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Early Voting Surges in Key Senate States

AP analysis shows significant increases in turnout in states crucial for Senate control.

AI-assisted coverage comparison, editor-supervised · How this was made

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Early Voting Surges in Key Senate States

What this story says

  • Early voting turnout has increased significantly in many states that are expected to decide control of the U.S. Senate.
  • Texas has seen a 74% rise in early voting compared to 2022, while Kansas has more than doubled its turnout.
  • Maine, North Carolina, and Ohio reported increases of over 30% in early voting.
  • Nationally, over 13 million early and mail-in votes have been cast, a rise from 9 million at the same point in 2022.

Who covered it

Left 60%(21)Centre 37%(13)Right 3%(1)

Percentages are shares of the 35 outlets carrying a published leaning rating. 4 of the 39 outlets we know ran this story carry no rating and are not counted in them. Coverage measured .

Trust

42/100

Craft

57/100

Hype

20/100

39 sources · methodology

Thin on the right so far

Only 1 of the 35 outlets with a published leaning rating that ran this story are rated right.

This story is still being watched, so it is a count and not yet a finding. Coverage keeps arriving for hours after an event, and a side that has published nothing this morning may publish by tonight. If it is still true when we stop checking, we will say so plainly.

Early voting turnout is soaring in many states that are expected to determine control of the U.S. Senate, according to an Associated Press analysis of voting data from two weeks before Election Day. In Texas, early voting is up 74% compared with 2022. Kansas has seen its early voting more than double. Maine, North Carolina, and Ohio have also reported increases of more than 30% in early in-person and mail voting when compared to the same point in 2022.

Nationally, more than 13 million mail-in and early in-person votes have been cast. This compares with 9 million votes cast at the same stage in 2022. The increase is partly attributed to a few additional states expanding early voting opportunities and making more data available since the last midterms. The AP analysis suggests this turnout reflects potential voter enthusiasm in a midterm cycle that has seen unpredictable shifts.

The Associated Press analysis noted that in most of the states where Democrats are trying to flip Republican-held Senate seats, Republicans are accounting for a smaller share of advance voters than in previous years. Factors such as dissatisfaction with tariffs, the cost of living, and high gas prices caused by the Iran war were cited as potential reasons for political blowback against Republicans.

Disagreement on Iowa turnout

While many states are reporting increased early voting, the Associated Press analysis indicates a decrease in Iowa. Early voting in Iowa is down about 6% from the same period four years ago, according to the AP analysis. No other outlet reporting on this story provided specific figures for Iowa.

What the coverage left out

None of the left-rated or centre-rated reports mentioned the specific figures for early voting in Michigan and Georgia, where the total number of early votes cast is high but similar to four years ago, as stated in the full report from Washington Top News.

Still developing. We have re-checked which outlets are covering this 7 times, most recently on 22 Oct 2026, 00:30, and will add the sides that appear.

How each side covered it

Our own reading of the reporting listed below, written from the outlets’ articles rather than quoted from them. The reasoning is set out on our methodology page.

Left

21 rated outlets

  • Fifteen left-rated reports led on the overall increase in early voting turnout in states crucial for Senate control. They highlighted the surge in states like Texas, Kansas, Maine, North Carolina, and Ohio, noting the percentage increases. These reports also mentioned the national figures for early and mail-in votes cast. Several digests indicated that Democrats are trying to flip Republican-held Senate seats in these states and that Republicans are accounting for a smaller share of advance voters. The digests also noted that factors such as dissatisfaction with President Trump's tariffs, the cost of living, and high gas prices were cited as reasons for potential political blowback against Republicans.

Centre

13 rated outlets

  • Ten centre-rated reports focused on the overall increase in early voting turnout in states that are expected to decide control of the U.S. Senate. They highlighted the significant increases in states like Texas and Kansas, and the more than 30% rise in Maine, North Carolina, and Ohio. The digests also presented the national figures for early and mail-in votes cast. Some of these reports mentioned that Democrats are trying to flip Republican-held Senate seats in these states and that Republicans are accounting for a smaller share of advance voters. Factors such as dissatisfaction with President Trump's tariffs, the cost of living, and high gas prices were also mentioned as potential reasons for political blowback against Republicans.

Right

1 rated outlet

We have not written our reading of the right coverage of this story. The right-rated outlets that ran it are listed below.

Questions about this coverage

How did the left and right cover Early Voting Surges in Key Senate States?
Of the 35 outlets on this story carrying a published leaning rating, 60% are rated left, 37% are rated centre, 3% are rated right. Those percentages are shares of the rated outlets, not of every outlet that ran it, which was 39. The sections above set out what each side emphasised, in its own terms.
Is Early Voting Surges in Key Senate States left or right?
Neither side dominates it. Of the 35 rated outlets on this story, 60% are rated left, 37% are rated centre, 3% are rated right, and no side holds the 70% this site would want before calling a field one-sided. A story is not left or right in any case; the outlets that carried it are what carry ratings.
Is the coverage of Early Voting Surges in Key Senate States biased?
Early Voting Surges in Key Senate States is one event reported by 39 outlets, and this page does not rate the story as biased or unbiased. What it publishes is the spread: which outlets ran it, where named rating organisations place each of them on the spectrum, and what each side chose to lead with. A leaning rating describes an outlet's record over time, not this article, and the two should not be run together.
Which side is not reporting Early Voting Surges in Key Senate States?
When we first saw this story, outlets rated right had barely covered it. Coverage accretes for hours after an event, so that is where to look rather than a verdict — the split above is the current count, and it is the one to read.
Which outlets covered Early Voting Surges in Key Senate States?
39 that we know of, every one of them listed further up this page with a link to its own report and to what we hold on the publisher. Nothing here is a summary of somebody else's summary: the outlets are named so the original reporting can be read.
What is the overall trend in early voting turnout for key Senate states?
Early voting turnout is significantly up in many states that are expected to decide control of the U.S. Senate. For example, Texas has seen a 74% increase compared to 2022, and Kansas has more than doubled its turnout. Maine, North Carolina, and Ohio have also reported increases of over 30%.
How does the national early voting turnout compare to 2022?
Nationally, more than 13 million mail-in and early in-person votes have been cast so far. This is a notable increase compared to the 9 million votes cast at the same point in the 2022 midterm elections.
Are there any states seeing a decrease in early voting?
Yes, the Associated Press analysis indicates that early voting in Iowa is down about 6% from the same period four years ago. This is in contrast to the surge seen in many other key Senate states.

Read it at the source

39 outlets, grouped by the leaning a published rating gives them. Every headline links to the original; an underlined outlet name opens our profile of that publisher.

Left

21
Show 13 more

Centre

13
Show 5 more

Right

1

Not rated

4

How did this read?

About the coverage, not about the story. We do not ask whether you agree with what happened — we have no honest use for that answer.

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