Fox News poll puts Rogers 4 points ahead of El-Sayed in Michigan Senate race
The first survey since the Democratic primary shows the Republican nominee leading within the margin of error
AI-assisted coverage comparison, editor-supervised · How this was made
Rogers has slight lead over El-Sayed — but there are warning signs in the US Senate race in Michigan
Photograph: The Blaze (embedded from source)
What this story says
- A Fox News poll of 1,006 Michigan registered voters shows Mike Rogers at 51% and Abdul El-Sayed at 47%, a four-point lead within the ±3-point margin of error.
- The poll is the first since El-Sayed defeated Haley Stevens in the Democratic primary by one percentage point on 5 August 2026.
- Harry Enten of CNN said El-Sayed’s four-point deficit is the weakest for any Democrat in a Michigan Senate race this century.
- El-Sayed leads Rogers by 23 points among white college-educated women, according to the Fox News poll.
Who covered it
Percentages are shares of the 17 outlets carrying a published leaning rating. Coverage measured .
Trust
86/100
Craft
95/100
Hype
50/100
17 sources · methodology
Thin on the left so far
Only 4 of the 17 outlets with a published leaning rating that ran this story are rated left.
This story is still being watched, so it is a count and not yet a finding. Coverage keeps arriving for hours after an event, and a side that has published nothing this morning may publish by tonight. If it is still true when we stop checking, we will say so plainly.
The first post-primary poll in Michigan’s 2026 Senate race shows Republican Mike Rogers leading Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed 51% to 47%. The survey of 1,006 registered voters was conducted by Fox News from 6 to 10 August 2026, one week after El-Sayed won the Democratic primary by one percentage point over Representative Haley Stevens.
The four-point gap is within the poll’s ±3-point margin of error. Harry Enten, a CNN election analyst, said the result is the weakest for any Democratic Senate candidate in Michigan this century. El-Sayed is the first Muslim nominated for the U.S. Senate by a major party.
Rogers, a former congressman, ran unopposed for the Republican nomination. The seat is held by retiring Democratic Senator Gary Peters.
What the coverage left out
None of the right-rated digests mention that El-Sayed is the first Muslim nominated for the U.S. Senate by a major party. None of the left-rated digests mention the 15-point Democratic advantage in general-election enthusiasm reported by Fox News and printed in The Blaze’s full report.
Still developing. We have re-checked which outlets are covering this 4 times, most recently on 15 Aug 2026, 12:15, and will add the sides that appear.
How each side covered it
Our own reading of the reporting listed below, written from the outlets’ articles rather than quoted from them. The reasoning is set out on our methodology page.
Left
4 rated outlets
- The four left-rated reports led on the closeness of the race and the historical context of El-Sayed’s polling deficit. Daily Kos printed the full Fox News poll methodology and noted that Rogers is above 50% with only 2% undecided. The Washington Post’s digest said both candidates are unpopular. Raw Story’s digest described the result as “sobering” and framed it as a warning about MAGA strength in swing states.
- Daily Kos’s full report quoted Harry Enten’s statement that El-Sayed’s four-point deficit is the weakest for any Democrat in a Michigan Senate race this century. Reflector’s digest compared the race to a replay of the Spanish Civil War, with Democratic Socialists facing MAGA Republicans.
Centre
1 rated outlet
- Political Wire’s single centre-rated digest led on the four-point gap and noted that it is within the margin of error. It did not mention the historical comparison or the demographic breakdowns.
Right
12 rated outlets
- Twelve right-rated digests led on Rogers’s four-point lead and the warning signs for Democrats. The Blaze’s full report quoted Harry Enten’s statement that El-Sayed’s deficit is the weakest for any Democrat in a Michigan Senate race this century. It also reported that Democrats hold a 15-point advantage in general-election enthusiasm.
- The Blaze and Conservative Review digests both used the phrase “the Democrats’ plot to seize control of the U.S. Senate.” The Daily Wire’s digest led on El-Sayed’s 23-point lead among white college-educated women. Breitbart’s digest used El-Sayed’s full name, Abdulrahman Mohamed El-Sayed, in its headline.
- Jewish Insider’s digest said Rogers is making inroads with a small but significant number of Democrats willing to cross party lines. The Algemeiner’s digest described El-Sayed as “far-left, anti-Israel” and said prominent Jewish Democratic bundlers are fundraising for Rogers.
Read it at the source
17 outlets, grouped by the leaning a published rating gives them. Every headline links to the original; an underlined outlet name opens our profile of that publisher.
