Skip to the story
All StoriesPoliticsConflict & SecurityBusiness & EconomyScience & TechHealthClimateMedia
All stories
Conflict & Security24 outlets ran this3 min read

JD Vance: US-Iran conflict to enter new phase in months

US Vice President JD Vance stated the conflict with Iran will shift significantly in the coming months.

AI-assisted coverage comparison, editor-supervised · How this was made

Published
Iran war will enter 'much different phase in a couple of months,' JD Vance tells The Post

What this story says

  • US Vice President JD Vance stated the conflict with Iran will enter a "much different phase" in a few months.
  • Vance agreed with President Trump's prediction that the war could end "right after" the midterm elections.
  • Shipping trackers recorded 11 commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz in the previous 24 hours, compared with an average of 130 before the war.
  • About one-fifth of the world’s seaborne oil supply moves through the Strait of Hormuz.

Who covered it

Left 0%(0)Centre 10%(1)Right 90%(9)

Percentages are shares of the 10 outlets carrying a published leaning rating. 14 of the 24 outlets we know ran this story carry no rating and are not counted in them. Coverage measured .

Trust

86/100

Craft

95/100

Hype

30/100

24 sources · methodology

Thin on the left so far

None of the 10 outlets with a published leaning rating that ran this story are rated left.

This story is still being watched, so it is a count and not yet a finding. Coverage keeps arriving for hours after an event, and a side that has published nothing this morning may publish by tonight. If it is still true when we stop checking, we will say so plainly.

US Vice President JD Vance said the confrontation with Iran is expected to enter a "much different phase in a couple of months." He also agreed with President Trump's prediction that the conflict, following months of retaliatory strikes, could end "right after" the midterm elections. Vance spoke on Monday aboard Air Force Two.

Vance stated that Iran's control over the Strait of Hormuz would continue to weaken before the election. He indicated that traffic through the waterway had recovered to "well over 50% of normal" levels. Shipping trackers recorded 11 commercial vessels transiting the strait in the previous 24 hours, a significant decrease from the average of 130 ships that crossed daily before the war. Approximately one-fifth of the world’s seaborne oil supply moves through the Strait of Hormuz.

The Vice President explained that the first phase of the conflict, which involved destroying Iran's nuclear program and conventional military capabilities, was complete. The next phase, he said, would focus on preventing Iran from rebuilding its military and maintaining regional stability. Vance also noted that the US is not engaged in aggressive operations against Iran, stating that Iranian forces have continued to fire intermittently at commercial shipping, though attacks have generally failed to hit their targets.

Disagreement on traffic levels

Internewscast reported that traffic through the Strait of Hormuz had recovered to "well over 50% of normal" levels. The New York Post also stated that the Strait of Hormuz had "returned to well over 50% of normal traffic."

What the coverage left out

None of the right-rated reports mentioned the memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran that Vance helped craft in mid-June, which established a cease-fire intended to open negotiations over Tehran's nuclear program. The centre-rated report from Internewscast did mention this agreement.

Tags:#USIranConflict#JdVance#MiddleEast#StraitOfHormuz#Geopolitics

Still developing. We have re-checked which outlets are covering this 2 times, most recently on 16 Sept 2026, 03:45, and will add the sides that appear.

How each side covered it

Our own reading of the reporting listed below, written from the outlets’ articles rather than quoted from them. The reasoning is set out on our methodology page.

Left

0 rated outlets

No outlet rated left has run this story so far. We are still checking, and will say plainly if that does not change.

Centre

1 rated outlet

  • Internewscast led on Vice President JD Vance's prediction that the US-Iran conflict would enter a "much different phase" within months. The report detailed Vance's comments on the conflict's phases, the Strait of Hormuz traffic levels, and the US strategy to prevent Iran's military rebuilding. It quoted Vance saying, "We can’t predict the future, but I think the president is right to say that this thing will enter a much different phase in a couple of months." The outlet also noted that shipping trackers recorded 11 commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz in the previous 24 hours, compared with an average of 130 before the war, and that about one-fifth of the world’s seaborne oil supply moves through the strait.

