisher.
Left
18- Ninth Circuit win for Nevada over Kalshi sets up potential Supreme Court showdown (opens Idaho Capital Sun in a new tab)
Idaho Capital Sun — is Idaho Capital Sun biased? Our profile of this outlet
- US appeals court sides with Nevada in legal fight with Kalshi (opens Engadget in a new tab)
- States Can Treat Prediction Markets as Gambling: Court (opens Newser in a new tab)
- Appeals Court: States Can Regulate Prediction Markets (opens Joe.My.God. in a new tab)
Joe.My.God. — is Joe.My.God. biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Ninth Circuit win for Nevada over Kalshi sets up potential Supreme Court showdown (opens Utah News Dispatch in a new tab)
Utah News Dispatch — is Utah News Dispatch biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Kalshi dealt major setback by court ruling (opens Mashable in a new tab)
- Ninth Circuit win for Nevada over Kalshi sets up potential Supreme Court showdown (opens Nevada Current in a new tab)
Nevada Current — is Nevada Current biased? Our profile of this outlet
- 9th Circuit sides with states in Kalshi gambling fight, potentially reviving Arizona's prosecution (opens Arizona Mirror in a new tab)
Arizona Mirror — is Arizona Mirror biased? Our profile of this outlet
Show 10 more
- Trump judges deal a massive blow to his own allies with 'pretty brutal' opinion (opens Raw Story in a new tab)
Raw Story — is Raw Story biased? Our profile of this outletOpinion
- Federal appeals court panel gives Nevada a win in its fight to regulate prediction market Kalshi (opens The Seattle Times in a new tab)
The Seattle Times — is The Seattle Times biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Federal appeals court panel gives Nevada a win in its fight to regulate prediction market Kalshi (opens The Sun Chronicle in a new tab)
The Sun Chronicle — is The Sun Chronicle biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Federal appeals court panel gives Nevada a win in its fight to regulate prediction market Kalshi (opens Associated Press News in a new tab)
Associated Press News — is Associated Press News biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Federal Court Says States Can Regulate Prediction Market Sites (opens NOTUS in a new tab)
- U.S. appeals court rules against prediction markets, sets up likely fight at Supreme Court (opens CNBC in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens CNN in a new tab)
- Federal appeals court panel gives Nevada a win in its fight to regulate prediction market Kalshi (opens The Record in a new tab)
The Record — is The Record biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Federal appeals court panel gives Nevada a win in its fight to regulate prediction market Kalshi (opens The Hamilton Spectator in a new tab)
The Hamilton Spectator — is The Hamilton Spectator biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Three Trump-Appointed Judges Deliver Major Blow to Kalshi (opens The New Republic in a new tab)
The New Republic — is The New Republic biased? Our profile of this outlet
Centre
76- Ninth Circuit ruling strengthens Arizona’s position in fight over Kalshi sports betting (opens All About Arizona News in a new tab)
All About Arizona News — is All About Arizona News biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Ninth Circuit win for Nevada over Kalshi sets up potential Supreme Court showdown (opens kiowacountypress.net in a new tab)
kiowacountypress.net — is kiowacountypress.net biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Prediction markets should be regulated as gambling, appeals court says (opens Hawaii Tribune-Herald in a new tab)
Hawaii Tribune-Herald — is Hawaii Tribune-Herald biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Kalshi loses Nevada appeal over sports event contracts (opens crypto.news in a new tab)
crypto.news — is crypto.news biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Federal appeals court panel gives Nevada a win in its fight to regulate Kalshi (opens Santa New Mexican in a new tab)
Santa New Mexican — is Santa New Mexican biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Federal appeals court rules Nevada can regulate Kalshi (opens Las Vegas Review-Journal in a new tab)
Las Vegas Review-Journal — is Las Vegas Review-Journal biased? Our profile of this outlet
- A Federal Appeals Court Rules that States Can Regulate Prediction Markets as Gambling (opens KEZI 9 News in a new tab)
KEZI 9 News — is KEZI 9 News biased? Our profile of this outlet
- A Federal Appeals Court Rules that States Can Regulate Prediction Markets as Gambling (opens WXOW in a new tab)
Show 68 more
- A Federal Appeals Court Rules that States Can Regulate Prediction Markets as Gambling (opens Local 3 News in a new tab)
Local 3 News — is Local 3 News biased? Our profile of this outlet
- A Federal Appeals Court Rules that States Can Regulate Prediction Markets as Gambling (opens KEYT in a new tab)
- Ninth Circuit rejects Kalshi's logic, sides with Nevada on regulation of sports betting (opens 8 News Now in a new tab)
8 News Now — is 8 News Now biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Federal appeals court panel gives Nevada a win in its fight to regulate prediction market Kalshi (opens My Mother Lode in a new tab)
My Mother Lode — is My Mother Lode biased? Our profile of this outlet
- U.S. States Score Court Victory in Fight to Regulate Prediction Markets (opens Internewscast in a new tab)
Internewscast — is Internewscast biased? Our profile of this outlet
