Early Voting Surges in Key Senate States
AP analysis shows significant increases in turnout in states crucial for Senate control.
AI-assisted coverage comparison, editor-supervised · How this was made

Early Voting Surges in Key Senate States
Photograph: Washington Top News (embedded from source)
What this story says
- Early voting turnout has increased significantly in many states that are expected to decide control of the U.S. Senate.
- Texas has seen a 74% rise in early voting compared to 2022, while Kansas has more than doubled its turnout.
- Maine, North Carolina, and Ohio reported increases of over 30% in early voting.
- Nationally, over 13 million early and mail-in votes have been cast, a rise from 9 million at the same point in 2022.
Who covered it
Percentages are shares of the 35 outlets carrying a published leaning rating. 4 of the 39 outlets we know ran this story carry no rating and are not counted in them. Coverage measured .
Trust
42/100
Craft
57/100
Hype
20/100
39 sources · methodology
Thin on the right so far
Only 1 of the 35 outlets with a published leaning rating that ran this story are rated right.
This story is still being watched, so it is a count and not yet a finding. Coverage keeps arriving for hours after an event, and a side that has published nothing this morning may publish by tonight. If it is still true when we stop checking, we will say so plainly.
Early voting turnout is soaring in many states that are expected to determine control of the U.S. Senate, according to an Associated Press analysis of voting data from two weeks before Election Day. In Texas, early voting is up 74% compared with 2022. Kansas has seen its early voting more than double. Maine, North Carolina, and Ohio have also reported increases of more than 30% in early in-person and mail voting when compared to the same point in 2022.
Nationally, more than 13 million mail-in and early in-person votes have been cast. This compares with 9 million votes cast at the same stage in 2022. The increase is partly attributed to a few additional states expanding early voting opportunities and making more data available since the last midterms. The AP analysis suggests this turnout reflects potential voter enthusiasm in a midterm cycle that has seen unpredictable shifts.
The Associated Press analysis noted that in most of the states where Democrats are trying to flip Republican-held Senate seats, Republicans are accounting for a smaller share of advance voters than in previous years. Factors such as dissatisfaction with tariffs, the cost of living, and high gas prices caused by the Iran war were cited as potential reasons for political blowback against Republicans.
Disagreement on Iowa turnout
While many states are reporting increased early voting, the Associated Press analysis indicates a decrease in Iowa. Early voting in Iowa is down about 6% from the same period four years ago, according to the AP analysis. No other outlet reporting on this story provided specific figures for Iowa.
What the coverage left out
None of the left-rated or centre-rated reports mentioned the specific figures for early voting in Michigan and Georgia, where the total number of early votes cast is high but similar to four years ago, as stated in the full report from Washington Top News.
Still developing. We have re-checked which outlets are covering this 7 times, most recently on 22 Oct 2026, 00:30, and will add the sides that appear.
How each side covered it
Our own reading of the reporting listed below, written from the outlets’ articles rather than quoted from them. The reasoning is set out on our methodology page.
Left
21 rated outlets
- Fifteen left-rated reports led on the overall increase in early voting turnout in states crucial for Senate control. They highlighted the surge in states like Texas, Kansas, Maine, North Carolina, and Ohio, noting the percentage increases. These reports also mentioned the national figures for early and mail-in votes cast. Several digests indicated that Democrats are trying to flip Republican-held Senate seats in these states and that Republicans are accounting for a smaller share of advance voters. The digests also noted that factors such as dissatisfaction with President Trump's tariffs, the cost of living, and high gas prices were cited as reasons for potential political blowback against Republicans.
Centre
13 rated outlets
- Ten centre-rated reports focused on the overall increase in early voting turnout in states that are expected to decide control of the U.S. Senate. They highlighted the significant increases in states like Texas and Kansas, and the more than 30% rise in Maine, North Carolina, and Ohio. The digests also presented the national figures for early and mail-in votes cast. Some of these reports mentioned that Democrats are trying to flip Republican-held Senate seats in these states and that Republicans are accounting for a smaller share of advance voters. Factors such as dissatisfaction with President Trump's tariffs, the cost of living, and high gas prices were also mentioned as potential reasons for political blowback against Republicans.
Right
1 rated outlet
We have not written our reading of the right coverage of this story. The right-rated outlets that ran it are listed below.
Questions about this coverage
- How did the left and right cover Early Voting Surges in Key Senate States?
- Of the 35 outlets on this story carrying a published leaning rating, 60% are rated left, 37% are rated centre, 3% are rated right. Those percentages are shares of the rated outlets, not of every outlet that ran it, which was 39. The sections above set out what each side emphasised, in its own terms.
- Is Early Voting Surges in Key Senate States left or right?
- Neither side dominates it. Of the 35 rated outlets on this story, 60% are rated left, 37% are rated centre, 3% are rated right, and no side holds the 70% this site would want before calling a field one-sided. A story is not left or right in any case; the outlets that carried it are what carry ratings.
- Is the coverage of Early Voting Surges in Key Senate States biased?
- Early Voting Surges in Key Senate States is one event reported by 39 outlets, and this page does not rate the story as biased or unbiased. What it publishes is the spread: which outlets ran it, where named rating organisations place each of them on the spectrum, and what each side chose to lead with. A leaning rating describes an outlet's record over time, not this article, and the two should not be run together.
