New Jersey asks Supreme Court to rule on prediction market regulation
A dispute over whether states or federal regulators have oversight of prediction markets has reached the nation's highest court.
AI-assisted coverage comparison, editor-supervised · How this was made

New Jersey asks Supreme Court to rule on prediction market regulation
Photograph: CNBC (embedded from source)
What this story says
- New Jersey has petitioned the U.S. Supreme Court to settle a regulatory dispute over prediction markets.
- The case arises from conflicting rulings by federal appeals courts on whether event contracts are 'swaps' regulated by the CFTC or sports betting subject to state law.
- The outcome could determine the future of prediction markets, which allow users to bet on real-world events.
- No right-rated outlets covered this story.
Who covered it
Percentages are shares of the 14 outlets carrying a published leaning rating. 7 of the 21 outlets we know ran this story carry no rating and are not counted in them. Coverage measured .
Trust
78/100
Craft
85/100
Hype
25/100
21 sources · methodology
Missing from the right
Only 3 of the 14 outlets with a published leaning rating that ran this story are rated right.
A reader who follows the right would not have seen this. We report the absence rather than explain it: outlets choose what to cover for many reasons, and we have no evidence about which one applies here.
New Jersey has asked the U.S. Supreme Court to resolve a dispute over regulatory jurisdiction for prediction markets. The state's petition follows conflicting rulings from federal appeals courts regarding the classification of event contracts. The 3rd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals ruled that event contracts are 'swaps' regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). However, the 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals later ruled that sports-related event contracts are not swaps regulated by the CFTC.
The legal battle centers on whether prediction markets, such as those operated by Kalshi, fall under federal financial regulations or state sports betting laws. Kalshi operates as a financial exchange regulated by the CFTC, according to the company. New Jersey's attorney general stated that Congress did not intend to make the sports-betting industry immune from state law. Forty-four state attorneys general argue that prediction markets constitute sports betting under state law.
Conflicting Court Rulings
The U.S. Supreme Court's potential involvement stems from a split between the 3rd and 9th U.S. Circuit Courts of Appeals. The 3rd Circuit found that event contracts are federal 'swaps,' preempting state law. In contrast, the 9th Circuit ruled that sports-related event contracts have the hallmarks of sports betting and can be regulated by states. This divergence creates uncertainty over which regulatory framework applies to prediction markets.
What the coverage left out
None of the left-rated or centre-rated reports printed below mention the specific financial figures associated with the prediction market industry, such as the total volume of bets placed or the potential tax revenue states might gain. The reports also do not detail the specific arguments made by Kalshi or other platforms regarding their operational status as financial exchanges, beyond their general statements. No right-rated outlet ran this story.
Coverage settled. We checked this 55 times and stopped on 10 Sept 2026, 06:45, including once after it resurfaced. The figures above are what it finished at.
How other outlets pictured it
Which photograph to run is each newsroom’s own choice. The leaning beside a name is that outlet’s published rating, not a claim that the pictures divide along it. Every picture is shown from the outlet’s own server and links to the article it ran in.
How each side covered it
Our own reading of the reporting listed below, written from the outlets’ articles rather than quoted from them. The reasoning is set out on our methodology page.
Left
5 rated outlets
- New Jersey asked the Supreme Court to decide which regulator has authority over prediction markets. The state's attorney general stated that Congress did not intend to exempt the sports betting industry from state law. This follows conflicting rulings from two federal appeals courts.
- The 3rd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals previously found that event contracts are federal derivatives regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. However, the 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals ruled that sports-related contracts are not regulated by the CFTC.
- CNBC reported that the state's petition argues the circuit split justifies Supreme Court review. The platform Kalshi stated it disagrees with New Jersey's filing, asserting its status as a nationwide financial exchange not subject to state regulation.
