Ukraine Spy Chief: Russia Has Resources for War Through 2028
Oleh Ivashchenko warns of continued conflict despite Russia's economic struggles and personnel losses.
AI-assisted coverage comparison, editor-supervised · How this was made
‘I Can’t Mislead People’: Ukraine’s Spy Chief Warns Russia Can Fight Through 2028
Photograph: Kyiv Post (embedded from source)
What this story says
- Russia has enough resources to continue its war in Ukraine through 2027 and 2028, according to Ukraine's Defense Intelligence Directorate chief, Oleh Ivashchenko.
- Ivashchenko estimated that Russian forces lose 1,200 to 1,500 personnel daily and that over 60% of Russians oppose the war.
- Russia's budget deficit stands at $82 billion, and the country is economically weaker than at the start of the full-scale invasion, reports indicate.
- The intelligence chief warned of intensified Russian attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure during the coming autumn and winter.
Who covered it
Percentages are shares of the 6 outlets carrying a published leaning rating. 11 of the 17 outlets we know ran this story carry no rating and are not counted in them. Coverage measured .
Trust
70/100
Craft
95/100
Hype
28/100
17 sources · methodology
Thin on the right so far
None of the 6 outlets with a published leaning rating that ran this story are rated right.
This story is still being watched, so it is a count and not yet a finding. Coverage keeps arriving for hours after an event, and a side that has published nothing this morning may publish by tonight. If it is still true when we stop checking, we will say so plainly.
Russia possesses sufficient resources to sustain its war in Ukraine through 2027 and 2028, stated Oleh Ivashchenko, head of Ukraine’s Defense Intelligence Directorate. In an interview with Ukrinform, Ivashchenko acknowledged that Russia's economy has weakened since the full-scale invasion began. He also warned that Russia is preparing intensified attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure for the upcoming autumn and winter.
Ivashchenko estimated that Russian forces are losing an average of 1,200 to 1,400 personnel per day, sometimes reaching 1,500. He also reported that more than 60% of Russians now oppose the war, attributing this to worsening economic conditions and heavy battlefield losses. The intelligence chief noted that Russia's budget deficit currently stands at $82 billion.
Disagreement on Russia's economic state
While most reports agree that Russia has the resources to continue the war, there is a divergence on its current economic strength. Kyiv Post reported Ivashchenko stating Ukraine and its international partners must work to restrict Russia’s access to materials for military production. Business Insider (Poland) and hromadske.ua reported Ivashchenko saying Russia is much weaker economically today than at the beginning of the war. Hospodárske Noviny and LB.ua also stated Russia is economically weaker but still has resources for up to two more years. United24 and The Kyiv Independent reported that Ukrainian strikes are contributing to Russia's budget deficit, which stands at $82 billion.
What the coverage left out
None of the reports analysed mentioned the specific figures for Russia's daily personnel losses (1,200 to 1,500) or the estimate that more than 60% of Russians oppose the war. These details were present in the full report from Kyiv Post but were not included in the digests or the centre-rated reports.
Still developing. We have re-checked which outlets are covering this 2 times, most recently on 7 Sept 2026, 16:15, and will add the sides that appear.
How other outlets pictured it
Which photograph to run is each newsroom’s own choice. The leaning beside a name is that outlet’s published rating, not a claim that the pictures divide along it. Every picture is shown from the outlet’s own server and links to the article it ran in.
How each side covered it
Our own reading of the reporting listed below, written from the outlets’ articles rather than quoted from them. The reasoning is set out on our methodology page.
Left
4 rated outlets
- The left-rated reports led on the assessment that Russia has the resources to continue the war through 2028. Kyiv Post, in its full report, quoted Ivashchenko saying, “We do not rule out that Russia will have enough resources to wage war against Ukraine in 2027 and 2028.” The outlet also highlighted Ivashchenko's warning about intensified attacks on energy infrastructure and his statement that "I can’t please you and I can’t mislead people. As the head of intelligence, I have to speak objectively."
- United24 and IndexHR, in their digests, also focused on the duration of the war and Russia's resources. United24 noted Ivashchenko's statement about Russia potentially having sufficient resources despite economic pressure. IndexHR's digest highlighted that Ukrainian intelligence believes Russia has resources until 2028, despite economic problems and strikes on infrastructure.
Centre
2 rated outlets
- The centre-rated reports focused on the duration of the war and the resources Russia possesses. Portfolio's digest stated that Russia has enough resources to continue the war through 2027-2028. The Kyiv Independent's digest reported that Ukraine's military intelligence chief Oleh Ivashchenko said Russia has enough resources to wage war through 2028, and that Ukrainian strikes contribute to Russia's $82 billion budget deficit.
Right
0 rated outlets
No outlet rated right has run this story so far. We are still checking, and will say plainly if that does not change.
Questions about this coverage
- How did the left and right cover Ukraine Spy Chief: Russia Has Resources for War Through 2028?
- Of the 6 outlets on this story carrying a published leaning rating, 67% are rated left, 33% are rated centre, 0% are rated right. Those percentages are shares of the rated outlets, not of every outlet that ran it, which was 17. The sections above set out what each side emphasised, in its own terms.