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens MOR-TV in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens KHBS in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens WJCL in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens KSBW in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens WXII in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens WGAL in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens WPBF in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens WAPT in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens KOAT in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens WVTM in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens WMTW in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens WBAL-TV in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens WPTZ in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens KMBC in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens KETV in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens WISN in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens KCCI in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens WTAE in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens WDSU in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens WYFF in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens WESH in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens Koco News5 in a new tab)
Koco News5 — is Koco News5 biased? Our profile of this outlet
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens WLKY in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens WMUR in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens WLWT in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens WCVB in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens KCRA 3 in a new tab)
- Kalshi can't evade Nevada gambling laws by calling bets "swaps," court rules (opens Ars Technica in a new tab)
Ars Technica — is Ars Technica biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Appeals court rules states can regulate prediction market platforms like gambling (opens The Hill in a new tab)
- Court hands U.S. states a win in fight over who regulates prediction markets (opens CBS News in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets, court rules. A Supreme Court fight could be next (opens Quartz in a new tab)
- Federal appeals court panel gives Nevada a win in its fight to regulate prediction market Kalshi – WTOP News (opens Washington Top News in a new tab)
Washington Top News — is Washington Top News biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Kalshi takes legal blow in court ruling confirming state powers over prediction markets (opens Coin Desk in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens KESQ in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens KRDO in a new tab)
- Federal appeals court panel gives Nevada a win in its fight to regulat (opens WBAL in a new tab)
- Federal appeals court panel gives Nevada a win in its fight to regulate prediction market Kalshi (opens Newsday in a new tab)
- Federal appeals court panel gives Nevada a win in its fight to regulate prediction market Kalshi (opens Daily News-Record in a new tab)
Daily News-Record — is Daily News-Record biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Federal appeals court panel gives Nevada a win in its fight to regulate prediction market Kalshi (opens The Grand Junction Daily Sentinel in a new tab)
- Federal appeals court panel gives Nevada a win in its fight to regulate prediction market Kalshi (opens The Northern Virginia Daily in a new tab)
The Northern Virginia Daily — is The Northern Virginia Daily biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Federal appeals court panel gives Nevada a win in its fight to regulate prediction market Kalshi (opens Lancaster Farming in a new tab)
Lancaster Farming — is Lancaster Farming biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Federal appeals court panel gives Nevada a win in its fight to regulate prediction market Kalshi (opens Bozeman Daily Chronicle in a new tab)
Bozeman Daily Chronicle — is Bozeman Daily Chronicle biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Federal appeals court panel gives Nevada a win in its fight to regulate prediction market Kalshi (opens Ottumwa Courier in a new tab)
Ottumwa Courier — is Ottumwa Courier biased? Our profile of this outlet
- U.S. states can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens CTV News in a new tab)
- Kalshi cannot block Nevada oversight of sports prediction markets, US appeals court rules (opens Devdiscourse in a new tab)
Devdiscourse — is Devdiscourse biased? Our profile of this outlet
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens kimt.com in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens KTEN in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens kioncentralcoast.com in a new tab)
kioncentralcoast.com — is kioncentralcoast.com biased? Our profile of this outlet
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens KDRV in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens KMIZ in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens KVIA in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens KIFI in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens WRTV in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens WTVR in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens KATC in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens KJRH in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens KXLH.com in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens KTVQ in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens KTVH in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens KPAX in a new tab)