Centre
6 rated outlets
- Centre-rated reports focused on New Jersey's petition to the Supreme Court to settle the regulatory jurisdiction over prediction markets. These reports detailed the split between the 3rd and 9th U.S. Circuit Courts of Appeals, with the 3rd Circuit classifying event contracts as federal 'swaps' and the 9th Circuit viewing sports-related contracts as akin to sports betting. The reports often quoted New Jersey Attorney General Jennifer Davenport, who stated the call for the Supreme Court to resolve the issue was to recognize that Congress did not silently make the sports-betting industry immune from state law. KIFI and other CNN-affiliated outlets reported that the case could decide if the industry can survive in its current form, noting it is the first time the nationwide legal battle has reached the Supreme Court. Reuters stated New Jersey authorities asked the U.S. Supreme Court to resolve whether states have the power to police sports betting on prediction markets. Investing.com reported New Jersey takes its fight over Kalshi's prediction market to the U.S. Supreme Court.
Right
3 rated outlets
- The New York Post led on the filing being the first Supreme Court request to address prediction‑market regulation, while the Washington Times led on the request covering a dispute over betting‑law. The Washington Examiner, U‑S‑NEWS.COM and tippinsights all noted that Attorney General Jennifer Davenport submitted a petition asking the Court to decide whether states or the federal government oversee prediction markets.
- The Epoch Times and Reason highlighted that the case follows conflicting rulings from the Third and Ninth Circuits, with the Ninth Circuit having held that states may treat prediction markets as sports betting. Reason also reported that Kalshi describes itself as a prediction market, while the Washington Examiner identified Kalshi as the most popular platform offering yes‑or‑no bets on future events.
- None of the right‑rated digests mention any cost estimate for potential regulation, nor do they include statements from industry representatives or consumer groups. They also do not reference any broader national debate about prediction‑market policy beyond New Jersey’s filing.
Questions about this coverage
- How did the left and right cover New Jersey asks Supreme Court to rule on prediction market regulation?
- Of the 14 outlets on this story carrying a published leaning rating, 36% are rated left, 43% are rated centre, 21% are rated right. Those percentages are shares of the rated outlets, not of every outlet that ran it, which was 21. The sections above set out what each side emphasised, in its own terms.
- Is New Jersey asks Supreme Court to rule on prediction market regulation left or right?
- Neither side dominates it. Of the 14 rated outlets on this story, 36% are rated left, 43% are rated centre, 21% are rated right, and no side holds the 70% this site would want before calling a field one-sided. A story is not left or right in any case; the outlets that carried it are what carry ratings.
- Is the coverage of New Jersey asks Supreme Court to rule on prediction market regulation biased?
- New Jersey asks Supreme Court to rule on prediction market regulation is one event reported by 21 outlets, and this page does not rate the story as biased or unbiased. What it publishes is the spread: which outlets ran it, where named rating organisations place each of them on the spectrum, and what each side chose to lead with. A leaning rating describes an outlet's record over time, not this article, and the two should not be run together.
- Which side is not reporting New Jersey asks Supreme Court to rule on prediction market regulation?
- When we first saw this story, outlets rated right had barely covered it. Coverage accretes for hours after an event, so that is where to look rather than a verdict — the split above is the current count, and it is the one to read.
- Which outlets covered New Jersey asks Supreme Court to rule on prediction market regulation?
- 21 that we know of, every one of them listed further up this page with a link to its own report and to what we hold on the publisher. Nothing here is a summary of somebody else's summary: the outlets are named so the original reporting can be read.
- Why has New Jersey asked the Supreme Court to get involved?
- New Jersey has asked the U.S. Supreme Court to resolve a dispute between federal appeals courts. One court ruled prediction market contracts are federal 'swaps,' while another ruled they are sports betting subject to state law. The state wants the Supreme Court to clarify which regulator has oversight.
- What is the core disagreement over prediction markets?
- The core disagreement is whether prediction markets, like those operated by Kalshi, are financial derivatives regulated by the CFTC, or if they are a form of sports betting subject to state laws and regulations. This distinction affects who has the authority to regulate them.
- What are the potential implications of a Supreme Court ruling?
