Collins leads Jackson by 3 points in Maine Senate race poll
New York Times/Siena survey shows Republican ahead within margin of error
AI-assisted coverage comparison, editor-supervised · How this was made

Left: Susan Collins in the U.S. Capitol on September 23, 2026, in Washington, DC. Right: Troy Jackson speaking at the Maine Democratic Nominating Convention, Saturday, July 25, 2026, in Bangor, Maine.
Photograph: Newsweek (embedded from source)
What this story says
- Republican Susan Collins leads Democrat Troy Jackson 49% to 46% in a new poll of the Maine Senate race.
- The poll of 619 likely voters was conducted by the New York Times, Portland Press Herald, and Siena College from September 15-22.
- Collins' 3-point lead is within the poll's margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.
- The survey was conducted largely before reports emerged of an abandoned FBI investigation connected to Collins.
Who covered it
Percentages are shares of the 21 outlets carrying a published leaning rating. 3 of the 24 outlets we know ran this story carry no rating and are not counted in them. Coverage measured .
Trust
42/100
Craft
57/100
Hype
41/100
24 sources · methodology
Thin on the left so far
Only 2 of the 21 outlets with a published leaning rating that ran this story are rated left.
This story is still being watched, so it is a count and not yet a finding. Coverage keeps arriving for hours after an event, and a side that has published nothing this morning may publish by tonight. If it is still true when we stop checking, we will say so plainly.
Republican Senator Susan Collins holds a 3-percentage-point lead over Democratic challenger Troy Jackson in the Maine Senate race, according to a poll conducted by the New York Times, Portland Press Herald, and Siena College. The survey of 619 likely voters, taken between September 15 and 22, found Collins with 49% support compared to Jackson's 46%. Five percent of respondents remained undecided.
The race remains highly competitive, as Collins' advantage falls within the poll's margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points. The poll was conducted largely before reports surfaced regarding an abandoned FBI investigation connected to Collins and other lawmakers. Collins' office has denied any wrongdoing, and the FBI previously stated its investigation found nothing implicating Collins or her campaign.
Disagreement on voter breakdown
Reports differ on the breakdown of support among specific voter groups. Newsweek stated Collins received support from 8% of Democrats and was tied with Jackson at 47% among unenrolled and other voters. WLTReport also reported Collins received 8% of Democrats' support and was tied with Jackson at 47% among independents, but added that Jackson received only 3% of Republicans' support and that roughly 12% of voters who backed Kamala Harris in 2024 planned to vote for Collins.
What the coverage left out
None of the right-rated digests mention the specific finding that Collins received support from 8% of Democrats, a detail included in the centre-rated reports. The left-rated digest did not include the specific breakdown of support among Democrats or unenrolled voters.
Still developing. We have re-checked which outlets are covering this 2 times, most recently on 24 Sept 2026, 20:31, and will add the sides that appear.
How other outlets pictured it
Which photograph to run is each newsroom’s own choice. The leaning beside a name is that outlet’s published rating, not a claim that the pictures divide along it. Every picture is shown from the outlet’s own server and links to the article it ran in.
How each side covered it
Our own reading of the reporting listed below, written from the outlets’ articles rather than quoted from them. The reasoning is set out on our methodology page.
Left
2 rated outlets
- The Bangor Daily News digest reported that U.S. Sen. Susan Collins led Democrat Troy Jackson 49% to 46% in a new New York Times poll, her strongest showing yet. The digest also noted that President Trump's approval rating in Maine had slid to 32% among likely voters in the same poll.
Centre
8 rated outlets
- The centre-rated reports focused on the New York Times/Portland Press Herald/Siena poll showing Republican Susan Collins leading Democrat Troy Jackson by 3 percentage points, 49% to 46%. Newsweek noted that Collins had opened her first lead over Jackson in an independent poll since Jackson became the Democratic nominee. It also highlighted that Collins received support from 8% of Democrats and was tied with Jackson at 47% among unenrolled and other voters. The Economist and the Portland Press Herald digests highlighted that the poll could signal the direction of the Senate majority and that the survey underscored Maine's "finicky electorate."
Right
11 rated outlets
- Right-rated reports highlighted the New York Times/Siena poll showing Republican Sen. Susan Collins leading Democrat Troy Jackson by 49% to 46%. WLTReport described the poll as "brutal" for Democrats in a "must-win" Senate race and noted that Collins' 3-point advantage was within the poll's margin of error. The outlet also reported that Jackson was only getting 34% of voters without a college degree, a group central to his campaign message. Fox News reported that Collins was defying "blue-state headwinds" and that the poll revealed a "striking split" in the race. TrendingPolitics stated that Democrats were panicking over the polling results in a crucial pickup opportunity.
Questions about this coverage
- How did the left and right cover Collins leads Jackson by 3 points in Maine Senate race poll?
- Of the 21 outlets on this story carrying a published leaning rating, 10% are rated left, 38% are rated centre, 52% are rated right. Those percentages are shares of the rated outlets, not of every outlet that ran it, which was 24. The sections above set out what each side emphasised, in its own terms.
- Is Collins leads Jackson by 3 points in Maine Senate race poll left or right?
- Neither side dominates it. Of the 21 rated outlets on this story, 10% are rated left, 38% are rated centre, 52% are rated right, and no side holds the 70% this site would want before calling a field one-sided. A story is not left or right in any case; the outlets that carried it are what carry ratings.
- Is the coverage of Collins leads Jackson by 3 points in Maine Senate race poll biased?