- Which side is not reporting Early Voting Surges in Key Senate States?
- When we first saw this story, outlets rated right had barely covered it. Coverage accretes for hours after an event, so that is where to look rather than a verdict — the split above is the current count, and it is the one to read.
- Which outlets covered Early Voting Surges in Key Senate States?
- 39 that we know of, every one of them listed further up this page with a link to its own report and to what we hold on the publisher. Nothing here is a summary of somebody else's summary: the outlets are named so the original reporting can be read.
- What is the overall trend in early voting turnout for key Senate states?
- Early voting turnout is significantly up in many states that are expected to decide control of the U.S. Senate. For example, Texas has seen a 74% increase compared to 2022, and Kansas has more than doubled its turnout. Maine, North Carolina, and Ohio have also reported increases of over 30%.
- How does the national early voting turnout compare to 2022?
- Nationally, more than 13 million mail-in and early in-person votes have been cast so far. This is a notable increase compared to the 9 million votes cast at the same point in the 2022 midterm elections.
- Are there any states seeing a decrease in early voting?
- Yes, the Associated Press analysis indicates that early voting in Iowa is down about 6% from the same period four years ago. This is in contrast to the surge seen in many other key Senate states.
Read it at the source
39 outlets, grouped by the leaning a published rating gives them. Every headline links to the original; an underlined outlet name opens our profile of that publisher.
Left
21- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens Timmins Today in a new tab)
Timmins Today — is Timmins Today biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens Bowen Island Undercurrent in a new tab)
Bowen Island Undercurrent — is Bowen Island Undercurrent biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens Thorold Today in a new tab)
Thorold Today — is Thorold Today biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens Orillia Matters in a new tab)
Orillia Matters — is Orillia Matters biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens Rocky Mountain Outlook in a new tab)
Rocky Mountain Outlook — is Rocky Mountain Outlook biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens flamboroughtoday.com in a new tab)
flamboroughtoday.com — is flamboroughtoday.com biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens thealbertan.com in a new tab)
thealbertan.com — is thealbertan.com biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens StratfordToday.ca in a new tab)
StratfordToday.ca — is StratfordToday.ca biased? Our profile of this outlet
Show 13 more
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens The NOTL Local in a new tab)
The NOTL Local — is The NOTL Local biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens Bay Today in a new tab)
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens Sudbury in a new tab)
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens Prince George Citizen in a new tab)
Prince George Citizen — is Prince George Citizen biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens SooToday.com in a new tab)
SooToday.com — is SooToday.com biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens Coast Reporter in a new tab)
Coast Reporter — is Coast Reporter biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens Beckley Register-Herald in a new tab)
Beckley Register-Herald — is Beckley Register-Herald biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens Watauga Democrat in a new tab)
Watauga Democrat — is Watauga Democrat biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens Associated Press News in a new tab)
Associated Press News — is Associated Press News biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens NiagaraFallsReview.ca in a new tab)
NiagaraFallsReview.ca — is NiagaraFallsReview.ca biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens The Record in a new tab)
The Record — is The Record biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens St Catharines Standard in a new tab)
St Catharines Standard — is St Catharines Standard biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens Durango Herald in a new tab)
Durango Herald — is Durango Herald biased? Our profile of this outlet
Centre
13- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens My Mother Lode in a new tab)
My Mother Lode — is My Mother Lode biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens The Record in a new tab)
The Record
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens CFJC Today Kamloops in a new tab)
CFJC Today Kamloops — is CFJC Today Kamloops biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens nanaimonewsnow.com in a new tab)
nanaimonewsnow.com — is nanaimonewsnow.com biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens Ckpg Today in a new tab)
Ckpg Today — is Ckpg Today biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens meadowlakeNOW in a new tab)
meadowlakeNOW — is meadowlakeNOW biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens Battlefords NOW in a new tab)
Battlefords NOW — is Battlefords NOW biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens Daily News-Record in a new tab)
Daily News-Record — is Daily News-Record biased? Our profile of this outlet
Show 5 more
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens The Bakersfield Californian in a new tab)
The Bakersfield Californian — is The Bakersfield Californian biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows – WTOP News (opens Washington Top News in a new tab)
Washington Top News — is Washington Top News biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in e (opens WBAL in a new tab)
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens WKMG in a new tab)
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens Winnipeg Free Press in a new tab)
Winnipeg Free Press — is Winnipeg Free Press biased? Our profile of this outlet
Right
1Not rated
4- Analysis Many States that Will Decide the Control of the Senate Register an Increase in Advance Voting (opens Independent Español in a new tab)
Independent Español — is Independent Español biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens Loonie Politics in a new tab)
Loonie Politics — is Loonie Politics biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens Airdrie City View in a new tab)
Airdrie City View — is Airdrie City View biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows (opens KXL in a new tab)
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About the coverage, not about the story. We do not ask whether you agree with what happened — we have no honest use for that answer.