- A Supreme Court ruling could significantly shape the future of prediction markets nationwide. It will determine whether these platforms operate under federal financial regulations or state gambling laws, impacting their business models and the ability of states to regulate them.
Read it at the source
106 outlets, grouped by the leaning a published rating gives them. Every headline links to the original; an underlined outlet name opens our profile of that publisher.
Left
21- Kalshi’s general counsel looks to Supreme Court after New Jersey appeal (opens Arizona Capitol Times in a new tab)
Arizona Capitol Times — is Arizona Capitol Times biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Polymarket and Kalshi face possible regulation as Supreme Court 'monitors the situation' (opens Mashable in a new tab)
- New Jersey asks Supreme Court to shut down prediction markets (opens The Independent (US) in a new tab)
The Independent (US) — is The Independent (US) biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Kalshi won’t allow betting on Supreme Court case deciding its future (opens The Independent (US) in a new tab)
The Independent (US)
- Kalshi won’t allow betting on Supreme Court case deciding its future (opens The Independent in a new tab)
The Independent — is The Independent biased? Our profile of this outlet
- How a coming Supreme Court clash over prediction markets could reshape American betting (opens Politico in a new tab)
- State brings its Kalshi fight to Supreme Court (opens St Louis Post-Dispatch in a new tab)
St Louis Post-Dispatch — is St Louis Post-Dispatch biased? Our profile of this outlet
- State brings its Kalshi fight to Supreme Court (opens News & Record in a new tab)
News & Record — is News & Record biased? Our profile of this outlet
Show 13 more
- New Jersey Takes Its Fight Against Kalshi to the Supreme Court (opens NOTUS in a new tab)
- NJ wants US Supreme Court to review Kalshi’s sports markets (opens New Jersey Monitor in a new tab)
New Jersey Monitor — is New Jersey Monitor biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Supreme Court asked to review battle over Kalshi, prediction markets (opens ESPN in a new tab)
- New Jersey asks the Supreme Court to take on prediction markets (opens CNBC in a new tab)
- NJ wants Supreme Court to let states regulate prediction markets (opens North Jersey in a new tab)
North Jersey — is North Jersey biased? Our profile of this outlet
- NJ wants Supreme Court to let states regulate prediction markets (opens USA Today in a new tab)
- First challenge to prediction markets reaches Supreme Court (opens CNN in a new tab)
- New Jersey Seeks High Court Review of Kalshi Sports Markets (1) (opens Bloomberg Law in a new tab)
Bloomberg Law — is Bloomberg Law biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey asks Supreme Court to resolve fight over Kalshi's future (opens NPR in a new tab)
- NJ wants US Supreme Court to review Kalshi’s sports markets (opens washingtonstatestandard.com in a new tab)
washingtonstatestandard.com — is washingtonstatestandard.com biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey asks Supreme Court to resolve fight over Kalshi's future (opens Georgia Public Broadcasting in a new tab)
Georgia Public Broadcasting — is Georgia Public Broadcasting biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey asks Supreme Court to take up prediction market fight (opens Politico in a new tab)
Politico
- Court ruling may allow Arizona to prosecute online gambling site (opens Arizona Daily Sun in a new tab)
Arizona Daily Sun — is Arizona Daily Sun biased? Our profile of this outlet
Centre
38- Kalshi court split could fragment US prediction markets: expert (opens crypto.news in a new tab)
crypto.news — is crypto.news biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Prediction markets' regulation draws closer to Supreme Court (opens KTSM in a new tab)
- Prediction markets’ regulation draws closer to Supreme Court (opens The Hill in a new tab)
- Prediction markets inch closer to the Supreme Court: State of Crypto (opens Coin Desk in a new tab)
- 5 things to know about New Jersey’s bid to have the US Supreme Court rule on prediction markets (opens The Press of Atlantic City in a new tab)