Right

9 rated outlets

  • The right-rated reports focused on Vice President JD Vance's statements regarding the US-Iran conflict entering a new phase and potentially concluding soon after the midterm elections. Several outlets highlighted Vance's agreement with President Trump's forecast. For example, the New York Post quoted Vance saying, "I think the president is right to say that this thing will enter a much different phase in a couple of months." Breitbart's headline stated, "Vance: ‘First Phase’ of U.S.-Iran Conflict Is Over, ‘Much Different Phase’ Coming Within Months." Arutz Sheva reported Vance saying the conflict "will enter 'much different phase' within months as Washington pressures Tehran and restores traffic through Hormuz." The New York Post and Internewscast reported that traffic through the Strait of Hormuz had returned to "well over 50% of normal." The New York Post and Interfax.ru mentioned that 11 commercial vessels transited the strait in the last 24 hours, compared to an average of 130 before the war.

Questions about this coverage

How did the left and right cover JD Vance: US-Iran conflict to enter new phase in months?
Of the 10 outlets on this story carrying a published leaning rating, 0% are rated left, 10% are rated centre, 90% are rated right. Those percentages are shares of the rated outlets, not of every outlet that ran it, which was 24. The sections above set out what each side emphasised, in its own terms.
Is JD Vance: US-Iran conflict to enter new phase in months left or right?
Too few of the outlets on this story carry a published leaning rating to say. 10 of them do, and this site does not characterise a field under 12: at that size one newsroom filing moves the share by ten points. The percentages above are the count as it stands.
Is the coverage of JD Vance: US-Iran conflict to enter new phase in months biased?
JD Vance: US-Iran conflict to enter new phase in months is one event reported by 24 outlets, and this page does not rate the story as biased or unbiased. What it publishes is the spread: which outlets ran it, where named rating organisations place each of them on the spectrum, and what each side chose to lead with. A leaning rating describes an outlet's record over time, not this article, and the two should not be run together.
Which side is not reporting JD Vance: US-Iran conflict to enter new phase in months?
When we first saw this story, outlets rated left had barely covered it. Coverage accretes for hours after an event, so that is where to look rather than a verdict — the split above is the current count, and it is the one to read.
Which outlets covered JD Vance: US-Iran conflict to enter new phase in months?
24 that we know of, every one of them listed further up this page with a link to its own report and to what we hold on the publisher. Nothing here is a summary of somebody else's summary: the outlets are named so the original reporting can be read.
When will the US-Iran conflict enter a new phase?
US Vice President JD Vance stated that the conflict with Iran is expected to enter a "much different phase" within a couple of months. He indicated that the first phase of the conflict is complete and the next phase will focus on preventing Iran from rebuilding its military capabilities.
When might the US-Iran conflict end?
Vice President JD Vance agreed with President Trump's prediction that the conflict could conclude "right after" the midterm elections. Trump had previously stated that oil prices would tumble after the election and that the war would end immediately because Iran could not hold out longer.
How much shipping traffic is going through the Strait of Hormuz?
Shipping trackers recorded 11 commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz in the previous 24 hours. This is significantly lower than the average of 130 ships that crossed daily before the war. About one-fifth of the world’s seaborne oil supply moves through this waterway.

Read it at the source

24 outlets, grouped by the leaning a published rating gives them. Every headline links to the original; an underlined outlet name opens our profile of that publisher.

Left

0

No outlet in this group ran the story.

Centre

1

Right

9
Show 1 more

Not rated

14
Show 6 more

How did this read?

About the coverage, not about the story. We do not ask whether you agree with what happened — we have no honest use for that answer.

More in Conflict & Security

All Conflict & Security →
A U.S. Air Force KC-135 Stratotanker aircraft refuels a U.S. Air Force F-35A Lightning II aircraft during an Operation Epic Fury attack on Iran, at an undisclosed location on April 5. Seven KC-135 refuelling aircraft have been damaged or destroyed since Feb. 28, a report from the Pentagon inspector general says, while another KC-135 crashed in Iraq. (U.S. Air Force/Reuters)3 min readPentagon report details Iran war costs, munitions shortfallsRead storyUS plans $2.8bn arms package for Israel including 40,000 bombs3 min readUS plans $2.8bn arms package for Israel including 40,000 bombsRead storyCommercial vessels anchored in the Strait of Hormuz off Bandar Abbas, Iran, 7 September 2026.4 min readQatar warns Bab el-Mandeb Strait closure would be catastrophicRead story

Elsewhere on the site

Iran rejects US talks until conditions met, says security chiefPolitics•3 min readIran rejects US talks until conditions met, says security chiefIranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi meets with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi in a location given as Beijing, China, in this handout image released on May 6, 2026. (File photo: Reuters/Telegram/Seyed Abbas Araghchi)Politics•3 min readIranian Foreign Minister Araghchi to Meet China's Wang Yi on Wednesday
JD Vance on US-Iran conflict | MediaBias News