- Is Ukraine Spy Chief: Russia Has Resources for War Through 2028 left or right?
- Too few of the outlets on this story carry a published leaning rating to say. 6 of them do, and this site does not characterise a field under 12: at that size one newsroom filing moves the share by ten points. The percentages above are the count as it stands.
- Is the coverage of Ukraine Spy Chief: Russia Has Resources for War Through 2028 biased?
- Ukraine Spy Chief: Russia Has Resources for War Through 2028 is one event reported by 17 outlets, and this page does not rate the story as biased or unbiased. What it publishes is the spread: which outlets ran it, where named rating organisations place each of them on the spectrum, and what each side chose to lead with. A leaning rating describes an outlet's record over time, not this article, and the two should not be run together.
- Which side is not reporting Ukraine Spy Chief: Russia Has Resources for War Through 2028?
- When we first saw this story, outlets rated right had barely covered it. Coverage accretes for hours after an event, so that is where to look rather than a verdict — the split above is the current count, and it is the one to read.
- Which outlets covered Ukraine Spy Chief: Russia Has Resources for War Through 2028?
- 17 that we know of, every one of them listed further up this page with a link to its own report and to what we hold on the publisher. Nothing here is a summary of somebody else's summary: the outlets are named so the original reporting can be read.
- How long does Ukraine's spy chief say Russia can continue the war?
- Oleh Ivashchenko, head of Ukraine’s Defense Intelligence Directorate, stated that Russia has enough resources to continue its war against Ukraine through 2027 and 2028. He acknowledged that Russia's economy has weakened but indicated that it still possesses the means to sustain the conflict.
- What is Russia's estimated daily personnel loss?
- While the full report from Kyiv Post mentions that Russian forces lose an average of 1,200 to 1,400 personnel per day, sometimes rising to 1,500, this specific detail was not included in the digests or the centre-rated reports analysed.
- What is Russia's current budget deficit?
- According to reports citing Ukrainian intelligence, Russia's budget deficit currently stands at $82 billion. This figure was mentioned in digests from The Kyiv Independent and Unknown (interfax.com.ua).
Read it at the source
17 outlets, grouped by the leaning a published rating gives them. Every headline links to the original; an underlined outlet name opens our profile of that publisher.
Left
4- Russia May Have Resources to Continue War Against Ukraine Through 2028, HUR Chief Says (opens United24 in a new tab)
- ‘I Can’t Mislead People’: Ukraine’s Spy Chief Warns Russia Can Fight Through 2028 (opens Kyiv Post in a new tab)
- How Much Longer Can the Russians Withstand Such Strikes? The Assessment of Ukrainian Intelligence Officers Has Arrived (opens IndexHR in a new tab)
- Ukraine's long-range campaign worsening Russia's economic situation, but Moscow still has sufficient resources for war – GUR (opens Unknown in a new tab)
Unknown
Centre
2- Ukrainian Spy Chief Says How Long Moscow Can Endure the War (opens Portfolio in a new tab)
- Russia has enough resources to wage war through 2028, Ukraine's military intelligence says (opens The Kyiv Independent in a new tab)
The Kyiv Independent — is The Kyiv Independent biased? Our profile of this outlet
Right
0No outlet in this group ran the story.
Not rated
11- Putin Is Burning Through a Fortune on War. Intelligence Reveals How Much Longer Russia Can Fight. (opens fakt.pl in a new tab)
- Ukrainian Intelligence Has Revealed How Many Years Russia Has the Resources to Continue the War (opens maszol.ro in a new tab)
- Russia Has the Resources to Sustain Two Years of War. "We Know Which Countries It's Getting Its Components from." (opens Business Insider (Poland) in a new tab)
Business Insider (Poland) — is Business Insider (Poland) biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Russia may have enough resources to continue war through 2028, Ukraine's military intelligence chief says (opens hromadske.ua in a new tab)
hromadske.ua — is hromadske.ua biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Putin May Have Enough Resources to Continue the War for Two More Years, Says Ukrainian Intelligence Chief (opens Heti Világgazdaság in a new tab)
Heti Világgazdaság — is Heti Világgazdaság biased? Our profile of this outlet
- HUR Leader Ivashchenko Reveals How Long Russia Could Last for a Power War (opens jauns.lv in a new tab)
- “Enough for 2027 and 2028": GUR Announced the Level of Russian Resources for the War Against Ukraine (opens Gazeta.ua in a new tab)
- Russia Still Has Resources for Two More Years of War - Ukraine's Military Intelligence Service (opens bucpress.eu in a new tab)
bucpress.eu — is bucpress.eu biased? Our profile of this outlet
Show 3 more
- Russia Has Enough Resources for Another Two Years of War, Says Ukrainian Military Intelligence Chief (opens Hospodárske Noviny in a new tab)
Hospodárske Noviny — is Hospodárske Noviny biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Ukraines Military Intelligence chief: Russia is economically weaker but could (opens LB.ua in a new tab)
- Russia has enough resources to wage war through 2028, Ukraine intelligence chief warns (opens Unknown in a new tab)
Unknown
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