- States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules (opens KBZK in a new tab)
- Federal appeals court panel gives Nevada a win in its fight to regulate prediction market Kalshi (opens Winnipeg Free Press in a new tab)
Winnipeg Free Press — is Winnipeg Free Press biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Federal appeals court allows Nevada to ban Kalshi and other prediction markets - The Nevada Independent (opens Nevada Independent in a new tab)
Nevada Independent — is Nevada Independent biased? Our profile of this outlet
Right
2- Ninth Circuit Sides With Nevada, Rules Kalshi Sports Contracts Are Gambling — Not Federal ‘Swaps’ (opens California Globe in a new tab)
California Globe — is California Globe biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Prediction Markets Dealt Major Blow In State Gambling Fight (opens The Daily Wire in a new tab)
The Daily Wire — is The Daily Wire biased? Our profile of this outlet
Not rated
25- Ninth Circuit win for Nevada over Kalshi sets up potential Supreme Court showdown (opens Dailyfly in a new tab)
- Kalshi Faces Fresh Legal Setback as Ninth Circuit Backs Nevada Sports-Betting Rules (opens TheNewsCrypto in a new tab)
TheNewsCrypto
- What Kalshi’s Big Court Loss Means for Prediction Markets (opens Front Office Sports in a new tab)
Front Office Sports — is Front Office Sports biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Ninth Circuit Rules Against Kalshi in Nevada Betting Fight (opens UseTheBitcoin in a new tab)
UseTheBitcoin — is UseTheBitcoin biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Kalshi Faces Nevada Licence Requirement After 9th Circuit Ruling (opens Gambling Industry News in a new tab)
Gambling Industry News — is Gambling Industry News biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Kalshi ruling deepens fight over state gaming oversight (opens cryptonewsbytes.com in a new tab)
cryptonewsbytes.com
- CFTC Signals Supreme Court Battle After Nevada Wins Prediction Markets Case (opens RetailWit in a new tab)
- Ninth Circuit Rejects Kalshi’s Bid to Block Nevada Sports Betting Rules (opens FinanceFeeds in a new tab)
FinanceFeeds — is FinanceFeeds biased? Our profile of this outlet
Show 17 more
- Appeals court sides against Kalshi in Nevada sports betting case (opens Northeast Times in a new tab)
Northeast Times — is Northeast Times biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New York Times: Prediction Markets Should Be Regulated as Gambling, Appeals Court Says (opens ResearchBuzz in a new tab)
ResearchBuzz — is ResearchBuzz biased? Our profile of this outlet
- USA, Kalshi: Ninth Circuit Confirms Nevada's Power to Intervene in Sports Contracts (opens jamma.it in a new tab)
- Ninth Circuit Rejects Kalshi's CFTC Preemption Play in Nevada Sports Betting Fight (opens Cryptocurrency News - TCAT in a new tab)
Cryptocurrency News - TCAT — is Cryptocurrency News - TCAT biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Kalshi Faces Circuit Split as Ninth Circuit Backs Nevada's Right to Regulate Prediction Markets (opens Blockonomi in a new tab)
Blockonomi — is Blockonomi biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Appeals court rules against prediction markets, tees up SCOTUS fight (opens Los Angeles Weekly Times in a new tab)
Los Angeles Weekly Times — is Los Angeles Weekly Times biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Appeals Court Rules Kalshi Sports Contracts Are Gambling Not Swaps (opens Startup Fortune in a new tab)
Startup Fortune — is Startup Fortune biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Kalshi takes legal blow in court ruling confirming state powers over prediction markets (opens BITRSS in a new tab)
- Prediction Markets Should Be Regulated as Gambling, Appeals Court Says (opens BizToc in a new tab)
- U.S. Court Rejects Kalshi and Strengthens States on Bets (opens SpaceMoney in a new tab)
SpaceMoney — is SpaceMoney biased? Our profile of this outlet
- States Can Regulate Prediction Markets As Gambling, Federal Appeals Court Rules (opens Slashdot in a new tab)
- Kalshi takes legal blow in court ruling confirming state powers over prediction markets (opens Cryptocurrency News in a new tab)
Cryptocurrency News — is Cryptocurrency News biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Ninth Circuit Hands Kalshi Setback in Nevada Betting Fight (opens Coin Edition in a new tab)
Coin Edition — is Coin Edition biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Ninth Circuit Unanimously Rules Against Kalshi, Allowing Nevada Oversight of Sports Event Contracts (opens Sports Betting Dime in a new tab)
Sports Betting Dime — is Sports Betting Dime biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Ninth Circuit Deals Kalshi Major Blow, Rules Sports Event Contracts Aren’t CFTC-Regulated Swaps (opens DeFi Rate in a new tab)
- Kalshi’s Appeal Loss to Nevada Brings Revenue Growth Risk (opens Sportico.com in a new tab)
Sportico.com — is Sportico.com biased? Our profile of this outlet
- U.S. appeals court rules against prediction markets, sets up likely fight at Supreme Court (opens franktrades.com in a new tab)
franktrades.com — is franktrades.com biased? Our profile of this outlet
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