The Press of Atlantic City — is The Press of Atlantic City biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Nevada regulators double down on prediction market fight as Kalshi vows to keep battling (opens Las Vegas Review-Journal in a new tab)
Las Vegas Review-Journal — is Las Vegas Review-Journal biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Supreme Court urged to let states regulate sports bets on prediction markets (opens Ars Technica in a new tab)
Ars Technica — is Ars Technica biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey asks Supreme Court to shut down prediction markets (opens ABC 6 Philadelphia in a new tab)
ABC 6 Philadelphia — is ABC 6 Philadelphia biased? Our profile of this outlet
Show 30 more
- State brings its Kalshi fight to Supreme Court (opens The Press of Atlantic City in a new tab)
The Press of Atlantic City
- State brings its Kalshi fight to Supreme Court (opens Winona Daily News in a new tab)
Winona Daily News — is Winona Daily News biased? Our profile of this outlet
- State brings its Kalshi fight to Supreme Court (opens Chippewa Herald in a new tab)
Chippewa Herald — is Chippewa Herald biased? Our profile of this outlet
- State brings its Kalshi fight to Supreme Court (opens Corvallis Gazette Times in a new tab)
Corvallis Gazette Times — is Corvallis Gazette Times biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey takes fight over Kalshi’s prediction market to US Supreme Court (opens Hawaii Tribune-Herald in a new tab)
Hawaii Tribune-Herald — is Hawaii Tribune-Herald biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey Petitions the Supreme Court to Decide Whether States Can Regulate Sports Event Contracts (opens unchainedcrypto.com in a new tab)
unchainedcrypto.com — is unchainedcrypto.com biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey Officials Petition US Supreme Court over Prediction Markets (opens The New York Ledger in a new tab)
The New York Ledger — is The New York Ledger biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Kalshi sports contracts dispute heads to Supreme Court (opens crypto.news in a new tab)
crypto.news
- New Jersey Officials Petition US Supreme Court over Prediction Markets (opens Cointelegraph in a new tab)
Cointelegraph — is Cointelegraph biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey takes fight over Kalshi’s prediction market to US Supreme Court (opens Investing.com in a new tab)
Investing.com — is Investing.com biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey becomes first state to ask Supreme Court to weigh in on prediction markets (opens Coin Desk in a new tab)
Coin Desk
- New Jersey asks Supreme Court to review prediction market dispute (opens The Hill in a new tab)
The Hill
- New Jersey asks US Supreme Court to assess power to regulate sports bets on Kalshi (opens Devdiscourse in a new tab)
Devdiscourse — is Devdiscourse biased? Our profile of this outlet
- First challenge to prediction markets reaches Supreme Court (opens KEZI 9 News in a new tab)
KEZI 9 News — is KEZI 9 News biased? Our profile of this outlet
- First challenge to prediction markets reaches Supreme Court (opens kioncentralcoast.com in a new tab)
kioncentralcoast.com — is kioncentralcoast.com biased? Our profile of this outlet
- First challenge to prediction markets reaches Supreme Court (opens KESQ in a new tab)
- First challenge to prediction markets reaches Supreme Court (opens KMIZ in a new tab)
- First challenge to prediction markets reaches Supreme Court (opens KEYT in a new tab)
- First challenge to prediction markets reaches Supreme Court (opens KVIA in a new tab)
- First challenge to prediction markets reaches Supreme Court (opens KRDO in a new tab)
- First challenge to prediction markets reaches Supreme Court (opens KIFI in a new tab)
- First challenge to prediction markets reaches Supreme Court (opens Action News Now in a new tab)
Action News Now — is Action News Now biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey asks US Supreme Court to assess power to regulate sports bets on Kalshi (opens WTVB in a new tab)
- New Jersey takes fight over Kalshi's prediction market to US Supreme Court (opens Reuters in a new tab)
- New Jersey asks US Supreme Court to assess power to regulate sports bets on Kalshi (opens Channel News Asia in a new tab)
Channel News Asia — is Channel News Asia biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey asks SCOTUS to rule on prediction market regulatory authority (opens Spectrum News in a new tab)
