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Global population of over-65s exceeds children under five for first time

Demographic shift driven by falling birth rates and increased life expectancy marks a historic turning point.

AI-assisted coverage comparison, editor-supervised · How this was made

Published
Global population of over-65s exceeds children under five for first time

What this story says

  • Globally, for the first time, the population aged 65 and over is larger than the population aged five and under.
  • This demographic milestone is attributed to a worldwide decrease in birth rates and an increase in life expectancy.
  • The US Census Bureau projects the 65+ population to grow from 852 million in 2025 to 2 billion by 2060.
  • By 2060, individuals aged 65 and over are expected to account for approximately 55% of global population growth.

Who covered it

Left 31%(4)Centre 30%(4)Right 39%(5)

Percentages are shares of the 13 outlets carrying a published leaning rating. 18 of the 31 outlets we know ran this story carry no rating and are not counted in them. Coverage measured .

Trust

42/100

Craft

61/100

Hype

41/100

31 sources · methodology

The world has reached a historic demographic turning point where the number of individuals aged 65 and over now exceeds the number of children aged five and under. This shift is a consequence of declining global birth rates and increasing life expectancy, according to a report from the US Census Bureau.

The US Census Bureau projects that the population aged 65 and over will increase significantly, from 852 million in 2025 to an estimated 2 billion by 2060. During this period, the total global population is expected to rise from 8.13 billion to 10.23 billion. The growth in the elderly demographic is anticipated to constitute approximately 55% of the world's total population increase by 2060.

In 2023, over 71% of the global population resided in countries with fertility rates at or below the replacement level of 2.1 children per woman. This contrasts with 2013, when only 45% of the global population lived in such countries, indicating a widespread trend of fewer younger generations replacing older ones.

Disagreement on projections

While the US Census Bureau projects the number of people aged 65 and over to reach 2 billion by 2060, one report from ZN.UA states that by 2060, the number of people aged 65 and over in Asia alone will grow from 487 million to 1.24 billion. This report also notes that Africa's elderly population will increase from 60 million to 249 million by 2060, surpassing Europe's elderly population in absolute numbers.

What the coverage left out

None of the left, centre, or right-rated reports printed below mention the specific projection that by 2060, people aged 65 and over will constitute approximately 55% of the world's population growth. The full reports from ZN.UA and Hot News did not include this specific statistic, nor did any of the digests from the rated outlets.

Still developing. We have re-checked which outlets are covering this 7 times, most recently on 4 Sept 2026, 14:30, and will add the sides that appear.

How other outlets pictured it

Which photograph to run is each newsroom’s own choice. The leaning beside a name is that outlet’s published rating, not a claim that the pictures divide along it. Every picture is shown from the outlet’s own server and links to the article it ran in.

Global population of over-65s exceeds children under five for first time
Hot NewsLeft

How each side covered it

Our own reading of the reporting listed below, written from the outlets’ articles rather than quoted from them. The reasoning is set out on our methodology page.

Left

4 rated outlets

  • Reports from the left-rated outlets led on the historic nature of the demographic shift, with Hot News highlighting that seniors now outnumber young children worldwide for the first time. Axios, also rated left, noted this as a historic first and a profound inversion of the human age structure. Newser stated that older adults now outnumber young children worldwide for the first time in recorded history, driven by falling birthrates and longer lives.

Centre

4 rated outlets

  • Centre-rated reports from IBTimes and Political Wire focused on the core finding that older people now surpass the young in the world for the first time in history, citing a US Census Bureau report. Visual Capitalist's report focused on the US, projecting that America's population will shift as seniors are expected to outnumber children by 2029. ZN.UA, a centre-rated outlet, provided a detailed account of the demographic shift, including projections for Asia and Africa, and discussed the potential economic impacts and societal adjustments needed.

Right

5 rated outlets

  • Right-rated outlets such as the New York Post and The Epoch Times led with the headline that senior citizens now outnumber young children across the world for the first time in human history. Yonhap News Agency and news-pravda.com also reported this primary finding, with Yonhap adding that South Korea is expected to become the oldest country by 2060. End Time Headlines also reported the historic crossover, stating that older adults now outnumber the youngest children worldwide.

Questions about this coverage

How did the left and right cover Global population of over-65s exceeds children under five for first time?
Of the 13 outlets on this story carrying a published leaning rating, 31% are rated left, 30% are rated centre, 39% are rated right. Those percentages are shares of the rated outlets, not of every outlet that ran it, which was 31. The sections above set out what each side emphasised, in its own terms.
Is Global population of over-65s exceeds children under five for first time left or right?
Neither side dominates it. Of the 13 rated outlets on this story, 31% are rated left, 30% are rated centre, 39% are rated right, and no side holds the 70% this site would want before calling a field one-sided. A story is not left or right in any case; the outlets that carried it are what carry ratings.
Is the coverage of Global population of over-65s exceeds children under five for first time biased?
Global population of over-65s exceeds children under five for first time is one event reported by 31 outlets, and this page does not rate the story as biased or unbiased. What it publishes is the spread: which outlets ran it, where named rating organisations place each of them on the spectrum, and what each side chose to lead with. A leaning rating describes an outlet's record over time, not this article, and the two should not be run together.
Which outlets covered Global population of over-65s exceeds children under five for first time?
31 that we know of, every one of them listed further up this page with a link to its own report and to what we hold on the publisher. Nothing here is a summary of somebody else's summary: the outlets are named so the original reporting can be read.
What is the main demographic change reported?
The world has reached a historic demographic milestone where, for the first time, the number of people aged 65 and over has exceeded the number of children aged five and under. This shift is driven by a global decline in birth rates and an increase in life expectancy.
What are the projections for the elderly population?
The US Census Bureau projects that the number of people aged 65 and over will grow from 852 million in 2025 to 2 billion by 2060. This age group is expected to account for approximately 55% of the world's total population growth in the coming decades.
How has the global fertility rate changed?
In 2023, over 71% of the global population lived in countries with fertility rates at or below the replacement level of 2.1 children per woman. This is a significant increase from 2013, when only 45% of the global population lived in such countries.

Read it at the source

31 outlets, grouped by the leaning a published rating gives them. Every headline links to the original; an underlined outlet name opens our profile of that publisher.

Left

4

Centre

4

Right

5

Not rated

18
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Over-65s outnumber under-5s globally | MediaBias News