Poll: Le Pen and Mélenchon projected for French presidential run-off

Questions about this coverage

How did the left and right cover Poll: Le Pen and Mélenchon projected for French presidential run-off?

Of the 14 outlets on this story carrying a published leaning rating, 7% are rated left, 50% are rated centre, 43% are rated right. Those percentages are shares of the rated outlets, not of every outlet that ran it, which was 40. The sections above set out what each side emphasised, in its own terms.

Is Poll: Le Pen and Mélenchon projected for French presidential run-off left or right?

Neither side dominates it. Of the 14 rated outlets on this story, 7% are rated left, 50% are rated centre, 43% are rated right, and no side holds the 70% this site would want before calling a field one-sided. A story is not left or right in any case; the outlets that carried it are what carry ratings.

Is the coverage of Poll: Le Pen and Mélenchon projected for French presidential run-off biased?

Poll: Le Pen and Mélenchon projected for French presidential run-off is one event reported by 40 outlets, and this page does not rate the story as biased or unbiased. What it publishes is the spread: which outlets ran it, where named rating organisations place each of them on the spectrum, and what each side chose to lead with. A leaning rating describes an outlet's record over time, not this article, and the two should not be run together.

Which side is not reporting Poll: Le Pen and Mélenchon projected for French presidential run-off?

When we first saw this story, outlets rated left had barely covered it. Coverage accretes for hours after an event, so that is where to look rather than a verdict — the split above is the current count, and it is the one to read.

Which outlets covered Poll: Le Pen and Mélenchon projected for French presidential run-off?

40 that we know of, every one of them listed further up this page with a link to its own report and to what we hold on the publisher. Nothing here is a summary of somebody else's summary: the outlets are named so the original reporting can be read.

Who is projected to reach the second round of the 2027 French presidential election?

A poll by Toluna Harris Interactive for M6 and RTL suggests that Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Mélenchon are projected to reach the second round of the 2027 French presidential election. This projection holds true across all five scenarios examined in the survey.

What are the projected vote shares for Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Mélenchon in the first round?

The poll projects Marine Le Pen to receive between 35% and 36% of the vote in the first round. Jean-Luc Mélenchon is projected to receive between 15% and 18% of the vote in the first round, depending on the specific scenario.

How does Marine Le Pen perform in projected second-round matchups?

In a projected second-round contest against Édouard Philippe, Marine Le Pen is expected to win with 57% of the vote. If she were to face Jean-Luc Mélenchon in the second round, she is projected to win with 69% of the vote.