Spectrum News — is Spectrum News biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey asks SCOTUS to rule on prediction market regulatory authority (opens Spectrum News 13 in a new tab)
Spectrum News 13 — is Spectrum News 13 biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey asks SCOTUS to rule on prediction market regulatory authority (opens Bay News 9 in a new tab)
Bay News 9 — is Bay News 9 biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey asks SCOTUS to rule on prediction market regulatory authority (opens Spectrum Local News in a new tab)
Spectrum Local News — is Spectrum Local News biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey asks Supreme Court to resolve fight over Kalshi's future (opens KPBS in a new tab)
Right
10- Betting on everything. The US Supreme Court has taken on bookmakers The fight over prediction markets is reaching the highest judicial level (opens news-pravda.com in a new tab)
news-pravda.com — is news-pravda.com biased? Our profile of this outlet
- A $1 trillion market hangs in the balance of crypto dramas * WorldNetDaily * by William Murray, Real Clear Wire (opens OpsLens in a new tab)
- A $1 trillion market hangs in the balance of crypto dramas * WorldNetDaily * by William Murray, Real Clear Wire (opens WND in a new tab)
- New Jersey Asks Supreme Court to Uphold State Regulation of Prediction Markets (opens The Epoch Times in a new tab)
The Epoch Times — is The Epoch Times biased? Our profile of this outlet
- SCOTUS should weigh in on prediction markets, says New Jersey AG who wants to shut down sites like Kalshi, Polymarket (opens New York Post in a new tab)
New York Post — is New York Post biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey wants Supreme Court to weigh in on sports betting regulation (opens Washington Times in a new tab)
Washington Times — is Washington Times biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey wants to bring prediction market Kalshi to Supreme Court (opens Washington Examiner in a new tab)
Washington Examiner — is Washington Examiner biased? Our profile of this outlet
- STOCK MARKET: New Jersey asks the Supreme Court to take on prediction markets (opens U-S-NEWS.COM in a new tab)
U-S-NEWS.COM — is U-S-NEWS.COM biased? Our profile of this outlet
Not rated
37- New Jersey Takes Kalshi Fight to Supreme Court, Putting Prediction Markets on Trial (opens Cryptocurrency News - TCAT in a new tab)
Cryptocurrency News - TCAT — is Cryptocurrency News - TCAT biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Prediction markets inch closer to the Supreme Court: State of Crypto (opens BITRSS in a new tab)
- Regulations for Forward Markets: Gambling or Financial Swaps? (opens The Cryptonomist in a new tab)
The Cryptonomist — is The Cryptonomist biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Prediction markets inch closer to the Supreme Court: State of Crypto (opens Cryptocurrency News in a new tab)
Cryptocurrency News — is Cryptocurrency News biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Prediction markets inch closer to the Supreme Court: State of Crypto (opens BizToc in a new tab)
- Federal Courts Now Disagree on Kalshi’s Sports Contracts. New Jersey Wants the Supreme Court to Settle the Fight (opens Finance Magnates in a new tab)
Finance Magnates — is Finance Magnates biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey High Court Hears Controversy over Market Regulation Forecasting. (opens 大纪元 Epoch Times in a new tab)
大纪元 Epoch Times — is 大纪元 Epoch Times biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey Asks the Supreme Court to Decide Kalshi's Sports Betting Fate (opens Startup Fortune in a new tab)
Startup Fortune — is Startup Fortune biased? Our profile of this outlet
Show 29 more
- Should states have jurisdiction over sports event or gambling contracts formed in their states? (opens altondrewtrades.blog in a new tab)
altondrewtrades.blog
- New Jersey Asks Supreme Court to Rule on Kalshi Sports Bets (opens FinanceFeeds in a new tab)
FinanceFeeds — is FinanceFeeds biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey Brings Prediction Market Dispute Before U.S. Supreme Court - The Sun Papers (opens The Sun Newspapers in a new tab)