- Collins leads Jackson by 3 points in Maine Senate race poll is one event reported by 24 outlets, and this page does not rate the story as biased or unbiased. What it publishes is the spread: which outlets ran it, where named rating organisations place each of them on the spectrum, and what each side chose to lead with. A leaning rating describes an outlet's record over time, not this article, and the two should not be run together.
- Which side is not reporting Collins leads Jackson by 3 points in Maine Senate race poll?
- When we first saw this story, outlets rated left had barely covered it. Coverage accretes for hours after an event, so that is where to look rather than a verdict — the split above is the current count, and it is the one to read.
- Which outlets covered Collins leads Jackson by 3 points in Maine Senate race poll?
- 24 that we know of, every one of them listed further up this page with a link to its own report and to what we hold on the publisher. Nothing here is a summary of somebody else's summary: the outlets are named so the original reporting can be read.
- Who is leading in the Maine Senate race poll?
- According to a New York Times/Portland Press Herald/Siena poll, Republican Susan Collins is leading Democrat Troy Jackson by 3 percentage points, with 49% support to Jackson's 46%. This lead falls within the poll's margin of error.
- When was the poll conducted?
- The poll surveyed 619 likely voters from September 15 to September 22. This timing means it was conducted largely before reports emerged of an abandoned FBI investigation connected to Senator Collins.
- What is the margin of error for the poll?
- The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points. This means the actual support for each candidate could be slightly higher or lower than the reported figures, indicating a close race.
Read it at the source
24 outlets, grouped by the leaning a published rating gives them. Every headline links to the original; an underlined outlet name opens our profile of that publisher.
Left
2- Susan Collins leads Troy Jackson in new poll even as Trump's Maine approval slides (opens Bangor Daily News in a new tab)
Bangor Daily News — is Bangor Daily News biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Poll: Susan Collins holds slight edge over Troy Jackson in Maine's Senate race (opens Maine Public in a new tab)
Maine Public — is Maine Public biased? Our profile of this outlet
Centre
8- Susan Collins defies blue-state headwinds in crucial Senate battle as new poll reveals striking split (opens INTELLINEWS in a new tab)
INTELLINEWS — is INTELLINEWS biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Susan Collins defies blue-state headwinds in crucial Senate battle as new poll reveals striking split (opens The New York Ledger in a new tab)
The New York Ledger — is The New York Ledger biased? Our profile of this outlet
- As goes Maine, so goes the Senate (opens The Economist in a new tab)
The Economist — is The Economist biased? Our profile of this outletOpinion
- Susan Collins opens first lead over Troy Jackson in Maine Senate race (opens Newsweek in a new tab)
- Susan Collins Leads in Maine Senate Race (opens Political Wire in a new tab)
Political Wire — is Political Wire biased? Our profile of this outlet
- 5 takeaways from the new NYT/Press Herald/Siena poll (opens Lewiston Sun Journal in a new tab)
Lewiston Sun Journal — is Lewiston Sun Journal biased? Our profile of this outlet
- 5 takeaways from the new NYT/Press Herald/Siena poll (opens Central Maine News in a new tab)
Central Maine News — is Central Maine News biased? Our profile of this outlet
- 5 takeaways from the new NYT/Press Herald/Siena poll (opens Portland Press Herald in a new tab)
Portland Press Herald — is Portland Press Herald biased? Our profile of this outlet
Right
11- Susan Collins defies blue-state headwinds in crucial Senate battle as new poll reveals striking split - NEW YORK TIMES POST (opens nytimespost.com in a new tab)
nytimespost.com — is nytimespost.com biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Susan Collins defies blue-state headwinds in crucial Senate battle as new poll reveals striking split (opens wfmd.com in a new tab)
- Susan Collins defies blue-state headwinds in crucial Senate battle as new poll reveals striking split – Democratic Accent (opens democraticaccent.com in a new tab)
democraticaccent.com — is democraticaccent.com biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Susan Collins defies blue-state headwinds in crucial Senate battle as new poll reveals striking split (opens Fox News in a new tab)
- JUST IN: Democrats Hit With Brutal New Poll In Must-Win Senate Race – 100PercentFedUp.com – by Jack (opens 100% FED UP! in a new tab)
100% FED UP! — is 100% FED UP! biased? Our profile of this outletOpinion
- Democrats face uphill battle in Maine while gaining in other battlegrounds: Poll (opens Washington Examiner in a new tab)
Washington Examiner — is Washington Examiner biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Democratic Concerns Rise Amidst Disconcerting Senate Polls (opens News Addicts in a new tab)
News Addicts — is News Addicts biased? Our profile of this outlet
- JUST IN: Dems Panic As Brutal Polling Emerges In Must-Win Senate Race (opens TrendingPolitics in a new tab)
TrendingPolitics — is TrendingPolitics biased? Our profile of this outletOpinion
Show 3 more
- NOW: NEW MAINE US SENATE poll (opens news-pravda.com in a new tab)
news-pravda.com — is news-pravda.com biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Susan Collins Is Defying the Headwinds (opens National Review in a new tab)
National Review — is National Review biased? Our profile of this outletOpinion
- JUST IN: Democrats Hit With Brutal New Poll In Must-Win Senate Race (opens WLTReport in a new tab)
Not rated
3- Kalshi Traders Trim Jackson’s Edge After Poll Puts Collins Back in Front in Maine (opens DeFi Rate in a new tab)
- Susan Collins leads in Maine Senate race, NYT poll shows (opens Crypto Briefing in a new tab)
Crypto Briefing — is Crypto Briefing biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Susan Collins leads in Maine Senate race, NYT poll shows (opens Cryptocurrency News in a new tab)
Cryptocurrency News — is Cryptocurrency News biased? Our profile of this outlet
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