Left
4- Michigan’s marquee Senate race close in first poll after El-Sayed primary win (opens The Washington Post in a new tab)
The Washington Post — is The Washington Post biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Douglas Cohn and Eleanor Clift: Michigan Senate race reflects larger political battle (opens Reflector in a new tab)
Reflector — is Reflector biased? Our profile of this outletOpinion
- The first post-Michigan Primary Senate Poll (opens Daily Kos in a new tab)
- Alarm bells ring after 'sobering' swing state poll shows MAGA leading (opens Raw Story in a new tab)
Centre
1Right
12- DSA brand on trial as El-Sayed struggles where Dems can least afford it – Democratic Accent (opens democraticaccent.com in a new tab)
democraticaccent.com — is democraticaccent.com biased? Our profile of this outlet
- DSA brand on trial as El-Sayed struggles where Dems can least afford it (opens Fox News in a new tab)
- El-Sayed Trails in Michigan Senate Race as Prominent Jewish Democratic Bundlers Fundraise for Opponent (opens The Algemeiner in a new tab)
The Algemeiner — is The Algemeiner biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Rogers has slight lead over El-Sayed — but there are warning signs in the US Senate race in Michigan (opens Conservative Review in a new tab)
Conservative Review — is Conservative Review biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Rogers has slight lead over El-Sayed — but there are warning signs in the US Senate race in Michigan (opens The Blaze in a new tab)
- A 2015 SNL Skit Suddenly Seems Prescient After Stunning Michigan Senate Poll (opens Le·gal In·sur·rec·tion in a new tab)
Le·gal In·sur·rec·tion — is Le·gal In·sur·rec·tion biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Michigan Voters Aren’t Buying Stepstool Abdul — CNN Can’t Figure Out Why (opens Twitchy in a new tab)
- Republican Mike Rogers secures slim lead over progressive Democrat Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan’s closely watched Senate race (opens ussanews.com in a new tab)
ussanews.com — is ussanews.com biased? Our profile of this outlet
Show 4 more
- Fox Poll: El-Sayed Already Down Four, But Demos Are a Disaster (opens Hot Air in a new tab)
- Nolte: Fox Poll(!) Has Mike Rogers Beating Abdulrahman Mohamed El-Sayed in Michigan (opens Breitbart in a new tab)
- Surprise! A Key Voting Bloc Is Ditching The GOP For A Far-Left Candidate (opens The Daily Wire in a new tab)
The Daily Wire — is The Daily Wire biased? Our profile of this outlet
- Poll: Mike Rogers holds narrow lead over Abdul El-Sayed in high-stakes Michigan Senate race (opens Jewish Insider in a new tab)
Jewish Insider — is Jewish Insider biased? Our profile of this outlet
Not rated
0No outlet in this group ran the story.
Questions about this coverage
- How did the left and right cover Fox News poll puts Rogers 4 points ahead of El-Sayed in Michigan Senate…?
- Of the 17 outlets on this story carrying a published leaning rating, 24% are rated left, 5% are rated centre, 71% are rated right. Those percentages are shares of the rated outlets, not of every outlet that ran it. The sections above set out what each side emphasised, in its own terms.
- Is Fox News poll puts Rogers 4 points ahead of El-Sayed in Michigan Senate… left or right?
- The story itself is neither. What can be counted is who has covered it, and 71% of the 17 rated outlets on it are rated right — so far this is a story carried mostly by the right. Coverage is still arriving and that can change, which is why the figure is dated rather than fixed.
- Is the coverage of Fox News poll puts Rogers 4 points ahead of El-Sayed in Michigan Senate… biased?
- Fox News poll puts Rogers 4 points ahead of El-Sayed in Michigan Senate race is one event reported by 17 outlets, and this page does not rate the story as biased or unbiased. What it publishes is the spread: which outlets ran it, where named rating organisations place each of them on the spectrum, and what each side chose to lead with. A leaning rating describes an outlet's record over time, not this article, and the two should not be run together.
- Which side is not reporting Fox News poll puts Rogers 4 points ahead of El-Sayed in Michigan Senate…?
- When we first saw this story, outlets rated left had barely covered it. Coverage accretes for hours after an event, so that is where to look rather than a verdict — the split above is the current count, and it is the one to read.
- Which outlets covered Fox News poll puts Rogers 4 points ahead of El-Sayed in Michigan Senate…?
- 17 that we know of, every one of them listed further up this page with a link to its own report and to what we hold on the publisher. Nothing here is a summary of somebody else's summary: the outlets are named so the original reporting can be read.
- What does the Fox News poll show?
- The Fox News poll conducted 6-10 August 2026 shows Mike Rogers leading Abdul El-Sayed 51% to 47% among Michigan registered voters. The four-point gap is within the ±3-point margin of error, so the race is statistically tied.
- Why is El-Sayed’s polling deficit significant?
- Harry Enten of CNN said El-Sayed’s four-point deficit is the weakest for any Democratic Senate candidate in Michigan this century. The statement was reported by The Blaze and Daily Kos.
- Which demographic group favours El-Sayed?
- The Fox News poll shows El-Sayed leading Rogers by 23 points among white college-educated women. The Daily Wire’s digest led on this finding.
How did this read?
About the coverage, not about the story. We do not ask whether you agree with what happened — we have no honest use for that answer.