The Sun Newspapers — is The Sun Newspapers biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey Petitions Supreme Court to Hear Sports Prediction Market Case (opens CasinoBeats in a new tab)
CasinoBeats
- New Jersey Officials Petition US Supreme Court over Prediction Markets - Invest In Crypto News (opens investincryptonews.com in a new tab)
investincryptonews.com — is investincryptonews.com biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Kalshi Sports Contracts Face New Test in Supreme Court Petition (opens Gambling Industry News in a new tab)
Gambling Industry News — is Gambling Industry News biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey Seeks U.S. Supreme Court Ruling on Prediction Markets (opens nadanews.com in a new tab)
nadanews.com — is nadanews.com biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey asks Supreme Court to rule states can police prediction markets (opens Cryptopolitan in a new tab)
Cryptopolitan — is Cryptopolitan biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey Pushes Supreme Court to Settle Prediction Markets Legal War (opens Cryptocurrency News - TCAT in a new tab)
Cryptocurrency News - TCAT
- New Jersey asks SC to settle jurisdiction fight over Prediction Markets - CoinCodeCap (opens coincodecap.com in a new tab)
coincodecap.com
- NJ asks Supreme Court to decide if Kalshi sports betting is legal (opens SBC Americas in a new tab)
SBC Americas
- Prediction Markets, New Jersey Brings the Kalshi Case to the US Supreme Court (opens jamma.it in a new tab)
- New Jersey Asks U.S. Supreme Court to Review Prediction Markets (opens Crypto Breaking News in a new tab)
Crypto Breaking News — is Crypto Breaking News biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey Takes Kalshi Prediction Market Fight to Supreme Court (opens Coin Edition in a new tab)
Coin Edition — is Coin Edition biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Supreme Court Petition Filed Over Kalshi Sports Betting Jurisdiction Battle (opens Blockonomi in a new tab)
Blockonomi — is Blockonomi biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey asks Supreme Court to decide who regulates sports betting on prediction markets (opens BizToc in a new tab)
BizToc
- New Jersey becomes first state to ask Supreme Court to weigh in on prediction markets (opens BITRSS in a new tab)
BITRSS
- New Jersey becomes first state to ask Supreme Court to weigh in on prediction markets (opens Cryptocurrency News in a new tab)
Cryptocurrency News
- New Jersey asks U.S. Supreme Court to decide whether prediction markets can bypass state sports betting laws - WRNJ Radio (opens WRNJ Radio, Inc in a new tab)
WRNJ Radio, Inc — is WRNJ Radio, Inc biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey Attorney General Petitions SCOTUS Hearing For State Regulation of Sports Event Contracts (opens Sports Betting Dime in a new tab)
Sports Betting Dime — is Sports Betting Dime biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey Asks Supreme Court to Decide Whether Prediction Markets Are Sportsbooks or Swaps (opens DeFi Rate in a new tab)
- New Jersey petitions Supreme Court over prediction market ruling (opens Crypto Briefing in a new tab)
Crypto Briefing — is Crypto Briefing biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey asks US Supreme Court to assess power to regulate sports bets on Kalshi (opens PressNewsAgency in a new tab)
PressNewsAgency — is PressNewsAgency biased? Our profile of this outlet
- New Jersey asks Supreme Court to resolve fight over Kalshi's future (opens ksfr.org in a new tab)
- Arizona: Ninth Circuit ruling backs state authority over Kalshi sports contracts, but election dispute remains (opens yogonet.com in a new tab)
yogonet.com
- SCOTUS Could Soon Hear The Sports Prediction Market Case (opens LegalSportsBetting.com in a new tab)
LegalSportsBetting.com — is LegalSportsBetting.com biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Hanaway says prediction markets should pay up in Missouri (opens Newstalk KZRG in a new tab)
Newstalk KZRG — is Newstalk KZRG biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Ninth Circuit ruling threatens Kalshi sports markets (opens ReadWrite in a new tab)
- Trump-Appointed Judges Rule Nevada Can Regulate Kalshi’s Sports Contracts (opens TFD in a new tab)
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